Complete Results @

Follow the left-side link from 'Storm-total Contest Verified Forecasts’ – Contest #2 to see the complete station forecast verification table.


In the table...

Yellow cells indicate the best score in category. 

Forecast STP cells are yellow if within +/- 5% of observed STP.


Blue (Red) cells indicate the top (lower) 25% percentile.


SUMSQ:  sum of square errors

STP:  storm total precipitation

TAE:  total absolute error
AAE:  average absolute error


Final Standings - all Forecasters



Perfect Forecasts



Best Station Forecasts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Lowest Absolute Error)


Best Station Forecast Busts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Highest Absolute Error)


Consensus forecast best @ ORH … BDR

MAX forecast best @ BDL … ISP

MAX forecast less than observed @

MIN forecasts best @ CAR … BGR …HYA … MDT … PHL … ACY

MIN forecasts more than observed @ MDT


Good association between SUMSQ and TAE Z-scores




Good data from CDUS41 … PNS … and F6 bulletins.




Storm-total snowfall estimated by interpolation of vicinity PNSBOX reports.



09-FEB/s daily CLI and CF6 bulletins carry 'MM' as daily snowfall at post-time.  Storm-total snowfall as reported by PNSGYX.



New Daily Records:


ISP - 14.3" (11.1"; 2013)

PVD - 11.9" (9.9"; 1969)

ABE - 7.1" (5"; 1936)

BGM - 5.2" (4.6"; 1969)