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Forecaster |
Class |
4casts |
Sum Square |
STP |
TOTAL Absolute |
AVG Absolute |
|
|
|
|
|
Rank |
Forecaster |
Class |
Entry Date / LT |
CAR |
11.40 |
BGR |
5.70 |
PWM |
7.70 |
CON |
8.30 |
BTV |
2.90 |
BOS |
0.40 |
HYA |
0.00 |
ORH |
5.90 |
PVD |
0.05 |
BDR |
0.00 |
BDL |
0.40 |
ALB |
2.20 |
BGM |
3.80 |
Forecaster |
ISP |
0.00 |
JFK |
0.05 |
ABE |
0.30 |
MDT |
0.10 |
PHL |
0.05 |
ACY |
0.00 |
EWR |
0.05 |
BWI |
0.05 |
IAD |
0.05 |
DCA |
0.05 |
SBY |
0.00 |
RIC |
0.00 |
ORF |
0.00 |
RDU |
0.00 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
49.5 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Forecaster |
1 |
shillelagh |
Senior |
12/28 22:31 |
14.00 |
2.60 |
4.00 |
1.70 |
2.50 |
5.20 |
10.00 |
1.70 |
4.50 |
1.60 |
1.50 |
1.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
4.00 |
1.90 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
2.00 |
1.60 |
2.50 |
0.30 |
4.80 |
1.00 |
shillelagh |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.25 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
shillelagh |
Senior |
21 |
51 |
-1.032 |
65% |
1 |
50.1 |
0.6 |
-0.817 |
95% |
1 |
19.4 |
-0.907 |
36% |
2 |
0.92 |
-1.070 |
40% |
1 |
0.830 |
0.884 |
22% |
2 |
shillelagh |
2 |
Herb @MAWS |
Senior |
12/28
15:22 |
7.50 |
3.90 |
6.00 |
0.30 |
2.00 |
5.70 |
8.00 |
0.30 |
5.50 |
2.60 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
3.00 |
2.90 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
0.10 |
3.00 |
0.80 |
4.00 |
0.20 |
Herb @MAWS |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Herb @MAWS |
Senior |
18 |
64 |
-0.887 |
56% |
2 |
39.7 |
9.7 |
-0.225 |
26% |
6 |
17.7 |
-1.041 |
42% |
1 |
0.99 |
-0.961 |
36% |
2 |
0.778 |
0.577 |
15% |
3 |
Herb @MAWS |
3 |
TQ |
Senior |
12/28
21:57 |
8.00 |
3.40 |
4.00 |
1.70 |
1.00 |
6.70 |
8.00 |
0.30 |
6.00 |
3.10 |
0.50 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
6.00 |
0.10 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.00 |
1.60 |
4.00 |
1.80 |
2.00 |
1.80 |
TQ |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
1.00 |
0.70 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
TQ |
Senior |
19 |
79 |
-0.721 |
45% |
3 |
43.5 |
5.9 |
-0.471 |
55% |
4 |
22.4 |
-0.658 |
26% |
3 |
1.2 |
-0.621 |
23% |
3 |
0.706 |
0.157 |
4% |
5 |
TQ |
4 |
WeatherT |
Senior |
12/28
21:32 |
8.50 |
2.90 |
6.20 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
7.20 |
9.50 |
1.20 |
5.00 |
2.10 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.20 |
4.70 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.80 |
0.40 |
4.30 |
2.10 |
4.50 |
0.70 |
WeatherT |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
1.10 |
0.80 |
1.30 |
1.20 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
WeatherT |
Senior |
19 |
96 |
-0.537 |
34% |
4 |
42.9 |
6.5 |
-0.432 |
50% |
5 |
24.5 |
-0.487 |
20% |
5 |
1.3 |
-0.429 |
16% |
5 |
0.647 |
-0.184 |
-5% |
8 |
WeatherT |
5 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
12/28 22:30 |
12.40 |
1.00 |
3.90 |
1.80 |
0.40 |
7.30 |
4.20 |
4.10 |
3.70 |
0.80 |
0.05 |
0.35 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.00 |
4.90 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.35 |
3.80 |
1.60 |
4.00 |
0.20 |
Brad Yehl |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
19 |
102 |
-0.470 |
30% |
5 |
34.0 |
15.5 |
0.148 |
-17% |
7 |
22.7 |
-0.638 |
26% |
4 |
1.2 |
-0.598 |
22% |
4 |
0.648 |
-0.176 |
-4% |
7 |
Brad Yehl |
6 |
NWS |
Official |
12/28 22:30 |
10.00 |
1.40 |
3.50 |
2.20 |
1.50 |
6.20 |
15.00 |
6.70 |
5.00 |
2.10 |
0.50 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
