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|
Forecaster |
Class |
4casts |
Sum Square |
STP |
TOTAL Absolute |
AVG Absolute |
|
|
|
|
|
Rank |
Forecaster |
Class |
Entry Date / LT |
CAR |
0.05 |
BGR |
0.00 |
PWM |
0.00 |
CON |
0.00 |
BTV |
0.00 |
BOS |
0.05 |
HYA |
8.50 |
ORH |
0.20 |
PVD |
6.30 |
BDR |
4.00 |
BDL |
0.05 |
ALB |
0.05 |
BGM |
0.05 |
Forecaster |
ISP |
6.30 |
JFK |
5.80 |
ABE |
6.70 |
MDT |
6.30 |
PHL |
7.50 |
ACY |
7.00 |
EWR |
6.70 |
BWI |
6.20 |
IAD |
9.40 |
DCA |
4.80 |
SBY |
3.50 |
RIC |
0.30 |
ORF |
0.20 |
RDU |
0.00 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
90.0 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Forecaster |
1 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
03/04 22:31 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.60 |
0.55 |
4.50 |
4.00 |
0.80 |
0.60 |
2.70 |
3.60 |
4.20 |
0.20 |
0.90 |
0.85 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
-
|
Brad Yehl |
5.80 |
0.50 |
5.00 |
0.80 |
3.80 |
2.90 |
5.40 |
0.90 |
7.00 |
0.50 |
5.90 |
1.10 |
4.50 |
2.20 |
6.20 |
-
|
6.40 |
3.00 |
5.80 |
1.00 |
4.20 |
0.70 |
1.60 |
1.30 |
0.20 |
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
23 |
59 |
-0.763 |
64% |
1 |
75.7 |
14.3 |
-0.519 |
38% |
4 |
24.8 |
-0.925 |
40% |
1 |
1.1 |
-0.955 |
40% |
1 |
0.853 |
1.039 |
32% |
1 |
Brad Yehl |
2 |
Herb@MAWS |
Senior |
03/04
16:40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.70 |
0.65 |
3.50 |
5.00 |
0.20 |
-
|
2.90 |
3.40 |
3.30 |
0.70 |
0.60 |
0.55 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
Herb@MAWS |
5.10 |
1.20 |
5.50 |
0.30 |
3.30 |
3.40 |
4.00 |
2.30 |
6.00 |
1.50 |
6.00 |
1.00 |
5.50 |
1.20 |
7.50 |
1.30 |
8.00 |
1.40 |
5.50 |
0.70 |
4.50 |
1.00 |
2.00 |
1.70 |
0.70 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
Herb@MAWS |
Senior |
22 |
69 |
-0.689 |
58% |
2 |
74.9 |
15.1 |
-0.471 |
34% |
7 |
27.9 |
-0.753 |
33% |
2 |
1.3 |
-0.703 |
29% |
3 |
0.809 |
0.819 |
25% |
2 |
Herb@MAWS |
3 |
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
03/04 22:29 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
2.00 |
1.95 |
4.00 |
4.50 |
2.30 |
2.10 |
3.30 |
3.00 |
5.00 |
1.00 |
2.00 |
1.95 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.30 |
0.25 |
donsutherland1 |
6.70 |
0.40 |
4.80 |
1.00 |
4.90 |
1.80 |
4.00 |
2.30 |
6.50 |
1.00 |
6.10 |
0.90 |
5.30 |
1.40 |
6.20 |
-
|
6.00 |
3.40 |
5.50 |
0.70 |
4.00 |
0.50 |
2.00 |
1.70 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
25 |
71 |
-0.674 |
56% |
3 |
82.0 |
8.0 |
-0.895 |
65% |
1 |
30.6 |
-0.603 |
26% |
4 |
1.2 |
-0.762 |
32% |
2 |
0.798 |
0.762 |
24% |
4 |
donsutherland1 |
4 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
Senior |
03/04 22:29 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.75 |
0.70 |
3.00 |
5.50 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
3.00 |
3.30 |
3.50 |
0.50 |
0.15 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
3.50 |
2.80 |
4.75 |
1.05 |
5.00 |
1.70 |
6.00 |
0.30 |
6.25 |
1.25 |
6.75 |
0.25 |
5.50 |
1.20 |
5.00 |
1.20 |
5.25 |
4.15 |
5.50 |
0.70 |
4.00 |
0.50 |
2.50 |
2.20 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
-
|
-
|
Donald Rosenfeld |
Senior |
22 |
81 |
-0.599 |
50% |
4 |
71.0 |
18.9 |
-0.241 |
18% |
8 |
28.2 |
-0.734 |
32% |
3 |
1.3 |
-0.682 |
29% |
4 |
0.798 |
0.763 |
24% |
3 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
5 |
Mitchel Volk |
Senior |
03/04
