Complete Results @ http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the left-side link from 'Storm-total Contest Verified Forecasts’ – Contest #3 to see the complete station forecast verification table.
In the table...
Yellow cells indicate the best score in category.
Forecast STP cells are yellow if within +/- 5% of observed STP.
Blue (Red) cells indicate the top (lower) 25% percentile.
SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm total precipitation
TAE: total absolute
AAE: average absolute error
Final Standings - all Forecasters
Best Station Forecasts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Lowest Absolute Error)
Best Station Forecast Busts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Highest Absolute Error)
Consensus forecast best @ BTV … BDR
MAX forecast best @ BGR … BGM
MAX forecast less than observed @ BGM
MIN forecasts best @ CAR … PWM …BOS …HYA …ORH …PVD …BDL … ISP …JFK …ABE
MIN forecasts more than observed @ CAR … CON …BOS
Good association between SUMSQ and TAE Z-scores
Good data from CDUS41 … PNS … and F6 bulletins.
Storm-total snowfall estimated by interpolation of vicinity PNSBOX reports and evaluation of METARs.
13-FEB/s daily CLI and CF6 bulletins carry 'MM' as daily snowfall at post-time. Storm-total snowfall entered as reported by PNSGYX and evaluation of METARs. Value subject to change pending CDUS41 and CXUS51 bulletin updates.
Daily climate bulletin carries 'T'; however ... no evidence of frozen precipitation in METARs.
Table of storm-total snowfalls for SUN and MON from CDUS41 and CXUS51 bulletins.
New Daily Records:
SUN ... 12-FEB-17
BTV - 7.6" (6.8"; 1988)
MON ... 13-FEB-17
BGR - 21.5" (6.3"; 1977)