7.00 |
1.10 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.50 |
2.10 |
5.00 |
2.80 |
1.50 |
2.30 |
NWS |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.20 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
NWS |
Official |
19 |
114 |
-0.337 |
21% |
6 |
53.5 |
4.1 |
-0.593 |
69% |
2 |
28.7 |
-0.144 |
6% |
6 |
1.5 |
-0.044 |
2% |
6 |
0.672 |
-0.038 |
-1% |
6 |
NWS |
7 |
MarkHofmann |
Senior |
12/27
20:58 |
4.00 |
7.40 |
5.00 |
0.70 |
3.00 |
4.70 |
3.00 |
5.30 |
4.00 |
1.10 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
5.90 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
5.00 |
5.00 |
4.00 |
3.60 |
3.00 |
0.80 |
3.00 |
0.80 |
MarkHofmann |
3.00 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
2.95 |
2.00 |
1.70 |
1.00 |
0.90 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
MarkHofmann |
Senior |
21 |
204 |
0.655 |
-41% |
7 |
45.0 |
4.4 |
-0.568 |
66% |
3 |
46.3 |
1.290 |
-52% |
8 |
2.2 |
1.164 |
-43% |
8 |
0.234 |
-2.593 |
-66% |
9 |
MarkHofmann |
8 |
snocat918 |
Senior |
12/28
20:20 |
24.00 |
12.60 |
8.00 |
2.30 |
1.00 |
6.70 |
16.00 |
7.70 |
4.50 |
1.60 |
0.25 |
0.15 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
6.00 |
0.10 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
4.50 |
2.30 |
1.25 |
2.55 |
snocat918 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.25 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
snocat918 |
Senior |
21 |
283 |
1.526 |
-96% |
8 |
67.2 |
17.8 |
0.295 |
-34% |
8 |
37.7 |
0.589 |
-24% |
7 |
1.8 |
0.451 |
-17% |
7 |
0.753 |
0.432 |
11% |
4 |
snocat918 |
9 |
Donald
Rosenfeld |
Senior |
12/28
22:29 |
18.00 |
6.60 |
14.00 |
8.30 |
9.00 |
1.30 |
14.75 |
6.45 |
9.00 |
6.10 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
8.50 |
2.60 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
6.75 |
6.35 |
7.75 |
5.55 |
6.00 |
2.20 |
Donald
Rosenfeld |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
3.00 |
2.70 |
5.00 |
4.90 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
Senior |
20 |
308 |
1.802 |
-113% |
9 |
103.8 |
54.3 |
2.663 |
-311% |
9 |
55.0 |
1.996 |
-80% |
9 |
2.7 |
2.108 |
-79% |
9 |
0.840 |
0.941 |
24% |
1 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
|
|
Forecast
Parameters |
CAR |
Error |
BGR |
Error |
PWM |
Error |
CON |
Error |
BTV |
Error |
BOS |
Error |
HYA |
Error |
ORH |
Error |
PVD |
Error |
BDR |
Error |
BDL |
Error |
ALB |
Error |
BGM |
Error |
|
ISP |
Error |
JFK |
Error |
ABE |
Error |
MDT |
Error |
PHL |
Error |
ACY |
Error |
EWR |
Error |
BWI |
Error |
IAD |
Error |
DCA |
Error |
SBY |
Error |
RIC |
Error |
ORF |
Error |
RDU |
Error |
Forecast
Parameters |
177 |
Error |
Error Z |
% MPRV |
Rank |
STP |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Forecast Parameters |
Rookie |
0 |
Consensus |
MIN |
4.00 |
1.00 |
3.50 |
0.30 |
0.40 |
1.30 |
3.00 |
0.30 |
3.70 |
0.80 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
2.50 |
0.30 |
1.25 |
0.20 |
MIN |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
MIN |
18 |
50.7 |
-1.032 |
-113.3% |
1 |
34.0 |
0.6 |
-0.817 |
-311.1% |
1 |
17.7 |
-1.041 |
-80.2% |
1 |
0.92 |
-1.070 |
-78.8% |
1 |
0.234 |
-2.593 |
-65.6% |
1 |
MIN |
Intern |
0 |
MAX |
24.00 |
12.60 |
14.00 |
8.30 |
9.00 |
7.30 |
16.00 |
7.70 |
9.00 |
6.10 |
1.50 |
1.10 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
8.50 |
5.90 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
5.00 |
5.00 |
6.75 |
6.35 |
7.75 |
5.55 |
6.00 |
2.55 |
MAX |
3.00 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
2.95 |
3.00 |
2.70 |
5.00 |
