Total Absolute Season Total Snowfall SUMSQ
Forecaster CAR 121.2 BGR 53.8 PWM 46.3 CON 38.7 BTV 82.9 BOS 27.3 ORH 42.3 PVD 23.4 BDR 18.5 BDL 32.1 ALB 42.9 BGM 54.1 NYC 14.2 ABE 23.9 MDT 32.2 PHL 13.5 ACY 17.8 EWR 15.7 BWI 16.6 IAD 23.6 DCA 15.5 SBY 5.6 RIC 13.1 ORF 0.2 RDU 9.0 Forecaster Rank Error
(")
Error
Z-Score
%MPRV over PORN AVG
Station
Error (")
Forecaster 784.0 % Climo TOTAL
Error
AVG
Error
Rank Forecaster Error Error
Z-Score
% MPRV over PORN Rank
Donald Rosenfeld 110.0 11.2 65.0 11.2 55.0 8.7 57.0 18.3 80.0 2.9 37.0 9.7 55.0 12.7 30.0 6.6 30.0 11.5 45.0 12.9 70.0 27.1 85.0 30.9 25.0 10.9 28.0 4.2 27.0 5.2 19.0 5.5 14.0 3.8 28.0 12.4 18.0 1.4 20.0 3.6 15.0 0.5 10.0 4.5 10.0 3.1 7.0 6.9 10.0 1.1 Donald Rosenfeld 1 226 -1.757 2% 9.1 1.00 snowman 892 98% 108 4.5 1   Donald Rosenfeld 3,408 -1.479 3% 1
P-O-R-N 90.7 30.5 60.0 6.2 63.8 17.5 58.8 20.1 69.8 13.1 41.6 14.3 60.0 17.7 34.3 10.9 23.2 4.7 36.2 4.1 55.4 12.5 71.5 17.4 26.1 12.0 31.4 7.6 30.5 1.7 21.6 8.1 17.3 0.5 28.2 12.6 19.3 2.7 21.7 1.9 15.7 0.2 10.2 4.7 12.7 0.4 7.5 7.4 6.6 2.4 P-O-R-N 2 231 -1.713 0% 9.2 0.98 P-O-R-N 914 100% 130 5.4 2 P-O-R-N 3,503 -1.459 0% 2
snowman 87.0 34.2 92.0 38.2 43.0 3.3 48.0 9.3 67.0 15.9 66.0 38.7 47.0 4.7 25.0 1.6 28.0 9.5 33.0 0.9 51.0 8.1 56.0 1.9 30.0 15.9 38.0 14.2 31.0 1.2 28.0 14.5 8.0 9.8 25.0 9.4 24.0 7.4 23.0 0.6 18.0 2.5 11.0 5.5 5.0 8.1 6.0 5.9 2.0 7.0 snowman 3 268 -1.338 -16% 10.7 0.85 Donald Rosenfeld 950 104% 166 6.9 3   shillelagh 5,045 -1.136 -44% 3
shillelagh 103.0 18.2 65.0 11.2 74.0 27.7 64.0 25.3 80.0 2.9 46.0 18.7 62.0 19.7 39.0 15.6 28.0 9.5 45.0 12.9 68.0 25.1 76.0 21.9 29.0 14.9 38.0 14.2 36.0 3.8 23.0 9.5 20.0 2.2 29.0 13.4 23.0 6.4 22.0 1.6 18.0 2.5 9.0 3.5 11.0 2.1 6.0 5.9 5.0 4.0 shillelagh 4 292 -1.090 -27% 11.7 0.77 shillelagh 1,019 111% 235 9.8 4 snowman 5,747 -0.988 -64% 4
TQ 107.0 14.2 75.0 21.2 66.0 19.7 66.0 27.3 80.0 2.9 57.0 29.7 68.0 25.7 43.0 19.6 29.0 10.5 57.0 24.9 69.0 26.1 84.0 29.9 25.0 10.9 34.0 10.2 28.0 4.2 22.0 8.5 14.0 3.8 25.0 9.4 19.0 2.4 21.0 2.6 15.0 0.5 12.0 6.5 13.0 0.1 9.0 8.9 7.0 2.0 TQ 5 321 -0.798 -39% 12.9 0.70 TQ 1,045 114% 261 10.9 5   TQ 6,573 -0.815 -88% 5
