Forecasters: 11
9 veterans
1 rookies
1 entry disqualified from ranking. Forecast verified more than 3 standard deviations above the mean error.
In the table...
Yellow cells indicate the best score in category.
Forecast STP is yellow if within +/- 5% of observed STP.
Blue (Red) cells indicate the top (lower) 25% percentile.
Final Standings - all Forecasters
|
Forecaster |
Class |
4casts |
Sum Square |
STP |
TOTAL
Absolute |
AVG Absolute |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
72.60 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Forecaster |
|||
|
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
27 |
40.4 |
-1.312 |
60.4% |
1 |
70.50 |
2.10 |
-1.349 |
87.7% |
1 |
23.10 |
-1.576 |
32.0% |
1 |
0.86 |
-1.643 |
33.6% |
1 |
74.5% |
0.850 |
19.7% |
2 |
donsutherland1 |
|
Mitchel Volk |
Senior |
27 |
56.7 |
-0.964 |
44.4% |
2 |
86.30 |
13.70 |
-0.302 |
19.7% |
5 |
30.70 |
-0.473 |
9.6% |
4 |
1.14 |
-0.573 |
11.7% |
4 |
74.1% |
0.821 |
19.0% |
3 |
Mitchel Volk |
|
dmcguriman |
Senior |
27 |
58.4 |
-0.929 |
42.7% |
3 |
63.61 |
9.00 |
-0.727 |
47.3% |
4 |
28.70 |
-0.764 |
15.5% |
3 |
1.06 |
-0.855 |
17.5% |
3 |
69.0% |
0.467 |
10.8% |
4 |
dmcguriman |
|
TQ |
Senior |
26 |
71.4 |
-0.653 |
30.0% |
4 |
68.36 |
4.24 |
-1.156 |
75.1% |
2 |
26.65 |
-1.061 |
21.5% |
2 |
1.02 |
-0.999 |
20.4% |
2 |
65.8% |
0.245 |
5.7% |
6 |
TQ |
|
Newa |
Rookie |
26 |
86.6 |
-0.328 |
15.1% |
5 |
64.16 |
8.44 |
-0.777 |
50.5% |
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