4.90 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
MAX |
21 |
308.4 |
1.802 |
64.9% |
9 |
103.8
|
54.3 |
2.663 |
95.4% |
9 |
55.0 |
1.996 |
41.9% |
9 |
2.75
|
2.108 |
40.0% |
9 |
0.840 |
0.941 |
23.8% |
9 |
MAX |
Journey |
0 |
AVG |
11.82 |
4.64 |
6.07 |
2.17 |
2.32 |
5.67 |
9.83 |
3.75 |
5.24 |
2.34 |
0.42 |
0.40 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
4.08 |
2.69 |
0.18 |
0.17 |
0.68 |
0.68 |
2.18 |
1.86 |
4.21 |
2.01 |
3.45 |
1.31 |
AVG |
0.34 |
0.34 |
0.34 |
0.37 |
0.90 |
0.76 |
0.94 |
0.89 |
0.17 |
0.19 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.04 |
0.11 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
AVG |
20 |
144.5 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
5 |
53.3
|
13.2 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
5 |
30.5 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
5 |
1.54
|
0.000 |
0.0% |
5 |
0.679 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
5 |
AVG |
Senior |
8 |
Median |
10.00 |
3.40 |
5.00 |
1.70 |
1.50 |
6.20 |
9.50 |
4.10 |
5.00 |
2.10 |
0.25 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
4.00 |
2.60 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.00 |
1.60 |
4.00 |
1.80 |
4.00 |
1.00 |
Median |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.25 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Median |
19 |
101.9 |
-0.470 |
29.5% |
5 |
45.0
|
6.5 |
-0.432 |
50.5% |
5 |
24.5 |
-0.487 |
19.6% |
5 |
1.29
|
-0.429 |
16.0% |
5 |
0.706 |
0.157 |
4.0% |
5 |
Median |
TOT |
8 |
Mode |
#N/A |
#N/A |
4.00 |
1.70 |
1.00 |
6.70 |
8.00 |
0.30 |
4.50 |
1.60 |
0.50 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
6.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.00 |
1.60 |
3.00 |
0.80 |
4.00 |
0.20 |
Mode |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.25 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Mode |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mode |
|
|
STD |
5.78 |
3.46 |
3.12 |
2.28 |
2.50 |
1.75 |
4.40 |
2.76 |
1.49 |
1.49 |
0.50 |
0.29 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
2.81 |
2.00 |
0.23 |
0.20 |
1.56 |
1.56 |
1.97 |
1.90 |
1.46 |
1.46 |
1.53 |
0.87 |
STD |
0.94 |
0.94 |
0.94 |
0.91 |
0.96 |
0.84 |
1.50 |
1.47 |
0.33 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.31 |
0.28 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
STD |
1 |
90.9 |
1.000 |
62.9% |
2.6
|
19.9
|
15.4 |
1.000 |
116.8% |
2.6 |
12.3 |
1.000 |
40.2% |
2.6 |
0.57
|
1.000 |
37.4% |
2.6
|
17.2% |
1.000 |
25.3% |
2.6 |
STD |
|
|
25% |
ile |
8.00 |
2.60 |
4.00 |
0.70 |
1.00 |
5.20 |
8.00 |
1.20 |
4.50 |
1.60 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.20 |
1.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.80 |
0.40 |
3.00 |
0.80 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
25% |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
25% |
19 |
79.0 |
-0.721 |
-41.2% |
3 |
42.9 |
4.4 |
-0.568 |
-17.3% |
3 |
22.4 |
-0.658 |
-23.7% |
3 |
1.18 |
-0.621 |
-16.8% |
3 |
64.8% |
-0.176 |
-4.5% |
3 |
|
|
|
75% |
ile |
14.00 |
6.60 |
6.20 |
2.20 |
2.50 |
6.70 |
14.75 |
6.45 |
5.50 |
2.60 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
6.00 |
4.70 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
2.50 |
2.10 |
4.50 |
2.30 |
4.50 |
2.20 |
75% |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
1.10 |
0.80 |
1.00 |
0.90 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
75% |
21 |
204.1 |
0.655 |
45.4% |
7 |
53.5
|
15.5 |
0.148 |
66.4% |
7 |
37.7 |
0.589 |
26.5% |
7 |
1.80
|
0.451 |
23.2% |
7 |
77.8% |
0.577 |
14.6% |
7 |
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