Total Absolute Season Total Snowfall SUMSQ
Forecaster  CAR  100.0  BGR  78.8  PWM  86.8  CON  78.6  BTV  91.7  BOS  46.4  ORH  75.4  PVD  45.9  BDR  40.9  BDL  60.3  ALB  58.3  BGM  104.5 Forecaster  NYC  30.2  ABE  28.3  MDT  23.9  PHL  15.0  ACY  7.8  EWR  31.4  BWI  3.1  IAD  7.4  DCA  3.5  SBY      9.8  RIC  7.2  ORF  5.40  RDU  0.85 Forecaster  Rank  Error  Error
Z-Score 
 %MPRV over PORN  AVG
Stn
Error
Forecaster 1041.3 % Climo TOTAL
Error
AVG
Error
Rank Forecaster Error Error
Z-Score
 % MPRV over PORN   Rank  Rank Forecaster Lowest
Station Error
Count Bat AVG
TQ 96.0 4.0 72.0 6.8 66.0 20.8 60.0 18.6 84.0 7.7 48.0 1.6 66.0 9.4 42.0 3.9 30.0 10.9 48.0 12.3 66.0 7.7 84.0 20.5 TQ 24.0 6.2 30.0 1.7 30.0 6.1 18.0 3.0 12.0 4.3 30.0 1.4 18.0 14.9 18.0 10.7 12.0 8.5   10.0     0.2 8.0 0.9 6.0 0.6 4.0 3.2 TQ            1    185.8 -1.325 42%      7.4   1.00 DAROOSTA 1043.0 114.1% 1.8 0.1 1 TQ 2,282 -0.992 53%         1 1 Jessica_wxgirl ABE MDT BWI RIC 4 0.160
Jessica_wxgirl 95.4 4.6 74.6 4.2 69.0 17.8 62.9 15.7 73.2 18.5 44.0 2.4 63.6 11.8 34.5 11.4 29.1 11.8 47.3 13.0 59.2 0.9 75.7 28.8 Jessica_wxgirl 23.0 7.2 27.5 0.8 24.0 0.1 20.9 5.9 10.9 3.2 24.5 6.9 13.0 9.9 15.2 7.9 11.3 7.8     6.2     3.6 7.1 0.05 4.5 0.9 1.9 1.1 Jessica_wxgirl            2    196.1 -1.169 39%      7.8   0.95 CONSENSUS 1034.8 113.2% 6.5 0.3 2 MillVilleWx 2,634 -0.864 46%         2 2 MillVilleWx PWM ORH ALB 3 0.120
MillVilleWx 124.1 24.1 75.4 3.4 92.0 5.2 66.7 11.9 104.1 12.4 56.2 9.8 75.5 0.1 48.4 2.5 33.3 7.6 48.5 11.8 58.1 0.2 91.2 13.3 MillVilleWx 28.4 1.8 34.0 5.7 29.1 5.2 25.4 10.4 21.3 13.6 27.2 4.2 20.4 17.3 26.2 18.9 16.8 13.3   13.4     3.7 7.8 0.7 3.7 1.7 5.6 4.8 MillVilleWx            3    203.4 -1.059 37%      8.1   0.91 donsutherland1 1063.8 116.4% 22.5 0.9 3 Jessica_wxgirl 2,738 -0.826 44%         3 2 Mitchel Volk PHL ACY IAD 3 0.120
donsutherland1 100.9 0.9 80.4 1.6 66.1 20.7 66.8 11.8 77.5 14.2 53.2 6.8 75.5 0.1 40.2 5.7 34.3 6.6 53.1 7.2 64.2 5.9 81.5 23.0 donsutherland1 33.3 3.1 35.4 7.1 26.5 2.6 25.8 10.8 17.8 10.1 35.2 3.8 22.4 19.3 25.1 17.8 18.7 15.2     8.2     1.6 8.3 1.2 7.6 2.2 5.8 5.0 donsutherland1            4    204.1 -1.048 36%      8.2   0.91 MarkHofmann 1007.0 110.2% 34.3 1.4 4 donsutherland1 2,761 -0.817 44%         4 2 weathermbug SBY ORF RDU 3 0.120
