Total Absolute Season Total Snowfall SUMSQ
Forecaster CAR 124.5 BGR 109.0 PWM 91.1 CON 85.3 BTV 81.5 BOS 58.6 ORH 88.9 PVD 47.0 BDR 39.9 BDL 48.4 ALB 74.9 BGM 82.6 NYC 35.4 ABE 46.0 MDT 33.6 PHL 29.8 ACY 34.2 EWR 34.4 BWI 15.4 IAD 11.9 DCA 7.8 SBY 17.2 RIC 12.4 ORF 15.2 RDU 8.9 Forecaster Rank Error Error
Z-Score
%MPRV over PORN AVG
Stn
Error
Forecaster 1233.9 % Climo TOTAL
Error
AVG
Error
Rank Forecaster Error Error
Z-Score
% MPRV over PORN Rank Rank Forecaster Lowest
Station Error
Count Bat AVG
donsutherland1 108.6 15.9 92.5 16.5 77.4 13.7 69.9 15.4 92.7 11.2 52.8 5.8 77.3 11.6 38.2 8.8 31.2 8.7 52.0 3.6 72.6 2.3 93.1 10.5 34.0 1.4 33.6 12.4 32.5 1.1 23.5 6.3 19.7 14.5 35.0 0.6 17.2 1.8 18.1 6.2 15.1 7.3 11.2 6.0 13.4 1.0 9.2 6.0 7.0 1.9 donsutherland1 1 190 -1.053 32% 7.6 Mitchel Volk 1193.0 120% 41 1.7 1 donsutherland1 2,103 -0.699 56% 1 1 Mitchel Volk PWM CON ALB NYC PHL SBY ORF 7 0.280
Mitchel Volk 112.0 12.5 80.0 29.0 80.0 11.1 85.0 0.3 98.0 16.5 50.0 8.6 65.0 23.9 40.0 7.0 38.0 1.9 46.0 2.4 75.0 0.1 67.0 15.6 35.0 0.4 55.0 9.0 50.0 16.4 30.0 0.2 20.0 14.2 40.0 5.6 25.0 9.6 22.0 10.1 20.0 12.2 15.0 2.2 15.0 2.6 15.0 0.2 15.0 6.1 Mitchel Volk 2 218 -0.844 22% 8.7 33andrain 1179.0 119% 55 2.3 2 Mitchel Volk 3,313 -0.554 31% 2 2 iralibov BOS PVD ACY RDU 4 0.160
Brad Yehl 106.4 18.1 76.2 32.8 72.0 19.1 70.4 14.9 84.6 3.1 56.7 1.9 76.2 12.7 38.7 8.3 32.4 7.5 48.2 0.2 68.2 6.7 84.6 2.0 32.0 3.4 42.6 3.4 40.2 6.6 28.4 1.4 18.0 16.2 30.0 4.4 26.0 10.6 28.7 16.8 22.4 14.6 12.0 5.2 10.6 1.8 5.0 10.2 4.8 4.1 Brad Yehl 3 226 -0.781 19% 9.0 Roger Smith 1134.0 114% 100 4.2 3 Brad Yehl 3,447 -0.538 28% 3 3 33andrain BOS ORH IAD 3 0.120
TQ 118.0 6.5 71.0 38.0 80.0 11.1 86.0 0.7 87.0 5.5 47.0 11.6 73.0 15.9 36.0 11.0 25.0 14.9 50.0 1.6 55.0 19.9 74.0 8.6 24.0 11.4 27.0 19.0 28.0 5.6 17.0 12.8 12.0 22.2 23.0 11.4 13.0 2.4 16.0 4.1 11.0 3.2 7.0 10.2 7.0 5.4 3.0 12.2 4.0 4.9 TQ 4 270 -0.442 3% 10.8 donsutherland1 1127.8 113% 106 4.4 4 TQ 4,489 -0.413 6% 4 3 Any.Wx PWM BTV BDR 3 0.120
Shillelagh 120.0 4.5 73.0 36.0 65.0 26.1 73.0 12.3 79.0 2.5 39.0 19.6 70.0 18.9 28.0 19.0 29.0 10.9 54.0 5.6 71.0 3.9 75.0 7.6 22.0 13.4 30.0 16.0 27.0 6.6 19.0 10.8 14.0 20.2 26.0 8.4 19.0 3.6 17.0 5.1 13.0 5.2 10.0 7.2 11.0 1.4 5.0 10.2 5.0 3.9 Shillelagh 5 279 -0.374 0% 11.2 Brad Yehl 1115.3 112% 119 4.9 5 snowman 4,617 -0.398 4% 5 3 donsutherland1 BGR MDT EWR 3 0.120
