9th Annual
NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest
’07 / ‘08 - Final Standings

 

8 Storms

26 Forecasters

10 Rookies

2 Interns

3 Journeyman

11 Senior

2,072 Station Forecasts

560” Total Snowfall

 

Top Forecaster: donsutherland1

 

NEWxSFC - Final Summary

AVG SUMSQ

AVG STP

AVG Total Absolute

AVG Absolute

Mean RSQ

 

Previous Ranks

Rank

Forecaster

Class

Total STN 4casts

Error (")

Error Z

% MPRV over AVG

Rank

4cast (")

Error

Error Z

% MPRV over AVG

Rank

Error (")

Error Z

% MPRV over AVG

Rank

Error (")

Error Z

%MPRV over AVG

Rank

RSQ

RSQ Z

% MPRV over AVG

Rank

Forecaster

1,2,1,1,1

1

donsutherland1

Chief

122

61

-1.165

56%

2

74.7

13.0

-0.569

41%

5

25.8

-1.175

31%

2

1.3

-1.222

31%

2

85%

1.273

20%

2

donsutherland1

8,6,4,4,4

2

Raven

Senior

113

90

-0.685

34%

5

73.9

14.8

-0.121

5%

7

31.6

-0.516

16%

5

1.8

-0.228

8%

7

80%

0.763

13%

5

Raven

2,3,3,3,2

3

TQ

Senior

125

87

-0.679

28%

4

70.0

8.8

-0.931

58%

4

28.6

-0.980

21%

3

1.5

-0.760

15%

4

74%

0.233

5%

5

TQ

3,1,2,2,3

4

shanabe

Senior

130

119

-0.646

21%

6

70.3

19.2

-0.070

4%

8

33.5

-0.562

12%

6

1.6

-0.764

16%

5

76%

0.467

4%

6

shanabe

4,4,6,6,5

5

herb @maws

Senior

122

95

-0.486

24%

5

75.2

16.4

-0.193

15%

6

30.9

-0.490

14%

5

1.6

-0.305

9%

6

78%

0.316

6%

5

herb @maws

9,5,5,5,6

6

Donald Rosenfeld

Senior

126

114

-0.036

2%

6

69.2

15.9

-0.273

18%

5

32.7

-0.013

0%

6

1.6

-0.137

6%

6

79%

0.156

5%

6

Donald Rosenfeld

15,-,-,9,8

7

Mitchel Volk

Senior

131

157

0.089

-9%

8

97.5

20.9

0.124

-8%

7

42.7

0.270

-9%

10

2.1

0.267

-10%

10

68%

-0.286

0%

8

Mitchel Volk

7,7,7,7,7

8

jackzig

Senior

123

132

0.203

-4%

8

82.4

22.7

0.353

-16%

9

35.1

0.103

-2%

8

1.8

0.113

-3%

7

71%

-0.209

-4%

7

jackzig

 

 

Ten Best Forecasts by Z Score

Sum Square

Storm #

Date

Forecaster

Class

4casts

Error

Error Z

%MPROV over AVG

Rank

4

01-Jan

shanabe

Senior

24

22.2

-1.832

47.4%

1

7

22-Feb

Mitchel Volk

Senior

26

59.5

-1.411

41.3%

1

2

16-Dec

pjc368

Rookie

17

69.1

-1.390

64.8%

1

8

29-Feb

Raven

Senior

20

24.5

-1.343

69.2%

1

6

12-Feb

donsutherland1

Chief

27

40.4

-1.312

60.4%

1

1

02-Dec

donsutherland1

Chief

20

50.8