CONSENSUS 107.7 7.7 77.6 1.2 69.3 17.5 64.9 13.7 86.1 5.6 45.5 0.9 60.2 15.2 35.1 10.8 34.1 6.8 44.2 16.1 63.8 5.5 83.8 20.7 CONSENSUS 28.3 1.9 34.5 6.2 33.6 9.7 24.1 9.1 16.1 8.4 28.1 3.3 21.6 18.5 23.0 15.6 16.8 13.3   13.0     3.2 10.7 3.5 6.8 1.4 5.8 5.0 CONSENSUS            5    220.8 -0.795 31%      8.8   0.84 snocat918 1079.0 118.0% 37.8 1.6 5 CONSENSUS 2,812 -0.799 42%         5 5 CONSENSUS BGR BOS 2 0.080
Brad Yehl 104.2 4.2 80.4 1.6 68.7 18.1 72.4 6.2 84.6 7.1 47.6 1.2 72.4 3.0 36.7 9.2 32.8 8.1 50.4 9.9 68.2 9.9 82.4 22.1 Brad Yehl 28.4 1.8 42.8 14.5 48.2 24.3 24.8 9.8 15.4 7.7 34.7 3.3 24.0 20.9 30.7 23.4 20.4 16.9   11.8     2.1 12.4 5.3 6.0 0.6 4.8 4.0 Brad Yehl            6    235.0 -0.580 27%      9.4   0.79 Mitchel Volk 1099.0 120.2% 57.8 2.4 6 dmillz25 3,239 -0.642 34%         6 5 Donald Rosenfeld CAR BGM 2 0.080
Herb@MAWS 103.0 3.0 71.0 7.8 61.0 25.8 60.0 18.6 77.0 14.7 43.0 3.4 62.0 13.4 31.0 14.9 26.0 14.9 43.0 17.3 56.0 2.3 78.0 26.5 Herb@MAWS 24.0 6.2 30.0 1.7 29.0 5.1 20.0 5.0 15.0 7.3 26.0 5.4 17.0 13.9 19.0 11.7 11.0 7.5     8.0     1.8 9.0 1.9 5.0 0.4 6.0 5.2 Herb@MAWS            7    235.5 -0.573 27%      9.4   0.79 TQ 982.0 107.4% 59.3 2.5 7 Herb@MAWS 3,532 -0.535 28%         7 5 Herb@MAWS DCA ORF 2 0.080
dmillz25 103.0 3.0 91.0 12.2 77.0 9.8 71.0 7.6 95.0 3.3 53.0 6.6 69.0 6.4 50.0 4.1 42.0 1.1 53.0 7.3 65.0 6.7 93.0 11.5 dmillz25 39.0 8.8 52.0 23.7 43.0 19.1 33.0 18.0 19.0 11.3 42.0 10.6 23.0 19.9 25.0 17.7 19.0 15.5   15.0     5.3 10.0 2.9 8.0 2.6 6.0 5.2 dmillz25            8    240.0 -0.504 25%      9.6   0.77 Brad Yehl 1105.2 120.9% 64.0 2.7 8 Brad Yehl 3,567 -0.522 27%         8 5 kevinmyatt PVD NYC 2 0.080
snowman 135.0 35.0 73.0 5.8 71.0 15.8 69.2 9.4 92.0 0.3 52.0 5.6 71.1 4.3 34.5 11.4 29.5 11.4 47.3 13.0 65.3 7.0 93.5 11.0 snowman 47.3 17.1 36.5 8.2 31.0 7.1 27.5 12.5 19.0 11.3 31.2 0.2 22.0 18.9 24.0 16.7 16.5 13.0   11.0     1.3 9.3 2.2 4.3 1.1 3.5 2.7 snowman            9    242.1 -0.473 24%      9.7   0.77 Losetoa6 1115.9 122.1% 74.7 3.1 9 kevinmyatt 3,674 -0.483 25%         9 5 snowman BTV EWR 2 0.080
kevinmyatt 125.0 25.0 83.0 4.2 75.0 11.8 72.0 6.6 68.0 23.7 55.0 8.6 58.0 17.4 45.0 0.9 45.0 4.1 48.0 12.3 64.0 5.7 93.0 11.5 kevinmyatt 30.0 0.2 38.0 9.7 35.0 11.1 35.0 20.0 22.0 14.3 34.0 2.6 22.0 18.9 20.0 12.7 15.0 11.5   18.0     8.3 10.0 2.9 8.0 2.6 5.0 4.2 kevinmyatt          10    250.6 -0.344 22%     10.0   0.74 snowman 1116.5 122.1% 75.2 3.1 10 snowman 3,756 -0.453 23%        10 10 Brad Yehl CON 1 0.040
