| Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LT | CAR | 4.80 | BGR | 8.70 | PWM | 5.00 | CON | 5.00 | BTV | 3.50 | BOS | 2.90 | HYA | 0.05 | ORH | 4.30 | PVD | 0.20 | BDR | 0.40 | BDL | 3.30 | Forecaster | ALB | 5.50 | BGM | 2.40 | ISP | 0.05 | JFK | 0.05 | ABE | 0.05 | MDT | 0.05 | PHL | 0.05 | ACY | 0.00 | EWR | 0.10 | BWI | 0.00 | IAD | 0.00 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | 0.00 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.00 | RDU | 0.00 | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 46.4 | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error (") | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | |||
| 1 | JessicaCain | Intern | 12/24 22:29 | 7.00 | 2.20 | 7.20 | 1.50 | 5.20 | 0.20 | 4.90 | 0.10 | 3.90 | 0.40 | 2.70 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 4.40 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 3.50 | 0.20 | JessicaCain | 3.90 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 2.40 | 2.35 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.60 | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | JessicaCain | Intern | 19 | 17 | -0.991 | 75% | 1 | 50.7 | 4.3 | -0.651 | 62% | 4 | 12.0 | -1.028 | 47% | 1 | 0.63 | -1.049 | 45% | 1 | 0.893 | 0.925 | 16% | 2 | JessicaCain |
| 2 | TQ | Senior | 12/24 20:45 | 8.00 | 3.20 | 9.00 | 0.30 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.05 | - | 4.00 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 2.00 | 1.30 | TQ | 5.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.10 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 19 | 24 | -0.858 | 65% | 2 | 51.1 | 4.7 | -0.614 | 59% | 5 | 14 | -0.805 | 37% | 2 | 0.75 | -0.806 | 35% | 2 | 0.896 | 0.946 | 17% | 1 | TQ |
| 3 | Shillelagh | Chief | 12/24 18:12 | 6.30 | 1.50 | 5.80 | 2.90 | 4.10 | 0.90 | 5.10 | 0.10 | 3.30 | 0.20 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 0.05 | - | 4.30 | - | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 2.30 | 1.00 | Shillelagh | 2.80 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.50 | 0.40 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Shillelagh | Chief | 19 | 25 | -0.847 | 64% | 3 | 42.8 | 3.6 | -0.715 | 68% | 3 | 14.4 | -0.795 | 36% | 3 | 0.76 | -0.795 | 34% | 3 | 0.852 | 0.617 | 11% | 4 | Shillelagh |
| 4 | WeatherT | Senior | 12/24 15:46 | 7.50 | 2.70 | 5.50 | 3.20 | 5.00 | - | 4.80 | 0.20 | 3.00 | 0.50 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 0.05 | - | 6.20 | 1.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 2.80 | 0.50 | WeatherT | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 0.05 | - | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.10 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.60 | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | WeatherT | Senior | 19 | 33 | -0.685 | 52% | 4 | 46.0 | 0.4 | -1.010 | 96% | 2 | 17 | -0.504 | 23% | 5 | 0.92 | -0.478 | 21% | 5 | 0.787 | 0.138 | 2% | 8 | WeatherT |
| 5 | donsutherland1 | Senior | 12/24 22:29 | 9.70 | 4.90 | 8.80 | 0.10 | 7.60 | 2.60 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 4.70 | 1.20 | 0.20 | 2.70 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3.50 | 0.80 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.35 | 3.20 | 0.10 | donsutherland1 | 4.80 | 0.70 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.05 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Senior | 19 | 45 | -0.455 | 34% | 5 | 52.3 | 5.9 | -0.508 | 48% | 6 | 17 | -0.577 | 26% | 4 | 0.88 | -0.558 | 24% | 4 | 0.840 | 0.530 | 9% | 5 | donsutherland1 |
| 6 | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 12/24 07:31 | 10.00 | 5.20 | 7.00 | 1.70 | 8.00 | 3.00 | 5.00 | - | 4.50 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4.50 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 2.00 | 1.30 | Herb @MAWS | 2.70 | 2.80 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.05 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Herb @MAWS | Senior | 19 | 58 | -0.215 | 16% | 6 | 46.1 | 0.3 | -1.015 | 97% | 1 | 20 | -0.227 | 10% | 7 | 1.07 | -0.177 | 8% | 7 | 0.729 | -0.289 | -5% | 10 | Herb @MAWS |