20:14 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.70 |
1.65 |
4.00 |
4.50 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
2.80 |
3.50 |
3.50 |
0.50 |
3.60 |
3.55 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
Mitchel Volk |
6.10 |
0.20 |
5.90 |
0.10 |
3.00 |
3.70 |
4.80 |
1.50 |
6.70 |
0.80 |
7.10 |
0.10 |
5.10 |
1.60 |
8.10 |
1.90 |
6.10 |
3.30 |
5.80 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
2.50 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
-
|
-
|
Mitchel Volk |
Senior |
22 |
90 |
-0.538 |
45% |
5 |
76.6 |
13.3 |
-0.576 |
42% |
3 |
31.9 |
-0.528 |
23% |
5 |
1.5 |
-0.459 |
19% |
5 |
0.722 |
0.384 |
12% |
5 |
Mitchel Volk |
6 |
snocat918 |
Journeyman |
03/04
19:10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.75 |
0.70 |
2.80 |
5.70 |
0.25 |
0.05 |
1.50 |
4.80 |
3.00 |
1.00 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.25 |
0.20 |
snocat918 |
5.00 |
1.30 |
5.00 |
0.80 |
3.70 |
3.00 |
6.00 |
0.30 |
9.50 |
2.00 |
6.00 |
1.00 |
6.00 |
0.70 |
8.00 |
1.80 |
7.00 |
2.40 |
7.00 |
2.20 |
6.00 |
2.50 |
3.00 |
2.70 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
snocat918 |
Journeyman |
23 |
102 |
-0.452 |
38% |
6 |
81.4 |
8.5 |
-0.862 |
63% |
2 |
33.8 |
-0.423 |
18% |
6 |
1.5 |
-0.433 |
18% |
6 |
0.676 |
0.149 |
5% |
6 |
snocat918 |
7 |
TQ |
Senior |
03/04
22:16 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
4.00 |
4.50 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
4.00 |
2.30 |
3.00 |
1.00 |
1.50 |
1.45 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
TQ |
4.00 |
2.30 |
4.00 |
1.80 |
2.50 |
4.20 |
2.00 |
4.30 |
7.00 |
0.50 |
8.00 |
1.00 |
2.50 |
4.20 |
6.50 |
0.30 |
6.50 |
2.90 |
6.50 |
1.70 |
5.00 |
1.50 |
3.00 |
2.70 |
2.00 |
1.80 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
TQ |
Senior |
24 |
118 |
-0.332 |
28% |
7 |
75.1 |
14.9 |
-0.483 |
35% |
5 |
41.2 |
-0.015 |
1% |
8 |
1.7 |
-0.109 |
5% |
7 |
0.636 |
-0.050 |
-2% |
7 |
TQ |
8 |
duxpond |
Intern |
03/04
12:37 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
3.00 |
2.95 |
2.00 |
6.50 |
2.00 |
1.80 |
4.00 |
2.30 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
3.00 |
2.95 |
-
|
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
duxpond |
0.00 |
6.30 |
6.00 |
0.20 |
5.00 |
1.70 |
4.00 |
2.30 |
7.00 |
0.50 |
7.00 |
-
|
9.00 |
2.30 |
6.00 |
0.20 |
5.00 |
4.40 |
4.00 |
0.80 |
3.00 |
0.50 |
2.00 |
1.70 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
-
|
-
|
duxpond |
Intern |
20 |
149 |
-0.102 |
9% |
8 |
75.0 |
14.9 |
-0.480 |
35% |
6 |
40.3 |
-0.062 |
3% |
7 |
2.0 |
0.290 |
-12% |
9 |
0.531 |
-0.578 |
-18% |
10 |
duxpond |
9 |
WeatherT |
Senior |
03/04
09:33 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
-
|
1.70 |
6.80 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.90 |
5.40 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.10 |
0.05 |
WeatherT |
2.60 |
3.70 |
3.40 |
2.40 |
1.20 |
5.50 |
6.20 |
0.10 |
6.60 |
0.90 |
6.80 |
0.20 |
2.80 |
3.90 |
7.20 |
1.00 |
5.00 |
4.40 |
6.00 |
1.20 |
1.00 |
2.50 |
0.60 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
-
|
-
|
WeatherT |
Senior |
24 |
173 |
0.074 |
-6% |
9 |
54.9 |
35.0 |
0.720 |
-52% |
9 |
41.3 |
-0.006 |
0% |
9 |
1.7 |
-0.100 |
4% |
8 |
0.571 |
-0.373 |
-12% |
9 |
WeatherT |
10 |
Roger Smith |
Senior |
03/04
17:26 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.20 |
0.20 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