weathermbug 105.0 5.0 60.0 18.8 75.0 11.8 60.0 18.6 80.0 11.7 40.0 6.4 60.0 15.4 30.0 15.9 25.0 15.9 35.0 25.3 55.0 3.3 80.0 24.5 weathermbug 25.0 5.2 30.0 1.7 30.0 6.1 20.0 5.0 15.0 7.3 25.0 6.4 20.0 16.9 25.0 17.7 15.0 11.5   10.0     0.2 10.0 2.9 5.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 weathermbug          11    254.0 -0.292 21%     10.2   0.73 kevinmyatt 1123.0 122.9% 81.8 3.4 11 weathermbug 3,959 -0.379 19%        11 10 DAROOSTA SBY 1 0.040
DAROOSTA 118.0 18.0 82.0 3.2 64.0 22.8 67.0 11.6 115.0 23.3 52.0 5.6 64.0 11.4 42.0 3.9 32.0 8.9 44.0 16.3 58.0 0.3 62.0 42.5 DAROOSTA 28.0 2.2 35.0 6.7 48.0 24.1 18.0 3.0 12.0 4.3 22.0 9.4 25.0 21.9 20.0 12.7 14.0 10.5   10.0     0.2 6.0 1.2 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.2 DAROOSTA          12    267.5 -0.088 17%     10.7   0.69 MillVilleWx 1132.8 123.9% 91.6 3.8 12 Losetoa6 4,254 -0.271 13%        12 10 dmillz25 BDR 1 0.040
Losetoa6 125.0 25.0 96.0 17.2 73.0 13.8 71.0 7.6 94.0 2.3 51.0 4.6 69.0 6.4 30.0 15.9 36.0 4.9 40.0 20.3 60.0 1.7 87.0 17.5 Losetoa6 26.2 4.0 37.0 8.7 39.0 15.1 29.0 14.0 18.8 11.1 25.0 6.4 25.5 22.4 30.0 22.7 19.9 16.4   15.8     6.1 7.9 0.8 4.6 0.8 5.2 4.4 Losetoa6          13    269.9 -0.052 16%     10.8   0.69 weathermbug 936.0 102.4% 105.3 4.4 13 Shillelagh 4,890 -0.039 0%        13 10 donsutherland1 ORH 1 0.040
Shillelagh 115.0 15.0 55.0 23.8 62.0 24.8 57.0 21.6 75.0 16.7 36.0 10.4 54.0 21.4 26.0 19.9 23.0 17.9 41.0 19.3 60.0 1.7 83.0 21.5 Shillelagh 20.0 10.2 26.0 2.3 24.0 0.1 18.0 3.0 13.0 5.3 26.0 5.4 19.0 15.9 17.0 9.7 12.0 8.5   13.0     3.3 9.0 1.9 6.0 0.6 4.0 3.2 Shillelagh          14    283.2 0.150 12%     11.3   0.66 Herb@MAWS 930.0 101.7% 111.3 4.6 14 P-O-R-N 5,128 0.048 -5%        14 10 MarkHofmann BDL 1 0.040
P-O-R-N 90.7 9.3 60.0 18.8 63.8 23.0 58.8 19.8 69.8 21.9 41.6 4.8 60.0 15.4 34.3 11.6 23.2 17.7 36.2 24.1 55.4 2.9 71.5 33.0 P-O-R-N 26.1 4.1 31.4 3.1 30.5 6.6 21.6 6.6 17.3 9.6 28.2 3.2 19.3 16.2 21.7 14.4 15.7 12.2   10.2     0.4 12.7 5.6 7.5 2.1 6.6 5.8 P-O-R-N          15    292.1 0.285 9%     11.7   0.64 Jessica_wxgirl 918.5 100.5% 122.8 5.1 15 DAROOSTA 5,364 0.135 -10%        15 10 Shillelagh MDT 1 0.040
Roger Smith 115.0 15.0 80.0 1.2 70.0 16.8 65.0 13.6 89.0 2.7 55.0 8.6 80.0 4.6 38.0 7.9 45.0 4.1 45.0 15.3 63.0 4.7 100.0 4.5 Roger Smith 38.0 7.8 34.0 5.7 30.0 6.1 27.0 12.0 22.0 14.3 40.0 8.6 45.0 41.9 50.0 42.7 32.0 28.5   22.0   12.3 25.0 17.9 15.0 9.6 12.0 11.2 Roger Smith          16    317.4 0.668 1%     12.7   0.59 Donald Rosenfeld 916.0 100.2% 125.3 5.2 16 snocat918 5,808 0.297 -19%        16 10 snocat918 NYC 1 0.040