P-O-R-N 120.0 4.5 73.0 36.0 65.0 26.1 73.0 12.3 79.0 2.5 39.0 19.6 70.0 18.9 28.0 19.0 29.0 10.9 54.0 5.6 71.0 3.9 75.0 7.6 22.0 13.4 30.0 16.0 27.0 6.6 19.0 10.8 14.0 20.2 26.0 8.4 19.0 3.6 17.0 5.1 13.0 5.2 10.0 7.2 11.0 1.4 5.0 10.2 5.0 3.9 P-O-R-N 5 279 -0.374 0% 11.2 iralibov 1104.0 111% 130 5.4 6 Shillelagh 4,792 -0.377 0% 6 6 Brad Yehl BDL ABE 2 0.080
CONSENSUS 95.7 28.8 70.1 38.9 67.5 23.6 65.9 19.4 79.1 2.4 45.2 13.4 61.5 27.4 38.4 8.6 34.4 5.5 44.9 3.5 58.7 16.2 79.3 3.3 29.2 6.2 34.2 11.8 29.7 3.9 22.0 7.8 14.5 19.6 31.3 3.1 18.3 2.9 18.2 6.3 13.4 5.6 10.4 6.8 10.2 2.2 6.5 8.7 5.6 3.3 CONSENSUS 7 279 -0.371 0% 11.2 snowman 1049.0 106% 185 7.7 7 P-O-R-N 4,792 -0.377 0% 6 6 kevinmyatt NYC RIC 2 0.080
iralibov 86.0 38.5 77.0 32.0 70.0 21.1 76.0 9.3 58.0 23.5 58.0 0.6 61.0 27.9 47.0 0.0 47.0 7.1 55.0 6.6 56.0 18.9 72.0 10.6 38.0 2.6 57.0 11.0 31.0 2.6 27.0 2.8 24.0 10.2 45.0 10.6 25.0 9.6 22.0 10.1 21.0 13.2 12.0 5.2 18.0 5.6 12.0 3.2 9.0 0.1 iralibov 8 283 -0.344 -1% 11.3 TQ 994.0 100% 240 10.0 8 33andrain 5,024 -0.349 -5% 8 6 snocat918 BGM BWI 2 0.080
snowman 121.0 3.5 77.0 32.0 75.0 16.1 74.0 11.3 88.0 6.5 45.0 13.6 70.0 18.9 34.0 13.0 32.0 7.9 23.0 25.4 62.0 12.9 92.5 9.9 27.0 8.4 31.0 15.0 32.0 1.6 19.5 10.3 13.0 21.2 33.0 1.4 31.0 15.6 21.5 9.6 17.5 9.7 8.5 8.7 10.5 1.9 5.5 9.7 5.5 3.4 snowman 9 287 -0.308 -3% 11.5 Shillelagh 994.0 100% 240 10.0 8 CONSENSUS 5,469 -0.296 -14% 9 9 MarkHofmann DCA 1 0.040
33andrain 115.0 9.5 81.0 28.0 73.0 18.1 65.0 20.3 94.0 12.5 58.0 0.6 80.0 8.9 50.0 3.0 60.0 20.1 70.0 21.6 67.0 7.9 100.0 17.4 54.0 18.6 35.0 11.0 26.0 7.6 20.0 9.8 15.0 19.2 61.0 26.6 7.0 8.4 12.0 0.1 5.0 2.8 10.0 7.2 9.0 3.4 6.0 9.2 6.0 2.9 33andrain 10 295 -0.253 -6% 11.8 P-O-R-N 994.0 100% 240 10.0 8 iralibov 5,727 -0.265 -20% 10 9 Roger Smith SBY 1 0.040
Roger Smith 95.0 29.5 70.0 39.0 66.0 25.1 59.0 26.3 93.0 11.5 60.0 1.4 73.0 15.9 45.0 2.0 35.0 4.9 42.0 6.4 55.0 19.9 75.0 7.6 40.0 4.6 50.0 4.0 35.0 1.4 35.0 5.2 15.0 19.2 42.0 7.6 38.0 22.6 40.0 28.1 19.0 11.2 15.0 2.2 17.0 4.6 12.0 3.2 8.0 0.9 Roger Smith 11 304 -0.179 -9% 12.2 CONSENSUS 984.3 99% 250 10.4 11 bubbler86 5,974 -0.236 -25% 11 9 snowman CAR 1 0.040
