Complete Results @ http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

Follow the left-side link from 'Storm-total Contest Verified Forecasts’ – Contest #2 to see the complete station forecast verification table.

In the table...

Yellow cells indicate the best score in category.

Forecast STP cells are yellow if within +/- 5% of observed STP.

Blue (Red) cells indicate the top (lower) 25% percentile.

SUMSQ: sum of square errors

STP: storm total precipitation

TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error

Final Standings - all Forecasters

Perfect Forecasts

Best Station Forecasts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Lowest Absolute Error)

Best Station Forecast Busts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Highest Absolute Error)

Consensus forecast best @ ORH … BDR

MAX forecast best @ BDL … ISP

MAX forecast less than observed @

MIN forecasts best @ CAR … BGR …HYA … MDT … PHL … ACY

MIN forecasts more than observed @ MDT

Good association between SUMSQ and TAE Z-scores

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Verification:

Good data from CDUS41 … PNS … and F6 bulletins.

Exceptions:

HYA

Storm-total snowfall estimated by interpolation of vicinity PNSBOX reports.

PWM

09-FEB/s daily CLI and CF6 bulletins carry 'MM' as daily snowfall at post-time. Storm-total snowfall as reported by PNSGYX.

New Daily Records:

09-FEB-17

ISP - 14.3" (11.1"; 2013)

PVD - 11.9" (9.9"; 1969)

ABE - 7.1" (5"; 1936)

BGM - 5.2" (4.6"; 1969)