snocat918 88.0 12.0 71.0 7.8 62.0 24.8 58.0 20.6 128.0 36.3 40.0 6.4 48.0 27.4 34.0 11.9 52.0 11.1 44.0 16.3 75.0 16.7 96.0 8.5 snocat918 30.0 0.2 46.0 17.7 40.0 16.1 28.0 13.0 20.0 12.3 26.0 5.4 19.0 15.9 18.0 10.7 18.0 14.5   14.0     4.3 14.0 6.9 6.0 0.6 4.0 3.2 snocat918          17    320.4 0.713 0%     12.8   0.58 P-O-R-N 914.1 100.0% 127.2 5.3 17 Mitchel Volk 6,743 0.640 -38%        17 10 TQ SBY 1 0.040
Mitchel Volk 123.0 23.0 110.0 31.2 95.0 8.2 102.0 23.4 85.0 6.7 31.0 15.4 45.0 30.4 25.0 20.9 20.0 20.9 35.0 25.3 85.0 26.7 120.0 15.5 Mitchel Volk 18.0 12.2 35.0 6.7 36.0 12.1 15.0 0.0 10.0 2.3 20.0 11.4 15.0 11.9 14.0 6.7 15.0 11.5   12.0     2.3 10.0 2.9 12.0 6.6 11.0 10.2 Mitchel Volk          18    344.2 1.074 -7%     13.8   0.54 Shillelagh 894.0 97.8% 147.3 6.1 18 Roger Smith 6,775 0.651 -39%        18 10 Wxoutlooks@aol.com ACY 1 0.040
Donald Rosenfeld 100.0 0.0 60.0 18.8 55.0 31.8 48.0 30.6 95.0 3.3 35.0 11.4 40.0 35.4 21.0 24.9 20.0 20.9 30.0 30.3 85.0 26.7 105.0 0.5 Donald Rosenfeld 19.0 11.2 20.0 8.3 20.0 3.9 24.0 9.0 13.5 5.8 15.5 15.9 19.0 15.9 23.0 15.7 18.0 14.5   18.0     8.3 15.0 7.9 10.0 4.6 7.0 6.2 Donald Rosenfeld          19    361.6 1.337 -13%     14.5   0.51 dmillz25 1196.0 130.8% 154.8 6.4 19 Donald Rosenfeld 7,856 1.047 -61%        19 18 Losetoa6   0 0.000
MarkHofmann 85.0 15.0 95.0 16.2 70.0 16.8 65.0 13.6 75.0 16.7 35.0 11.4 31.0 44.4 28.0 17.9 65.0 24.1 55.0 5.3 65.0 6.7 45.0 59.5 MarkHofmann 34.0 3.8 35.0 6.7 38.0 14.1 28.0 13.0 20.0 12.3 25.0 6.4 26.0 22.9 18.0 10.7 20.0 16.5   16.0     6.3 12.0 4.9 11.0 5.6 10.0 9.2 MarkHofmann          20    379.8 1.613 -19%     15.2   0.49 Roger Smith 1237.0 135.3% 195.8 8.2 20 MarkHofmann 9,555 1.668 -95%        20 18 P-O-R-N   0 0.000
Wxoutlooks@aol.com 85.0 15.0 65.0 13.8 45.0 41.8 40.0 38.6 45.0 46.7 38.0 8.4 40.0 35.4 30.0 15.9 27.0 13.9 32.0 28.3 40.0 18.3 42.0 62.5 Wxoutlooks@aol.com 23.0 7.2 32.0 3.7 38.0 14.1 21.0 6.0 10.0 2.3 24.0 7.4 16.0 12.9 18.0 10.7 14.0 10.5   14.0     4.3 12.0 4.9 3.0 2.4 12.0 11.2 Wxoutlooks@aol.com          21    436.0 2.464 -36%     17.4   0.43 Wxoutlooks@aol.com 766.0 83.8% 275.3 11.5 21 Wxoutlooks@aol.com 13,567 3.136 -177%        21 18 Roger Smith   0 0.000
FCST Statistics  CAR   Err   BGR   Err   PWM   Err   CON   Err   BTV   Err   BOS   Err   ORH   Err   PVD   Err   BDR   Err   BDL   Err   ALB   Err   BGM   Err  FCST Statistics  NYC   Err   ABE   Err   MDT   Err   PHL   Err   ACY   Err   EWR   Err   BWI   Err   IAD   Err   DCA   Err   SBY   Err   RIC   Err   ORF   Err   RDU   Err  FCST Statistics  Rank  Error  Z   %MPRV    FCST Statistics TOT %Climo Error AAE Rank FCST Statistics Error Error Z % MPRV Rank