3.50 |
3.45 |
8.50 |
-
|
2.20 |
2.00 |
4.40 |
1.90 |
5.00 |
1.00 |
3.00 |
2.95 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
Roger Smith |
7.30 |
1.00 |
6.50 |
0.70 |
4.00 |
2.70 |
12.50 |
6.20 |
13.00 |
5.50 |
12.00 |
5.00 |
4.00 |
2.70 |
14.50 |
8.30 |
15.50 |
6.10 |
11.20 |
6.40 |
10.00 |
6.50 |
7.50 |
7.20 |
4.00 |
3.80 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
Roger Smith |
Senior |
26 |
398 |
1.713 |
-144% |
10 |
151.8 |
61.8 |
2.318 |
-169% |
11 |
76.5 |
1.946 |
-85% |
10 |
2.9 |
1.516 |
-64% |
10 |
0.607 |
-0.194 |
-6% |
8 |
Roger Smith |
11 |
MarkHofmann |
Senior |
03/04
08:12 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
8.50 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
6.30 |
0.00 |
4.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
MarkHofmann |
0.00 |
6.30 |
0.00 |
5.80 |
0.00 |
6.70 |
0.00 |
6.30 |
10.00 |
2.50 |
0.00 |
7.00 |
4.00 |
2.70 |
11.00 |
4.80 |
0.00 |
9.40 |
9.00 |
4.20 |
6.00 |
2.50 |
2.00 |
1.70 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
-
|
-
|
MarkHofmann |
Senior |
22 |
487 |
2.361 |
-198% |
11 |
42.0 |
47.9 |
1.490 |
-109% |
10 |
79.3 |
2.103 |
-91% |
11 |
3.6 |
2.397 |
-101% |
11 |
0.103 |
-2.721 |
-84% |
11 |
MarkHofmann |
|
|
Forecast
Parameters |
CAR |
Error |
BGR |
Error |
PWM |
Error |
CON |
Error |
BTV |
Error |
BOS |
Error |
HYA |
Error |
ORH |
Error |
PVD |
Error |
BDR |
Error |
BDL |
Error |
ALB |
Error |
BGM |
Error |
|
ISP |
Error |
JFK |
Error |
ABE |
Error |
MDT |
Error |
PHL |
Error |
ACY |
Error |
EWR |
Error |
BWI |
Error |
IAD |
Error |
DCA |
Error |
SBY |
Error |
RIC |
Error |
ORF |
Error |
RDU |
Error |
Forecast
Parameters |
253 |
Error |
Error Z |
% MPRV |
Rank |
STP |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Forecast Parameters |
Rookie |
0 |
Consensus |
MIN |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
1.90 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
MIN |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
1.70 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
6.00 |
0.50 |
0.00 |
- |
2.50 |
0.70 |
5.00 |
- |
0.00 |
1.40 |
4.00 |
0.70 |
1.00 |
0.50 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-
|
0.00 |
MIN |
20 |
59.0 |
-0.763 |
-197.8% |
1 |
42.0 |
8.0 |
-0.895 |
-168.8% |
1 |
24.8 |
-0.925 |
-91.3% |
1 |
1.08 |
-0.955 |
-100.5% |
1 |
10.3% |
-2.721 |
-84.0% |
1 |
MIN |
Intern |
1 |
MAX |
0.30 |
0.25 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
3.50 |
3.45 |
8.50 |
8.50 |
2.30 |
2.10 |
4.40 |
6.30 |
5.00 |
4.00 |
3.60 |
3.55 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
MAX |
7.30 |
6.30 |
6.50 |
5.80 |
5.00 |
6.70 |
12.50 |
6.30 |
13.00 |
5.50 |
12.00 |
7.00 |
9.00 |
4.20 |
14.50 |
8.30 |
15.50 |
9.40 |
11.20 |
6.40 |
10.00 |
6.50 |
7.50 |
7.20 |
4.00 |
3.80 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
MAX |
26 |
486.5 |
2.361 |
63.9% |
11 |
151.8
|
61.8 |
2.318 |
65.2% |
11 |
79.3 |
2.103 |
40.2% |
11 |
3.61
|
2.397 |
40.0% |
11 |
85.3% |
1.039 |
32.1% |
11 |
MAX |
Journey |
1 |
AVG |
0.04 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
1.28 |
1.24 |
3.45 |
5.05 |
0.85 |
0.75 |
2.68 |
3.62 |
3.14 |
1.26 |
1.40 |
1.36 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
0.20 |
0.16 |
AVG |
4.19 |
2.36 |
4.62 |
1.36 |
3.31 |
3.39 |
4.99 |
2.44 |
7.78 |
1.54 |
6.51 |
1.60 |
4.93 |
2.19 |
7.84 |
1.89 |
6.43 |
4.08 |
6.53 |
1.87 |
4.43 |
1.93 |
2.38 |
