Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 9.30 | BGR | 4.20 | PWM | 6.10 | CON | 5.40 | BTV | 7.40 | BOS | 0.10 | HYA | 1.00 | ORH | 8.40 | PVD | 5.10 | BDR | 1.00 | BDL | 6.50 | Forecaster | ALB | 5.80 | BGM | 8.20 | ISP | 0.05 | JFK | 0.00 | ABE | 0.70 | MDT | 0.50 | PHL | 0.05 | ACY | 0.00 | EWR | 0.05 | BWI | 0.05 | IAD | 0.05 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | 0.00 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.00 | RDU | 0.00 | Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 70.0 | Abs Error (") |
Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster |
1 | donsutherland1 | Senior | 11/15/18 19:58 | 6.40 | 2.90 | 5.20 | 1.00 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 5.40 | - | 8.20 | 0.80 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.40 | 3.00 | 4.20 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 4.80 | 1.70 | donsutherland1 | 8.20 | 2.40 | 8.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Senior | 20 | 38 | -1.400 | 76% | 1 | 62.8 | 7.1 | -1.195 | 69% | 1 | 18.9 | -1.553 | 56% | 1 | 0.95 | -1.586 | 53% | 1 | 0.874 | 1.730 | 46% | 1 | donsutherland1 |
2 | Brad Yehl | Chief | 11/15/18 19:58 | 9.40 | 0.10 | 4.20 | - | 2.60 | 3.50 | 4.80 | 0.60 | 8.40 | 1.00 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 5.80 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 3.50 | Brad Yehl | 6.80 | 1.00 | 6.40 | 1.80 | 0.05 | - | - | - | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.05 | - | - | - | 0.05 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Brad Yehl | Chief | 20 | 54 | -1.215 | 66% | 2 | 60.8 | 9.2 | -1.044 | 61% | 2 | 21.2 | -1.410 | 51% | 2 | 1.06 | -1.420 | 48% | 2 | 0.822 | 1.406 | 38% | 2 | Brad Yehl |
3 | WeatherT | Senior | 11/15/18 10:49 | 9.00 | 0.30 | 4.80 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 7.00 | 1.60 | 10.00 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 1.00 | - | 6.00 | 2.40 | 3.50 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 4.50 | 2.00 | WeatherT | 7.00 | 1.20 | 8.00 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 3.30 | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.45 | - | - | 3.50 | 3.45 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | WeatherT | Senior | 22 | 85 | -0.860 | 47% | 3 | 86.1 | 16.2 | -0.529 | 31% | 4 | 33.4 | -0.640 | 23% | 5 | 1.52 | -0.751 | 25% | 3 | 0.742 | 0.902 | 24% | 3 | WeatherT |
4 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 11/15/18 19:59 | 9.00 | 0.30 | 10.00 | 5.80 | 8.25 | 2.15 | 9.25 | 3.85 | 6.50 | 0.90 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 7.75 | 0.65 | 4.75 | 0.35 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 0.50 | Donald Rosenfeld | 6.00 | 0.20 | 4.75 | 3.45 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 21 | 113 | -0.541 | 29% | 4 | 90.3 | 20.3 | -0.222 | 13% | 8 | 33.0 | -0.662 | 24% | 3 | 1.57 | -0.669 | 22% | 4 | 0.703 | 0.662 | 18% | 4 | Donald Rosenfeld |
5 | TQ | Senior | 11/15/18 19:20 | 4.00 | 5.30 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 8.00 | 0.60 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.50 | 4.90 | 0.00 | 5.10 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 2.50 | TQ | 6.00 | 0.20 | 12.00 | 3.80 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 20 | 123 | -0.421 | 22.9% | 5 | 51.5 | 18.4 | -0.360 | 21% | 6 | 33.0 | -0.659 | 24% | 4 | 1.65 | -0.551 | 18.5% | 5 | 0.632 | 0.220 | 6% | 5 | TQ |
6 | NJWinter | Rookie | 11/14/18 21:03 | 5.90 | 3.40 | 5.80 | 1.60 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 7.50 | 2.10 | 6.00 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.40 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 5.10 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 | 6.50 | NJWinter | 3.90 | 1.90 | 5.90 | 2.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 2.90 | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 0.70 | 0.65 | - | - | 1.10 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NJWinter | Rookie | 20 | 131 | -0.326 | 17.7% | 6 | 56.8 | 13.1 | -0.752 | 44% | 3 | 40.1 | -0.209 | 7.6% | 6 | 2.01 | -0.029 | 1.0% | 6 | 0.565 | -0.203 | -5% | 8 | NJWinter |