WeatherT 115.0 6.2 75.0 21.2 58.0 11.7 73.0 34.3 70.0 12.9 64.0 36.7 69.0 26.7 38.0 14.6 36.0 17.5 31.0 1.1 60.0 17.1 88.0 33.9 43.0 28.9 38.0 14.2 30.0 2.2 20.0 6.5 15.0 2.8 34.0 18.4 23.0 6.4 21.0 2.6 21.0 5.5 6.0 0.5 10.0 3.1 4.0 3.9 6.0 3.0 WeatherT 6 332 -0.695 -44% 13.3 0.68 WeatherT 1,048 115% 264 11.0 6 WeatherT 7,525 -0.616 -115% 6
kevinmyatt 125.0 3.8 82.0 28.2 72.0 25.7 75.0 36.3 85.0 2.1 51.0 23.7 62.0 19.7 40.0 16.6 35.0 16.5 31.0 1.1 75.0 32.1 105.0 50.9 40.0 25.9 40.0 16.2 35.0 2.8 22.0 8.5 13.0 4.8 30.0 14.4 27.0 10.4 28.0 4.5 19.0 3.5 10.0 4.5 13.0 0.1 3.0 2.9 3.0 6.0 kevinmyatt 7 361 -0.397 -56% 14.4 0.63 kevinmyatt 1,121 123% 337 14.0 7   Herb@MAWS 9,040 -0.298 -158% 7
Herb@MAWS 117.0 4.2 74.0 20.2 75.0 28.7 72.0 33.3 90.0 7.1 51.0 23.7 79.0 36.7 42.0 18.6 34.0 15.5 59.0 26.9 68.0 25.1 90.0 35.9 31.0 16.9 42.0 18.2 37.0 4.8 30.0 16.5 20.0 2.2 33.0 17.4 25.0 8.4 25.0 1.5 20.0 4.5 13.0 7.5 15.0 1.9 11.0 10.9 12.0 3.1 Herb@MAWS 8 389 -0.109 -69% 15.6 0.58 Roger Smith 1,150 126% 366 15.3 8 kevinmyatt 9,354 -0.232 -167% 8
Jessica_Cain 116.1 5.1 81.1 27.3 84.6 38.3 78.5 39.8 84.1 1.2 55.6 28.3 76.2 33.9 46.7 23.3 33.9 15.4 61.5 29.4 71.3 28.4 97.4 43.3 29.0 14.9 38.0 14.2 36.4 4.2 29.9 16.4 18.1 0.3 33.7 18.1 19.6 3.0 18.5 5.1 15.1 0.4 14.1 8.6 11.8 1.3 8.1 8.0 4.6 4.4 Jessica_Cain 9 412 0.122 -79% 16.5 0.55 Jessica_Cain 1,164 127% 380 15.8 9   Mid-Atlantic Regional Wx 10,326 -0.029 -195% 9
Roger Smith 115.0 6.2 80.0 26.2 72.0 25.7 70.0 31.3 90.0 7.1 54.0 26.7 78.0 35.7 46.0 22.6 43.0 24.5 50.0 17.9 72.0 29.1 110.0 55.9 37.0 22.9 29.0 5.2 19.0 13.2 22.0 8.5 14.0 3.8 37.0 21.4 30.0 13.4 30.0 6.5 17.0 1.5 13.0 7.5 14.0 0.9 5.0 4.9 3.0 6.0 Roger Smith 10 424 0.242 -84% 17.0 0.53 Herb@MAWS 1,165 127% 381 15.9 10 CONSENSUS 10,719 0.054 -206% 10
Mid-Atlantic Regional Wx 96.0 25.2 82.0 28.2 68.0 21.7 89.0 50.3 101.0 18.1 46.0 18.7 79.0 36.7 34.0 10.6 32.0 13.5 48.0 15.9 59.0 16.1 80.0 25.9 24.0 9.9 47.0 23.2 40.0 7.8 33.0 19.5 26.0 8.2 29.0 13.4 35.0 18.4 34.0 10.5 25.0 9.5 26.0 20.5 17.0 3.9 10.0 9.9 11.0 2.1 Mid-Atlantic Regional Wx 11 437 0.376 -90% 17.5 0.52 Mid-Atlantic Regional Wx 1,171 128% 387 16.1 11   Jessica_Cain 11,325 0.181 -223% 11