2.14 |
0.78 |
0.73 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
AVG |
23 |
163.4 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
78.2
|
23.0 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
41.5 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
1.80
|
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
64.6% |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
AVG |
Senior |
9 |
Median |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.75 |
0.70 |
3.50 |
5.00 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
2.90 |
3.40 |
3.30 |
1.00 |
0.90 |
0.85 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
Median |
5.00 |
1.30 |
5.00 |
0.80 |
3.70 |
3.00 |
4.80 |
2.30 |
7.00 |
1.00 |
6.75 |
1.00 |
5.10 |
2.20 |
7.20 |
1.20 |
6.10 |
3.40 |
5.80 |
1.00 |
4.20 |
1.50 |
2.00 |
1.70 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
-
|
-
|
Median |
23 |
101.6 |
-0.452 |
37.8% |
6 |
75.1
|
14.9 |
-0.480 |
35.0% |
6 |
33.8 |
-0.423 |
18.4% |
6 |
1.47
|
-0.433 |
18.2% |
6 |
67.6% |
0.149 |
4.6% |
6 |
Median |
TOT |
11 |
Mode |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.75 |
0.70 |
4.00 |
4.50 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
4.00 |
2.30 |
5.00 |
1.00 |
3.00 |
2.95 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
Mode |
0.00 |
6.30 |
5.00 |
0.80 |
5.00 |
1.70 |
4.00 |
2.30 |
7.00 |
0.50 |
6.00 |
1.00 |
5.50 |
1.20 |
6.20 |
-
|
5.00 |
4.40 |
5.50 |
0.70 |
4.00 |
2.50 |
2.00 |
1.70 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
-
|
-
|
Mode |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mode |
|
|
STD |
0.09 |
0.06 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.43 |
0.43 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
1.09 |
1.08 |
2.03 |
2.03 |
0.87 |
0.78 |
1.30 |
1.30 |
1.38 |
1.02 |
1.24 |
1.23 |
0.14 |
0.12 |
0.17 |
0.16 |
STD |
2.37 |
2.12 |
1.69 |
1.55 |
1.52 |
1.52 |
2.97 |
2.14 |
2.06 |
1.39 |
2.64 |
2.16 |
1.68 |
1.07 |
2.59 |
2.41 |
3.47 |
2.05 |
1.88 |
1.74 |
2.38 |
1.68 |
1.83 |
1.77 |
1.17 |
1.08 |
0.29 |
0.29 |
STD |
2 |
136.9 |
1.000 |
83.8% |
3.2 |
25.9
|
16.7 |
1.000 |
72.8% |
3.2 |
18.0 |
1.000 |
43.4% |
3.2 |
0.75
|
1.000 |
41.9% |
3.2 |
19.9% |
1.000 |
30.9% |
3.2 |
STD |
|
|
25% |
ile |
0.00 |
0.05 |
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
0.65 |
0.60 |
2.40 |
4.50 |
0.13 |
0.17 |
2.10 |
2.65 |
2.50 |
0.60 |
0.35 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
|
3.05 |
0.75 |
4.38 |
0.50 |
2.75 |
2.25 |
4.00 |
0.60 |
6.55 |
0.65 |
6.00 |
0.23 |
4.00 |
1.30 |
6.20 |
0.25 |
5.13 |
2.95 |
5.50 |
0.75 |
3.50 |
0.60 |
1.80 |
1.50 |
0.03 |
0.17 |
- |
-
|
25% |
22 |
76.3 |
-0.637 |
1.2% |
4 |
72.9 |
13.8 |
-0.547 |
-17.4% |
4 |
29.4 |
-0.669 |
0.5% |
4 |
1.28 |
-0.693 |
-4.0% |
4 |
58.9% |
-0.283 |
-8.7% |
4 |
|
|
|
75% |
ile |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
1.85 |
1.80 |
4.00 |
6.10 |
1.50 |
1.30 |
3.65 |
4.20 |
3.85 |
1.50 |
2.50 |
2.45 |
0.08 |
0.05 |
0.28 |
0.23 |
|
5.95 |
3.25 |
5.70 |
1.43 |
4.45 |
3.95 |
6.00 |
3.30 |
8.25 |
1.75 |
7.05 |
1.05 |
5.50 |
2.70 |
8.05 |
1.85 |
6.75 |
4.40 |
6.75 |
1.95 |
5.50 |
2.50 |
2.75 |
2.45 |
0.85 |
0.65 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
75% |
24 |
161.5 |
-0.014 |
53.3% |
9 |
79.0
|
27.0 |
0.239 |
39.9% |
9 |
41.3 |
-0.010 |
29.0% |
9 |
1.87
|
0.095 |
29.0% |
9 |
79.8% |
0.762 |
23.5% |
9 |
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