Any.Wx 90.0 34.5 70.0 39.0 80.0 11.1 70.0 15.3 82.0 0.5 50.0 8.6 75.0 13.9 52.0 5.0 40.0 0.1 58.0 9.6 49.0 25.9 90.0 7.4 30.0 5.4 22.0 24.0 18.0 15.6 14.0 15.8 10.0 24.2 30.0 4.4 8.0 7.4 10.0 1.9 6.0 1.8 7.0 10.2 5.0 7.4 4.0 11.2 3.0 5.9 Any.Wx 12 306 -0.166 -10% 12.2 bubbler86 977.8 98% 256 10.7 12 Any.Wx 6,260 -0.202 -31% 12 9 TQ PWM 1 0.040
bubbler86 103.0 21.5 78.4 30.6 62.8 28.3 82.0 3.3 102.2 20.7 34.0 24.6 68.8 20.1 46.0 1.0 36.8 3.1 44.9 3.5 64.0 10.9 89.0 6.4 22.4 13.0 29.0 17.0 22.0 11.6 12.0 17.8 8.9 25.3 18.9 15.5 13.2 2.2 11.1 0.8 10.1 2.3 7.6 9.6 5.4 7.0 2.1 13.1 3.2 5.7 bubbler86 13 315 -0.098 -13% 12.6 Any.Wx 973.0 98% 261 10.9 13 Roger Smith 6,576 -0.164 -37% 13 13 bubbler86   0 0.000
snocat918 70.0 54.5 65.0 44.0 55.0 36.1 58.0 27.3 62.0 19.5 40.0 18.6 50.0 38.9 33.0 14.0 42.0 2.1 49.0 0.6 72.0 2.9 81.0 1.6 17.0 18.4 39.0 7.0 39.0 5.4 36.0 6.2 14.0 20.2 31.0 3.4 17.0 1.6 20.0 8.1 17.0 9.2 8.0 9.2 15.0 2.6 5.0 10.2 6.0 2.9 snocat918 14 364 0.283 -31% 14.6 kevinmyatt 955.0 96% 279 11.6 14 Herb@MAWS 8,323 0.045 -74% 14 13 CONSENSUS   0 0.000
kevinmyatt 92.0 32.5 55.0 54.0 52.0 39.1 55.0 30.3 72.0 9.5 43.0 15.6 42.0 46.9 36.0 11.0 30.0 9.9 33.0 15.4 55.0 19.9 78.0 4.6 35.0 0.4 38.0 8.0 32.0 1.6 28.0 1.8 22.0 12.2 30.0 4.4 27.0 11.6 25.0 13.1 20.0 12.2 27.0 9.8 12.0 0.4 8.0 7.2 8.0 0.9 kevinmyatt 15 372 0.343 -33% 14.9 snocat918 941.0 95% 293 12.2 15 Jessica_Cain 8,722 0.093 -82% 15 13 Donald Rosenfeld   0 0.000
Herb@MAWS 101.0 23.5 60.0 49.0 61.0 30.1 60.0 25.3 73.0 8.5 38.0 20.6 59.0 29.9 31.0 16.0 27.0 12.9 43.0 5.4 55.0 19.9 74.0 8.6 22.0 13.4 28.0 18.0 27.0 6.6 20.0 9.8 13.0 21.2 28.0 6.4 21.0 5.6 20.0 8.1 12.0 4.2 7.0 10.2 9.0 3.4 4.0 11.2 4.0 4.9 Herb@MAWS 16 373 0.346 -34% 14.9 Donald Rosenfeld 922.0 93% 312 13.0 16 Donald Rosenfeld 8,999 0.126 -88% 16 13 Herb@MAWS   0 0.000
Donald Rosenfeld 88.0 36.5 70.0 39.0 75.0 16.1 60.0 25.3 90.0 8.5 38.5 20.1 42.0 46.9 39.0 8.0 35.0 4.9 47.0 1.4 64.0 10.9 105.0 22.4 28.0 7.4 25.0 21.0 25.0 8.6 15.0 14.8 9.0 25.2 28.0 6.4 5.0 10.4 7.0 4.9 4.0 3.8 9.0 8.2 5.0 7.4 5.5 9.7 3.0 5.9 Donald Rosenfeld 17 374 0.353 -34% 14.9 Herb@MAWS 897.0 90% 337 14.0 17 snocat918 10,635 0.322 -122% 17 13 Jessica_Cain   0 0.000