CONSENSUS 111.2 10.0 82.5 28.7 73.0 26.7 76.0 37.3 87.7 4.8 58.5 31.2 73.4 31.1 45.2 21.8 41.0 22.5 50.1 18.0 72.8 29.9 85.8 31.7 39.8 25.7 46.4 22.5 41.6 9.5 33.9 20.4 21.6 3.8 36.9 21.2 28.7 12.1 27.6 4.1 21.9 6.4 15.2 9.7 15.3 2.2 9.6 9.4 9.5 0.6 CONSENSUS 12 441 0.413 -91% 17.6 0.51 Any.Wx 1,179 129% 395 16.5 12 Roger Smith 11,409 0.198 -226% 12
Brad Yehl 112.4 8.8 84.0 30.2 80.6 34.3 72.4 33.7 84.7 1.8 56.7 29.4 84.7 42.4 38.7 15.3 30.4 11.9 48.2 16.1 72.6 29.7 94.7 40.6 32.4 18.3 54.0 30.2 52.4 20.3 34.2 20.7 20.7 2.9 32.4 16.8 28.4 11.8 32.8 9.2 24.6 9.1 12.4 6.9 18.6 5.5 9.0 8.9 8.6 0.4 Brad Yehl 13 455 0.553 -97% 18.2 0.50 CONSENSUS 1,205 132% 421 17.5 13   Brad Yehl 11,965 0.315 -242% 13
bubbler86 114.0 7.2 93.0 39.2 80.0 33.7 85.0 46.3 98.0 15.1 50.0 22.7 65.0 22.7 40.0 16.6 38.0 19.5 52.0 19.9 76.0 33.1 96.0 41.9 33.0 18.9 51.0 27.2 48.0 15.9 29.0 15.5 13.0 4.8 36.0 20.4 29.0 12.4 26.0 2.5 22.0 6.5 16.0 10.5 14.0 0.9 11.0 10.9 8.0 1.0 bubbler86 14 465 0.654 -101% 18.6 0.49 Brad Yehl 1,221 134% 437 18.2 14 Any.Wx 12,410 0.408 -254% 14
Any.Wx 100.0 21.2 70.0 16.2 88.0 41.7 82.0 43.3 70.0 12.9 60.0 32.7 80.0 37.7 48.0 24.6 40.0 21.5 50.0 17.9 60.0 17.1 70.0 15.9 44.0 29.9 40.0 16.2 37.0 4.8 38.0 24.5 20.0 2.2 50.0 34.4 32.0 15.4 35.0 11.5 20.0 4.5 14.0 8.5 16.0 2.9 8.0 7.9 7.0 2.0 Any.Wx 15 467 0.676 -102% 18.7 0.48 bubbler86 1,223 134% 439 18.3 15   bubbler86 12,481 0.423 -256% 15
WeatherWizard 123.0 1.8 86.0 32.2 43.0 3.3 73.0 34.3 84.0 1.1 43.0 15.7 61.0 18.7 31.0 7.6 28.0 9.5 22.0 10.1 128.0 85.1 91.0 36.9 34.0 19.9 78.0 54.2 74.0 41.9 43.0 29.5 26.0 8.2 24.0 8.4 25.0 8.4 24.0 0.4 24.0 8.5 22.0 16.5 21.0 7.9 21.0 20.9 22.0 13.1 WeatherWizard 16 494 0.946 -114% 19.8 0.46 donsutherland1 1,239 136% 455 19.0 16 NJWinter 13,040 0.540 -272% 16
NJWinter 102.9 18.3 69.4 15.6 63.5 17.2 62.6 23.9 86.5 3.6 59.5 32.2 67.6 25.3 57.6 34.2 53.4 34.9 58.4 26.3 60.2 17.3 86.1 32.0 52.5 38.4 45.5 21.7 44.6 12.5 45.3 31.8 31.2 13.4 52.5 36.9 33.1 16.5 31.2 7.7 28.3 12.8 19.4 13.9 14.3 1.2 13.1 13.0 7.2 1.8 NJWinter 17 502 1.029 -118% 20.1 0.45 NJWinter 1,246 136% 462 19.2 17   donsutherland1 14,213 0.786 -306% 17
donsutherland1 85.0 36.2 63.7 9.9 56.3 10.0 66.0 27.3 81.5 1.4 60.4 33.1 69.3 27.0 50.0 26.6 49.2 30.7 56.3 24.2 74.0 31.1 90.0 35.9 45.0 30.9 50.8 27.0 48.5 16.4 45.0 31.5 33.5 15.7 47.5 31.9 40.0 23.4 40.5 17.0 32.5 17.0 21.0 15.5 17.0 3.9 8.1 8.0 7.9 1.1 donsutherland1 18 532 1.335 -131% 21.3 0.43 WeatherWizard 1,251 137% 467 19.5 18 WeatherWizard 18,844 1.757 -438% 18