| 7 | Brad Yehl | Senior | 12/24 21:29 | 10.60 | 5.80 | 8.40 | 0.30 | 7.20 | 2.20 | 7.80 | 2.80 | 5.80 | 2.30 | 0.20 | 2.70 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 3.00 | 0.30 | Brad Yehl | 4.80 | 0.70 | 2.60 | 0.20 | 0.05 | - | 0.05 | - | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.05 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Brad Yehl | Senior | 19 | 60 | -0.161 | 12% | 7 | 54.5 | 8.1 | -0.301 | 29% | 7 | 19 | -0.368 | 17% | 6 | 0.99 | -0.330 | 14% | 6 | 0.804 | 0.261 | 5% | 7 | Brad Yehl |
| 8 | NWS | GOVT | 12/24 22:20 | 10.00 | 5.20 | 9.00 | 0.30 | 8.00 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 6.00 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 5.00 | 1.70 | NWS | 5.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.10 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NWS | GOVT | 19 | 62 | -0.138 | 10% | 8 | 62.0 | 15.6 | 0.391 | -37% | 9 | 22 | -0.077 | 3% | 8 | 1.15 | -0.014 | 1% | 8 | 0.862 | 0.695 | 12% | 3 | NWS |
| 9 | Roger Smith | Senior | 12/24 04:59 | 6.50 | 1.70 | 2.20 | 6.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 4.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3.00 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 2.20 | 1.10 | Roger Smith | 1.80 | 3.70 | 2.40 | - | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.25 | - | - | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Roger Smith | Senior | 22 | 86 | 0.334 | -25% | 9 | 34.5 | 11.9 | 0.054 | -5% | 8 | 28 | 0.540 | -25% | 10 | 1.28 | 0.252 | -11% | 9 | 0.480 | -2.137 | -38% | 12 | Roger Smith |
| 10 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 12/24 22:29 | 11.00 | 6.20 | 9.00 | 0.30 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4.00 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 5.00 | 1.70 | Donald Rosenfeld | 6.50 | 1.00 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.90 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 19 | 93 | 0.458 | -35% | 10 | 66.0 | 19.6 | 0.759 | -73% | 10 | 26 | 0.302 | -14% | 9 | 1.35 | 0.398 | -17% | 10 | 0.805 | 0.268 | 5% | 6 | Donald Rosenfeld |
| 11 | iralibov | Senior | 12/24 20:29 | 12.00 | 7.20 | 9.40 | 0.70 | 9.60 | 4.60 | 8.70 | 3.70 | 6.10 | 2.60 | 1.60 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3.60 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 1.30 | iralibov | 5.80 | 0.30 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 1.20 | 1.15 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.50 | 0.40 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | iralibov | Senior | 20 | 108 | 0.744 | -56% | 11 | 69.5 | 23.1 | 1.082 | -103% | 11 | 30 | 0.710 | -32% | 11 | 1.49 | 0.684 | -30% | 11 | 0.784 | 0.118 | 2% | 9 | iralibov |
| 12 | snowman | Senior | 12/24 22:05 | 8.50 | 3.70 | 7.80 | 0.90 | 6.50 | 1.50 | 8.50 | 3.50 | 7.50 | 4.00 | 5.80 | 2.90 | 6.00 | 5.95 | 7.50 | 3.20 | 5.00 | 4.80 | 6.00 | 5.60 | 8.50 | 5.20 | snowman | 0.00 | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | snowman | Senior | 20 | 215 | 2.814 | -213% | 12 | 85.2 | 38.8 | 2.527 | -241% | 12 | 52 | 2.828 | -129% | 12 | 2.58 | 2.872 | -124% | 12 | 0.489 | -2.069 | -36% | 11 | snowman |
| Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 233 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
| Rookie | 0 | Consensus | MIN | 6.30 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 0.10 | 2.00 | - | 3.00 | - | 3.00 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | - | 3.00 | - | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 2.00 | 0.10 | MIN | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1.20 | - | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 19 | 17.3 | -0.991 | -212.8% | 1 | 34.5 | 0.3 | -1.015 | -241.4% | 1 | 12.0 | -1.028 | -128.9% | 1 | 0.63 | -1.049 | -124.0% | 1 | 0.480 | -2.137 | -37.5% | 1 | MIN | |