Jessica_Cain 91.9 32.6 67.2 41.8 68.9 22.2 61.5 23.8 77.2 4.3 37.8 20.8 58.0 30.9 35.9 11.1 23.8 16.1 42.2 6.2 50.9 24.0 77.5 5.1 20.4 15.0 24.1 21.9 20.1 13.5 14.2 15.6 9.4 24.8 21.1 13.3 7.7 7.7 6.6 5.3 5.8 2.0 4.5 12.7 5.2 7.2 3.7 11.5 0.7 8.2 Jessica_Cain 18 398 0.537 -43% 15.9 Jessica_Cain 836.3 84% 398 16.6 18 kevinmyatt 10,667 0.325 -123% 18 13 P-O-R-N   0 0.000
MarkHofmann 38.0 86.5 42.0 67.0 35.0 56.1 29.0 56.3 21.0 60.5 18.0 40.6 15.0 73.9 17.0 30.0 27.0 12.9 24.0 24.4 22.0 52.9 24.0 58.6 12.0 23.4 14.0 32.0 16.0 17.6 12.0 17.8 7.0 27.2 8.0 26.4 11.0 4.4 8.0 3.9 7.0 0.8 5.0 12.2 4.0 8.4 3.0 12.2 2.0 6.9 MarkHofmann 19 813 3.725 -192% 32.5 MarkHofmann 421.0 42% 813 33.9 19 MarkHofmann 41,035 3.958 -756% 19 13 Shillelagh   0 0.000
FCST Parameters CAR Err BGR Err PWM Err CON Err BTV Err BOS Err ORH Err PVD Err BDR Err BDL Err ALB Err BGM Err NYC Err ABE Err MDT Err PHL Err ACY Err EWR Err BWI Err IAD Err DCA Err SBY Err RIC Err ORF Err RDU Err FCST Parameters Rank Error Z %MPRV   FCST Parameters TOT %Climo Error AAE Rank FCST Parameters Error Error Z % MPRV Rank
MIN 38.0 3.5 42.0 16.5 35.0 11.1 29.0 0.3 21.0 0.5 18.0 0.6 15.0 8.9 17.0 0.0 23.8 0.1 23.0 0.2 22.0 0.1 24.0 1.6 12.0 0.4 14.0 3.4 16.0 1.1 12.0 0.2 7.0 10.2 8.0 0.6 5.0 1.6 6.6 0.1 4.0 0.8 4.5 2.2 4.0 0.4 2.1 0.2 0.7 0.1 MIN 1 190 -1.053 -192% 8 MIN 421 42% 41 1.7 1 MIN 2,103 -0.699 -756% 1
MAX 121.0 86.5 92.5 67.0 80.0 56.1 86.0 56.3 102.2 60.5 60.0 40.6 80.0 73.9 52.0 30.0 60.0 20.1 70.0 25.4 75.0 52.9 105.0 58.6 54.0 23.4 57.0 32.0 50.0 17.6 36.0 17.8 24.0 27.2 61.0 26.6 38.0 22.6 40.0 28.1 22.4 14.6 27.0 12.7 18.0 8.4 15.0 13.1 15.0 8.2 MAX 19 813 3.725 32% 33 MAX 1193 120% 813 33.9 19 MAX 41,035 3.958 56% 19
AVG 98.5 26.0 71.0 38.0 67.4 23.7 67.0 18.4 79.6 12.1 44.7 14.0 62.5 26.4 37.5 10.3 34.5 8.5 46.3 7.8 60.2 14.7 79.3 11.3 28.6 9.5 33.9 14.6 29.3 7.4 21.7 9.4 14.3 19.8 30.9 8.9 18.3 7.5 17.9 7.8 13.3 6.7 10.3 7.9 10.2 4.0 6.3 8.9 5.5 4.0 AVG 10 328 0.000 -17% 13 AVG 989 99% 245 10.2 10 AVG 7,945 0.000 -66% 10
Median 101.0 23.5 71.0 38.0 68.9 22.2 69.9 15.4 82.0 8.5 45.0 13.6 68.8 20.1 38.2 8.8 32.4 7.9 47.0 5.6 62.0 12.9 78.0 7.6 28.0 8.4 31.0 15.0 28.0 6.6 20.0 9.8 14.0 20.2 30.0 6.4 18.3 7.4 18.1 6.2 13.0 5.2 10.0 8.2 10.5 3.4 5.0 10.2 5.0 3.9 Median 10 295 -0.253 -6% 12 Median 994 100% 240 10.0 8 Median 5,727 -0.265 -20% 10