bdougherty 150.0 28.8 115.0 61.2 105.0 58.7 100.0 61.3 95.0 12.1 75.0 47.7 80.0 37.7 50.0 26.6 45.0 26.5 40.0 7.9 75.0 32.1 80.0 25.9 60.0 45.9 45.0 21.2 20.0 12.2 21.0 7.5 18.0 0.2 19.0 3.4 17.0 0.4 12.0 11.6 10.0 5.5 12.0 6.5 10.0 3.1 10.0 9.9 9.0 0.0 bdougherty 19 554 1.550 -140% 22.1 0.41 bdougherty 1,273 139% 489 20.4 19   bdougherty 21,871 2.391 -524% 19
FCST Parameters CAR Err BGR Err PWM Err CON Err BTV Err BOS Err ORH Err PVD Err BDR Err BDL Err ALB Err BGM Err NYC Err ABE Err MDT Err PHL Err ACY Err EWR Err BWI Err IAD Err DCA Err SBY Err RIC Err ORF Err RDU Err FCST Parameters Rank Error Z %MPRV   FCST Parameters TOT %Climo Error AAE Rank FCST Parameters Error Error Z % MPRV Rank
MIN 85.0 1.8 60.0 6.2 43.0 3.3 48.0 9.3 67.0 1.1 37.0 9.7 47.0 4.7 25.0 1.6 23.2 4.7 22.0 0.9 51.0 8.1 56.0 1.9 24.0 9.9 28.0 4.2 19.0 1.2 19.0 5.5 8.0 0.2 19.0 3.4 17.0 0.4 12.0 0.4 10.0 0.2 6.0 0.5 5.0 0.1 3.0 2.9 2.0 0.0 MIN 1 226 -1.757 -140% 9   MIN 892 98% 108 4.5 1   MIN 3,408 -1.479 -524% 1
MAX 150.0 36.2 115.0 61.2 105.0 58.7 100.0 61.3 101.0 18.1 75.0 47.7 84.7 42.4 57.6 34.2 53.4 34.9 61.5 29.4 128.0 85.1 110.0 55.9 60.0 45.9 78.0 54.2 74.0 41.9 45.3 31.8 33.5 15.7 52.5 36.9 40.0 23.4 40.5 17.0 32.5 17.0 26.0 20.5 21.0 8.1 21.0 20.9 22.0 13.1 MAX 19 554 1.550 2% 22 MAX 1,273 139% 489 20.4 19 MAX 21,871 2.391 3% 19
AVG 109.5 15.3 78.7 24.9 69.5 23.9 72.0 33.3 83.4 7.3 54.3 27.0 69.3 27.0 41.0 17.6 35.6 17.1 46.0 15.2 70.4 27.5 86.1 32.0 35.8 21.6 42.8 19.0 37.7 9.7 29.5 16.0 19.1 4.9 33.2 17.5 26.1 9.5 26.0 5.5 20.1 5.3 14.0 8.5 13.6 2.8 8.8 8.6 7.9 3.2 AVG 10 400 0.000 -73% 16   AVG 1,130 124% 346 14.4 10   AVG 10,463 0.000 -199% 10
Median 111.2 11.2 80.0 26.2 72.0 25.7 72.4 33.7 84.1 4.8 55.6 28.3 69.0 26.7 40.0 16.6 34.0 15.5 48.2 16.1 70.0 27.1 86.1 32.0 33.0 18.9 40.0 16.2 36.4 5.2 29.0 15.5 18.1 3.8 32.4 16.8 25.0 8.4 25.0 4.1 20.0 4.5 13.0 7.5 14.0 2.2 8.1 8.0 7.2 2.1 Median 10 424 0.242 -84% 17 Median 1,165 127% 381 15.9 10 Median 10,719 0.054 -206% 10