MIN     85.0 0.0    55.0     1.2     55.0     5.2    48.0 6.2    68.0      0.3    31.0 0.87    31.0 0.10    21.0     0.9    20.0 1.1    30.0     5.3    55.0     0.2     45.0 0.5 MIN   18.0 0.20   20.0      0.8   20.0     0.1   15.0 0.0   10.0 2.25   15.5 0.20   13.0 9.9   14.0      6.7   11.0     7.5     6.2     0.2     6.0      0.0     3.0 0.4    1.0 0.2 MIN 1 186 -1.325 -36% 7 MIN 766 84% 1.8 0.07 1 MIN 2,282 -0.992 -177% 1
MAX   135.0    35.0  110.0   31.2     95.0   31.8  102.0   30.6   128.0    36.3    56.2   15.4    80.0   44.4    50.0   24.9    65.0   24.1    55.0   30.3    85.0   26.7   120.0   59.5 MAX   47.3    17.1   52.0    23.7   48.2    24.3   35.0    20.0   22.0    14.3   42.0   15.9   45.0   41.9   50.0    42.7   32.0    28.5   22.0   12.3   25.0    17.9   15.0      9.6   12.0   11.2 MAX 21 436 2.464 42% 17 MAX 1237 135% 275.3 11.47 21 MAX 13,567 3.136 53% 21
AVG   107.9    12.4    77.4   10.3     70.2   17.9    65.9   15.1    87.4    12.5    45.7     6.6    61.2   14.7    35.3   11.3    33.9   11.5    44.4   15.9    64.6     7.2     85.3   20.8 AVG   28.5      5.8   34.5      7.3   33.2     9.7   24.2      9.2   16.5      8.8   28.3     6.0   21.8   18.7   23.1    15.8   16.9    13.4   12.8     3.7   10.7      3.7     7.0      2.4    5.6    4.7 AVG 11 273 0.000 15% 11 AVG 1029 113% 93.9 3.91 11 AVG 4,995 0.000 -2% 11
Median   104.6    10.7    76.5     7.3     69.2   17.6    65.0   13.6    84.8    12.1    46.6     6.4    62.8   12.6    34.5   11.4    32.4   11.0    44.6   15.7    63.9     5.6     83.9   20.6 Median   28.2      4.7   34.8      6.7   30.8     6.9   24.5      9.5   16.7      9.0   26.6     5.4   21.0   17.9   22.3    15.0   16.6    13.1   12.5     3.2   10.0      2.9     6.0      1.5    5.4    4.6 Median 11 254 -0.292 21% 10 Median 1043 114% 81.8 3.41 11 Median 3,959 -0.379 19% 11
Mode   115.0    15.0    60.0   18.8     62.0   24.8    60.0   18.6    75.0    16.7    35.0   11.4    60.0   15.4    34.5   11.4    20.0   20.9    47.3   13.0    60.0     1.7     93.0   11.5 Mode   24.0      6.2   30.0      1.7   30.0     6.1   18.0      3.0   15.0      7.3   26.0     5.4   19.0   15.9   18.0    10.7   15.0    11.5   10.0     0.2   10.0      2.9     6.0      0.6    4.0    3.2 Mode           Mode #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Mode        