Mode 120.0 4.5 70.0 39.0 80.0 11.1 73.0 12.3 79.0 2.5 50.0 8.6 70.0 18.9 36.0 11.0 29.0 10.9 54.0 5.6 55.0 19.9 75.0 7.6 22.0 13.4 30.0 16.0 27.0 6.6 19.0 10.8 14.0 20.2 30.0 4.4 25.0 9.6 22.0 10.1 20.0 12.2 7.0 10.2 15.0 2.6 5.0 10.2 4.0 4.9 Mode           Mode 994 100% 240 10.0 8 Mode
STD 20.2 20.2 10.7 10.7 11.2 11.2 12.9 12.8 18.2 13.5 10.3 10.1 16.0 16.0 8.4 7.3 8.6 5.3 11.1 7.9 12.2 12.2 16.8 12.6 9.6 6.8 11.1 7.2 8.1 5.3 7.3 5.6 4.7 4.7 11.1 7.3 8.9 5.4 8.2 6.4 5.9 4.4 5.0 2.9 4.2 2.6 3.5 3.5 3.1 2.2 STD 6 130 1.000 47% 5 STD 169 17% 169 7.0 6 STD 8,361 1.000 174% 6
33% 92.0 15.9 70.0 32.8 65.0 18.1 61.5 12.3 79.0 5.5 39.0 8.6 61.0 18.9 35.9 8.0 30.0 5.5 44.9 3.5 55.0 7.9 75.0 7.4 22.4 5.4 29.0 11.0 27.0 5.4 19.0 6.3 13.0 19.2 28.0 4.4 13.2 3.6 16.0 5.1 11.0 3.8 8.0 7.2 9.0 2.2 5.0 9.2 4.0 3.3 33% 7 279 -0.371 -13% 11 33% 973 98% 185 7.7 7 33% 4,792 -0.377 -37% 6
67% 108.6 32.5 76.2 39.0 73.0 26.1 73.0 23.8 88.0 11.5 50.0 19.6 70.0 27.9 39.0 11.1 35.0 10.9 50.0 6.4 67.0 19.9 84.6 9.9 32.0 13.4 35.0 17.0 32.0 7.6 23.5 10.8 15.0 21.2 31.3 8.4 21.0 9.6 20.0 8.1 17.0 9.2 10.4 9.6 11.0 5.4 6.0 10.2 6.0 4.9 67% 13 315 -0.098 0% 13 67% 1049 106% 261 10.9 13 67% 6,576 -0.164 0% 13
NCDC Climatology                                                                                                     NCDC Climatology  
Period of Record (") 90.7 137% 60.0 182% 63.8 143% 58.8 145% 69.8 117% 41.6 141% 60.0 148% 34.3 137% 23.2 172% 36.2 134% 55.4 135% 71.5 116% 26.1 136% 31.4 146% 30.5 110% 21.6 138% 17.3 197% 28.2 122% 19.3 80% 21.7 55% 15.7 50% 10.2 169% 12.7 98% 7.5 203% 6.6 135% Period of Record (")  
AVG FCST / Climo                                                                                                     AVG FCST / Climo  
Avg FCST (PCT Climo) 109% -29% 118% -63% 106% -37% 114% -31% 114% -3% 108% -33% 104% -44% 109% -28% 149% -23% 128% -6% 109% -27% 111% -5% 110% -26% 108% -38% 96% -14% 100% -38% 83% -114% 110% -12% 95% 15% 83% 28% 85% 35% 101% -67% 80% -18% 84% -119% 84% -51% Avg FCST (PCT Climo)  
Median FCST (PCT Climo) 111% -26% 118% -63% 108% -35% 119% -26% 117% 1% 108% -33% 115% -34% 111% -26% 140% -32% 130% -4% 112% -23% 109% -6% 107% -28% 99% -48% 92% -18% 93% -45% 81% -116% 106% -16% 95% 15% 83% 29% 83% 33% 98% -71% 83% -15% 67% -136% 76% -59% Median FCST (PCT Climo)