Complete Results @ http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the left-side link from 'Storm-total Contest Verified Forecasts Contest #2 to see the complete station forecast verification table.
In the table...
Yellow cells indicate the best score in category.
Forecast STP cells are yellow if within +/- 5% of observed STP.
Blue (Red) cells indicate the top (lower) 25% percentile.
SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm total precipitation
TAE: total absolute
AAE: average absolute error
Final Standings - all Forecasters
Best Station Forecasts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Lowest Absolute Error)
Best Station Forecast Busts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Highest Absolute Error)
Consensus forecast best @ ORH BDR
MAX forecast best @ BDL ISP
MAX forecast less than observed @
MIN forecasts best @ CAR BGR HYA MDT PHL ACY
MIN forecasts more than observed @ MDT
Good association between SUMSQ and TAE Z-scores
Good data from CDUS41 PNS and F6 bulletins.
Storm-total snowfall estimated by interpolation of vicinity PNSBOX reports.
09-FEB/s daily CLI and CF6 bulletins carry 'MM' as daily snowfall at post-time. Storm-total snowfall as reported by PNSGYX.
New Daily Records:
ISP - 14.3" (11.1"; 2013)
PVD - 11.9" (9.9"; 1969)
ABE - 7.1" (5"; 1936)
BGM - 5.2" (4.6"; 1969)