STD     14.0      9.9    13.6     8.8       9.6     6.6    10.5     6.4    15.1      9.3      7.7     3.8    12.6   12.0      7.7     6.7    11.3     6.4     6.7     6.7     8.5     7.7     15.7   13.4 STD     7.2      4.4     7.0      5.7     7.7     7.1     5.2      5.2     3.8      3.8     6.5     3.7     6.4     6.4     7.8      7.8     4.6     4.6     3.9     3.2     4.1      4.0     3.0      2.4    2.8    2.8 STD 6 66 1.000 21% 3 STD 116 13% 65.3 2.72 6 STD 2,734 1.000 56% 6
33%   101.6      4.7    72.3     4.2     66.0   16.1    61.0   11.8    78.3      6.8    42.1     5.1    60.0     7.4    32.0     8.3    29.2     7.8    43.3   12.5    60.0     3.0     81.8   14.0 33%   25.4      3.3   32.3      5.7   30.0     6.1   21.1      6.1   15.0      7.3   25.3     3.9   19.1   16.0   19.3    12.0   15.0    11.5   10.5     1.8     9.0      1.9     5.3      0.8    4.3    3.4 33% 8 238 -0.527 11% 10 33% 967 106% 62.4 2.60 8 33%     3,543 -0.531 -3%         7
67%   115.0    15.0    80.4   14.9     70.7   20.8    66.9   18.6    91.0    16.0    51.7     8.0    68.0   15.4    37.6   13.9    34.2   13.9    47.8   17.0    65.0     6.7     92.4   22.7 67%   29.5      6.9   35.3      7.8   35.7    11.8   26.6    11.6   18.9    11.2   29.4     6.4   22.3   19.2   24.7    17.3   18.0    14.5   13.8     4.1   10.4      3.3     7.6      2.3    5.9    5.1 67% 14 286 0.195 26% 11 67% 1101 120% 115.1 4.8 14.3 67%     5,206 0.077 27%        14
NCDC Climatology                                                                                                       NCDC Climatology
Period of Record (") 90.7 110% 60.0 131% 63.8 136% 58.8 134% 69.8 131% 41.6 112% 60.0 126% 34.3 134% 23.2 176% 36.2 167% 55.4 105% 71.5 146%   26.1 116% 31.4 90% 30.5 78% 21.6 69% 17.3 45% 28.2 111% 19.3 16% 21.7 34% 15.7 22% 10.2 96% 12.7 56% 7.5 72% 6.6 13% Period of Record (")
AVG FCST / Climo                                                                                                       AVG FCST / Climo
Avg FCST (PCT Climo) 119% 9% 129% -2% 110% -26% 112% -22% 125% -6% 110% -2% 102% -24% 103% -31% 146% -30% 123% -44% 117% 11% 119% -27%   109% -7% 110% 20% 109% 31% 112% 42% 95% 51% 100% -11% 113% 97% 107% 73% 107% 85% 125% 30% 84% 28% 93% 21% 84% 71% Avg FCST (PCT Climo) -3%
Median FCST (PCT Climo) 115% 5% 128% -4% 108% -28% 111% -23% 121% -10% 112% 0% 105% -21% 101% -33% 140% -37% 123% -43% 115% 10% 117% -29%   108% -8% 111% 21% 101% 22% 113% 44% 97% 52% 94% -17% 109% 93% 103% 69% 106% 84% 122% 27% 79% 22% 80% 8% 82% 69% Median FCST (PCT Climo)