Mode 115.0 6.2 65.0 11.2 43.0 3.3 66.0 27.3 80.0 2.9 46.0 18.7 62.0 19.7 40.0 16.6 28.0 9.5 45.0 12.9 68.0 25.1 90.0 35.9 25.0 10.9 38.0 14.2 37.0 4.8 22.0 8.5 14.0 3.8 25.0 9.4 23.0 6.4 21.0 2.6 18.0 2.5 10.0 4.5 10.0 3.1 6.0 5.9 7.0 2.0 Mode             Mode #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A   Mode
STD 15.1 11.1 12.9 12.9 15.2 14.0 12.1 12.1 9.5 5.9 9.3 9.3 9.9 9.9 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 11.1 9.1 15.8 15.8 12.6 12.6 9.8 9.8 11.2 11.2 12.6 9.6 8.7 8.7 6.5 4.3 8.9 8.9 6.3 6.3 6.8 4.6 5.3 4.5 5.0 5.0 3.6 2.3 3.9 3.9 4.4 3.1 STD 6 99 1.000 43% 4 STD 118 13% 118 4.9 6 STD 4,771 1.000 136% 6
25% 101.5 6.2 69.7 15.9 60.8 14.5 65.0 26.3 80.0 2.5 48.0 20.7 62.0 19.7 36.2 12.8 29.5 11.0 38.1 9.0 60.1 17.2 80.0 25.9 29.0 14.9 38.0 14.2 30.3 4.0 22.0 8.5 14.0 2.2 28.1 12.5 21.3 4.7 21.4 2.2 16.4 2.0 10.6 5.1 11.4 1.1 6.5 6.4 5.5 1.1 25% 6 326 -0.746 -102% 13 25% 1,047 114% 263 10.9 6 25% 7,049 -0.716 -255% 6
75% 115.6 23.2 83.2 29.4 77.5 31.2 77.3 38.6 88.8 12.9 59.8 32.5 78.5 36.2 46.4 23.0 40.5 22.0 54.2 22.1 73.4 30.5 92.9 38.8 41.5 27.4 46.7 22.8 43.1 12.8 34.0 20.5 21.2 6.5 36.4 20.8 29.5 12.9 30.6 8.4 23.0 7.5 15.6 10.1 15.6 3.5 10.0 9.9 9.3 4.2 75% 15 466 0.665 -41% 19 75% 1,222 134% 438 18.2 15 75% 12,446 0.416 -101% 15
NCDC Climatology                                                                                                     NCDC Climatology
Period of Record (") 90.7 134% 60.0 90% 63.8 73% 58.8 66% 69.8 119% 41.6 66% 60.0 71% 34.3 68% 23.2 80% 36.2 89% 55.4 77% 71.5 76% 26.1 54% 31.4 76% 30.5 105% 21.6 63% 17.3 103% 28.2 55% 19.3 86% 21.7 109% 15.7 99% 10.2 54% 12.7 103% 7.5 2% 6.6 136% Period of Record (")
AVG FCST / Climo                                                                                                     AVG FCST / Climo
Avg FCST (PCT Climo) 121% -13% 131% 41% 109% 36% 122% 57% 119% 1% 131% 65% 115% 45% 119% 51% 154% 74% 127% 38% 127% 50% 120% 45% 137% 83% 136% 60% 124% 18% 136% 74% 111% 8% 118% 62% 135% 49% 120% 11% 128% 29% 137% 83% 107% 4% 117% 115% 119% -16% Avg FCST (PCT Climo) -34%
Median FCST (PCT Climo) 123% -11% 133% 44% 113% 40% 123% 57% 120% 2% 134% 68% 115% 45% 117% 48% 147% 67% 133% 44% 126% 49% 120% 45% 126% 72% 127% 51% 119% 14% 134% 72% 105% 2% 115% 59% 130% 44% 115% 7% 127% 29% 127% 73% 110% 7% 108% 106% 109% -27% Median FCST (PCT Climo)