Full results @ http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the left-side link from 'Snow Storm Contest Verified Forecasts – Storm #1’ to see the complete station forecast verification table.
In the table...
Yellow cells indicate the best score in category.
Forecast STP cells are yellow if within +/- 5% of observed STP.
Blue (Red) cells indicate the upper (lower) 25% percentile.
SUMSQ: sum of square errors (primary measure of skill)
STP: storm total precipitation
TAE: total absolute
AAE: average absolute error
Final Standings - all Forecasters
Best Station Forecasts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Lowest Absolute Error)
Best Station Forecast Busts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Highest Absolute Error)
Consensus forecast best @ CAR … BGR … BGM
MAX forecast best @ PWM
MAX forecast less than observed @
MIN forecasts best @ BTV … ALB
MIN forecasts more than observed @ BTV
Good association between SUMSQ and TAE Z-scores
Good data from CDUS41 … PNS … and F6 bulletins.
No Snow-Liquid ratios for mixed precipitation conditions ... such as PWM and BOS ... where 1.84" and 1.16” liquid respectively … was measured.
New Daily Records:
CON - 8.3" (7.1"; 1956)