7 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 11/15/18 19:10 | 6.00 | 3.30 | 4.50 | 0.30 | 7.50 | 1.40 | 8.00 | 2.60 | 7.00 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 5.50 | 2.90 | 2.70 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 0.50 | Herb @MAWS | 10.00 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 4.00 | 3.30 | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.00 | 0.95 | - | - | 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.70 | 1.65 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 22 | 139 | -0.241 | 13% | 7 | 86.4 | 16.5 | -0.507 | 29% | 5 | 45.8 | 0.146 | -5% | 7 | 2.08 | 0.077 | -3% | 7 | 0.566 | -0.193 | -5% | 7 | Herb @MAWS |
8 | shillelagh | Senior | 11/15/18 16:52 | 5.00 | 4.30 | 3.50 | 0.70 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 6.50 | 1.10 | 8.80 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 2.40 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 5.80 | 2.60 | 3.50 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 2.80 | 5.50 | 1.00 | shillelagh | 7.50 | 1.70 | 8.30 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 6.50 | 5.80 | 5.80 | 5.30 | 4.50 | 4.45 | - | - | 4.00 | 3.95 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | shillelagh | Senior | 21 | 168 | 0.095 | -5.2% | 8 | 89.5 | 19.5 | -0.282 | 16% | 7 | 47.4 | 0.251 | -9% | 8 | 2.26 | 0.338 | -11% | 8 | 0.492 | -0.653 | -18% | 9 | shillelagh |
9 | quagmireweathercentral | Journeyman | 11/15/18 18:14 | 8.00 | 1.30 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 7.00 | 0.90 | 8.00 | 2.60 | 9.00 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 1.00 | - | 5.00 | 1.50 | quagmireweathercentral | 8.00 | 2.20 | 11.00 | 2.80 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 6.30 | 8.00 | 7.50 | 3.00 | 2.95 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 2.00 | 2.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | quagmireweathercentral | Journeyman | 22 | 187 | 0.309 | -16.8% | 9 | 106.0 | 36.1 | 0.942 | -54.6% | 10 | 52.6 | 0.584 | -21% | 9 | 2.39 | 0.538 | -18% | 9 | 0.582 | -0.092 | -2% | 6 | quagmireweathercentral |
10 | bubbler86 | Senior | 11/14/18 21:34 | 6.00 | 3.30 | 7.00 | 2.80 | 11.00 | 4.90 | 9.00 | 3.60 | 7.00 | 0.40 | 7.00 | 6.90 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 0.10 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 0.50 | bubbler86 | 8.00 | 2.20 | 9.00 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 6.30 | 8.00 | 7.50 | 3.00 | 2.95 | - | - | 3.00 | 2.95 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | bubbler86 | Senior | 21 | 286 | 1.450 | -79% | 10 | 123.0 | 53.1 | 2.199 | -127.6% | 12 | 64.5 | 1.332 | -48% | 11 | 3.07 | 1.530 | -51% | 11 | 0.468 | -0.804 | -22% | 10 | bubbler86 |
11 | WeatherWizard | Rookie | 11/14/18 21:44 | 3.00 | 6.30 | 3.00 | 1.20 | 7.00 | 0.90 | 10.00 | 4.60 | 9.00 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 0.40 | 4.00 | 1.10 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.50 | WeatherWizard | 10.00 | 4.20 | 12.00 | 3.80 | 1.00 | 0.95 | - | - | 8.00 | 7.30 | 8.00 | 7.50 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | WeatherWizard | Rookie | 26 | 288 | 1.479 | -80% | 11 | 114.0 | 44.1 | 1.533 | -89% | 11 | 69.1 | 1.629 | -59.2% | 12 | 2.66 | 0.929 | -31.2% | 10 | 0.402 | -1.217 | -33% | 11 | WeatherWizard |
12 | Mitchel Volk | Senior | 11/15/18 20:50 | 7.00 | 2.30 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 6.00 | 0.10 | 9.00 | 3.60 | 9.00 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.40 | 0.00 | 5.10 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 1.50 | Mitchel Volk | 8.00 | 2.20 | 10.00 | 1.80 | 5.50 | 5.45 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 6.00 | 5.30 | 6.00 | 5.50 | 4.00 | 3.95 | - | - | 7.00 | 6.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mitchel Volk | Senior | 20 | 305 | 1.672 | -91% | 12 | 96.2 | 26.3 | 0.218 | -13% | 9 | 62.2 | 1.192 | -43% | 10 | 3.11 | 1.594 | -53.5% | 12 | 0.315 | -1.758 | -47% | 12 | Mitchel Volk |
Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 255 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
Rookie | 2 | Consensus | MIN | 3.00 | 0.10 | 3.00 | - | 2.00 | 0.10 | 4.80 | - | 6.00 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | 0.50 | MIN | 3.90 | 0.20 | 4.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | - | - | - | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 20 | 38.0 | -1.400 | -91.0% | 1 | 51.5 | 7.1 | -1.195 | -127.6% | 1 | 18.9 | -1.553 | -59.2% | 1 | 0.95 | -1.586 | -53.5% | 1 | 0.315 | -1.758 | -47.2% | 1 | MIN | |