| Intern | 1 | MAX | 12.00 | 7.20 | 9.40 | 6.50 | 9.60 | 4.60 | 8.70 | 3.70 | 9.00 | 5.50 | 5.80 | 2.90 | 6.00 | 5.95 | 7.50 | 3.20 | 5.00 | 4.80 | 6.00 | 5.60 | 8.50 | 5.20 | MAX | 6.50 | 5.50 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 2.40 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MAX | 22 | 215.4 | 2.814 | 74.9% | 12 | 85.2 | 38.8 | 2.527 | 97.0% | 12 | 51.7 | 2.828 | 46.9% | 12 | 2.58 | 2.872 | 45.3% | 12 | 0.896 | 0.946 | 16.6% | 12 | MAX | ||
| Journey | 0 | AVG | 8.93 | 4.13 | 7.43 | 1.56 | 6.27 | 1.92 | 6.48 | 1.87 | 5.28 | 1.89 | 1.50 | 1.88 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 4.53 | 0.95 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 1.07 | 0.91 | 3.46 | 1.31 | AVG | 3.84 | 1.87 | 2.65 | 0.87 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.94 | 0.90 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | AVG | 19 | 68.9 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 55.0 | 11.4 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 22.6 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 1.15 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 0.768 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | AVG | ||
| Senior | 10 | Median | 9.10 | 4.30 | 8.10 | 0.80 | 6.25 | 1.85 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 4.85 | 1.35 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4.15 | 0.75 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.40 | 2.90 | 1.20 | Median | 4.35 | 1.30 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.50 | 0.40 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 19 | 59.1 | -0.188 | 14.2% | 7 | 51.7 | 7.0 | -0.404 | 38.6% | 7 | 19.5 | -0.298 | 13.6% | 7 | 1.03 | -0.254 | 11.0% | 7 | 0.804 | 0.264 | 4.6% | 7 | Median | ||
| TOT | 11 | Mode | 10.00 | 5.20 | 9.00 | 0.30 | 6.00 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 4.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4.00 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 2.00 | 1.30 | Mode | 5.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.50 | 0.40 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 19 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| STD | 1.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.32 | 1.77 | 1.35 | 1.66 | 1.52 | 1.48 | 0.79 | 1.65 | 1.63 | 1.29 | 0.90 | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.57 | 1.45 | 1.83 | 1.29 | STD | 1.77 | 1.53 | 1.08 | 0.69 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.33 | 0.27 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.01 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | STD | 1 | 52.1 | 1.000 | 75.6% | 3.5 | 13.1 | 10.9 | 1.000 | 95.5% | 3.5 | 10.3 | 1.000 | 45.6% | 3.5 | 0.50 | 1.000 | 43.2% | 3.5 | 13.5% | 1.000 | 17.6% | 3.5 | STD | ||||
| 25% | ile | 7.38 | 2.58 | 6.70 | 0.30 | 5.15 | 0.98 | 4.98 | 0.18 | 4.35 | 0.88 | 0.48 | 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 3.58 | 0.28 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 2.15 | 0.45 | 25% | 2.78 | 0.65 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.05 | 0.09 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 19 | 31.1 | -0.726 | -27.6% | 4 | 46.0 | 4.1 | -0.667 | -46.1% | 4 | 16.1 | -0.631 | -16.5% | 4 | 0.85 | -0.617 | -12.5% | 4 | 77.1% | 0.016 | 0.3% | 4 | ||||
| 75% | ile | 10.15 | 5.35 | 9.00 | 2.00 | 7.70 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 3.00 | 6.03 | 2.53 | 1.80 | 2.55 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 4.88 | 1.40 | 0.63 | 0.43 | 1.13 | 0.73 | 3.88 | 1.40 | 75% | 5.00 | 2.73 | 3.33 | 1.30 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.03 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.60 | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 19 | 87.9 | 0.365 | 54.9% | 9 | 63.0 | 16.6 | 0.483 | 63.7% | 9 | 26.3 | 0.362 | 28.8% | 9 | 1.30 | 0.289 | 26.6% | 9 | 85.4% | 0.636 | 11.2% | 9 | ||||