Complete Results @ http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

Follow the left-side link from 'Storm-total Contest Verified Forecasts’ – Contest #7 to see the complete station forecast verification table.

In the table...

Yellow cells indicate the best score in category.

Forecast STP cells are yellow if within +/- 5% of observed STP.

Blue (Red) cells indicate the top (lower) 25% percentile.

SUMSQ: sum of square errors

STP: storm total precipitation

TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error

Final Standings - all Forecasters

Perfect Forecasts

Best Station Forecasts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Lowest Absolute Error)

Best Station Forecast Busts (Batting Average - Percentage of Forecast Stations with Highest Absolute Error)

Consensus forecast best @ PHL … ACY

MAX forecast best @ HYA … ISP … JFK

MAX forecast less than observed @ PVD

MIN forecasts best @ DCA

MIN forecasts more than observed @ none

Good association between SUMSQ and TAE Z-scores

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Verification:

Good data from CDUS41…PNS…and F6 bulletins.

SBY interpolated from vicinity AKQPNS reports.

New Daily Records:

THU … 05-MAR-15

IAD - 9.5" (1"; 2001)

ACY - 7" (0.3"; 1960)

PVD - 6.3" (3.8"; 1931)

ISP - 6.3" (1"; 1993)

DCA - 4.8" (4.4"; 1888)

BDR - 4" (1.3"; 1981)

Daily precipitation: ACY - 2.4“