Intern | - | MAX | 9.40 | 6.30 | 10.00 | 5.80 | 11.00 | 4.90 | 10.00 | 4.60 | 10.00 | 2.60 | 7.00 | 6.90 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 8.00 | 8.40 | 5.00 | 5.10 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 6.50 | MAX | 10.00 | 4.20 | 12.00 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 5.45 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 8.00 | 7.30 | 8.00 | 7.50 | 4.50 | 4.45 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.00 | 6.95 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | MAX | 26 | 305.2 | 1.672 | 76.2% | 12 | 123.0 | 53.1 | 2.199 | 69.4% | 12 | 69.1 | 1.629 | 56.4% | 12 | 3.11 | 1.594 | 53.3% | 12 | 0.874 | 1.730 | 46.4% | 12 | MAX | ||
Journey | 1 | AVG | 6.56 | 2.76 | 5.33 | 1.45 | 5.47 | 2.34 | 7.45 | 2.22 | 8.08 | 1.19 | 2.68 | 2.58 | 0.71 | 0.96 | 5.60 | 2.80 | 2.82 | 2.28 | 2.25 | 1.73 | 4.65 | 2.10 | AVG | 7.45 | 1.97 | 8.29 | 2.10 | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 3.98 | 3.48 | 4.26 | 3.86 | 1.81 | 1.79 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 2.14 | 2.11 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.25 | AVG | 21 | 159.8 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 85.3 | 23.3 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 43.4 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 2.03 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 0.597 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | AVG | ||
Senior | 9 | Median | 6.20 | 3.10 | 5.00 | 0.90 | 5.00 | 2.23 | 7.75 | 2.35 | 8.30 | 1.20 | 2.25 | 2.15 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 5.90 | 2.50 | 3.35 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 4.90 | 1.60 | Median | 7.75 | 2.05 | 8.20 | 2.05 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 4.00 | 3.30 | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.25 | 1.20 | - | - | 1.55 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 21 | 135.1 | -0.284 | 15.4% | 7 | 87.9 | 19.0 | -0.321 | 18.6% | 7 | 42.9 | -0.031 | 1.1% | 7 | 2.04 | 0.024 | -0.8% | 7 | 0.574 | -0.142 | -3.8% | 7 | Median | ||
GOVT | - | Mode | 9.00 | 0.30 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 7.00 | 0.90 | 8.00 | 2.60 | 9.00 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.80 | 2.60 | 0.00 | 5.10 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 6.00 | 0.50 | Mode | 8.00 | 2.20 | 12.00 | 3.80 | 1.00 | 0.95 | - | - | 4.00 | 3.30 | 8.00 | 7.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 20 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||
PWSP | - | STD | 1.94 | 1.91 | 1.74 | 1.49 | 2.62 | 1.34 | 1.67 | 1.44 | 1.16 | 0.61 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.01 | 0.42 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.51 | 1.94 | 1.66 | STD | 1.63 | 1.23 | 2.56 | 1.47 | 1.61 | 1.59 | 1.79 | 1.79 | 2.78 | 2.53 | 2.96 | 2.83 | 1.70 | 1.67 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 2.11 | 2.09 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 1.21 | 1.17 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.83 | 0.83 | STD | 2 | 86.9 | 1.000 | 54.4% | 3.5 | 22.2 | 13.5 | 1.000 | 58.0% | 3.5 | 15.8 | 1.000 | 36.3% | 3.5 | 0.68 | 1.000 | 33.6% | 3.5 | 0.160 | 1.000 | 26.8% | 3.5 | STD | ||
TOT | 12 | 25% | ile | 5.68 | 1.05 | 4.43 | 0.68 | 3.28 | 1.28 | 6.23 | 0.98 | 7.00 | 0.75 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 5.48 | 1.85 | 2.03 | 1.05 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 3.75 | 0.88 | 25% | 6.60 | 1.15 | 6.28 | 0.65 | 0.04 | 0.05 | - | - | 1.28 | 0.77 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 0.04 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 20 | 105.8 | -0.621 | -32.3% | 4 | 62.3 | 15.4 | -0.585 | -23.1% | 4 | 33.0 | -0.660 | -26.7% | 4 | 1.56 | -0.690 | -21.3% | 4 | 0.486 | -0.691 | -18.5% | 4 | ||
75% | ile | 8.25 | 3.63 | 5.85 | 1.65 | 7.13 | 3.05 | 9.00 | 3.60 | 9.00 | 1.60 | 3.78 | 3.68 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 6.55 | 2.93 | 4.05 | 3.07 | 3.65 | 2.65 | 6.00 | 2.75 | 75% | 8.05 | 2.25 | 10.25 | 3.54 | 1.25 | 1.20 | 3.63 | 3.63 | 6.63 | 5.93 | 6.50 | 6.00 | 3.25 | 3.20 | - | - | 3.63 | 3.58 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 0.39 | 0.39 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 22 | 211.4 | 0.594 | 33.8% | 9 | 98.7 | 28.7 | 0.399 | 33.9% | 9 | 55.0 | 0.736 | 24.0% | 9 | 2.46 | 0.635 | 23.2% | 9 | 0.713 | 0.722 | 19.4% | 9 | ||||
Forecasts | 255 |