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Forecaster |
Class |
4casts |
Sum Square |
STP |
TOTAL Absolute |
AVG Absolute |
|
|
|
|
|
Rank |
Forecaster |
Class |
Entry Date / LT |
CAR |
0.50 |
BGR |
0.00 |
PWM |
0.00 |
CON |
0.00 |
BTV |
0.00 |
BOS |
0.60 |
HYA |
3.00 |
ORH |
0.10 |
PVD |
2.70 |
BDR |
1.30 |
BDL |
0.05 |
ALB |
0.00 |
BGM |
0.20 |
ISP |
3.40 |
JFK |
3.50 |
ABE |
2.40 |
MDT |
2.90 |
PHL |
3.70 |
ACY |
3.90 |
EWR |
3.20 |
BWI |
3.80 |
IAD |
3.90 |
DCA |
4.70 |
SBY |
6.70 |
RIC |
7.20 |
ORF |
3.60 |
RDU |
0.70 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
62.3 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Forecaster |
1 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
Senior |
02/16 18:59 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
0.10 |
0.10 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.75 |
1.15 |
3.50 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
1.00 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.25 |
0.05 |
1.40 |
2.00 |
1.25 |
2.25 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
1.25 |
1.65 |
2.00 |
1.70 |
4.00 |
0.10 |
1.75 |
1.45 |
4.00 |
0.20 |
4.50 |
0.60 |
5.00 |
0.30 |
5.50 |
1.20 |
6.75 |
0.45 |
6.50 |
2.90 |
2.00 |
1.30 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
Senior |
23 |
32 |
-0.935 |
67% |
1 |
57.0 |
5.2 |
-0.939 |
74% |
1 |
20.2 |
-1.032 |
40% |
1 |
0.9 |
-0.971 |
40% |
1 |
0.753 |
-0.478 |
-5% |
7 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
2 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
02/16 19:01 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
1.60 |
1.00 |
4.60 |
1.60 |
1.00 |
0.90 |
2.90 |
0.20 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
0.80 |
0.75 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
3.50 |
0.10 |
2.20 |
1.30 |
1.40 |
1.00 |
2.00 |
0.90 |
3.80 |
0.10 |
6.40 |
2.50 |
1.70 |
1.50 |
5.60 |
1.80 |
6.80 |
2.90 |
6.20 |
1.50 |
9.20 |
2.50 |
8.60 |
1.40 |
4.30 |
0.70 |
0.20 |
0.50 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
25 |
40 |
-0.814 |
59% |
2 |
75.0 |
12.8 |
-0.467 |
37% |
3 |
24.6 |
-0.698 |
27% |
4 |
1.0 |
-0.793 |
32% |
2 |
0.865 |
0.906 |
9% |
3 |
Brad Yehl |
3 |
WeatherT |
Senior |
02/16
15:12 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.50 |
0.90 |
5.60 |
2.60 |
0.70 |
0.60 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
1.60 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.80 |
0.60 |
3.50 |
0.10 |
2.60 |
0.90 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
2.30 |
0.60 |
3.60 |
0.10 |
6.00 |
2.10 |
2.40 |
0.80 |
3.60 |
0.20 |
8.00 |
4.10 |
6.00 |
1.30 |
8.50 |
1.80 |
10.00 |
2.80 |
4.30 |
0.70 |
1.20 |
0.50 |
WeatherT |
Senior |
23 |
45 |
-0.743 |
53% |
3 |
76.6 |
14.3 |
-0.370 |
29% |
5 |
22.9 |
-0.831 |
32% |
2 |
1.0 |
-0.776 |
32% |
3 |
0.861 |
0.851 |
9% |
4 |
WeatherT |
4 |
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
02/16 18:58 |
0.10 |
0.40 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
1.20 |
0.60 |
4.20 |
1.20 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
0.40 |
0.35 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.40 |
0.20 |
3.00 |
0.40 |
2.60 |
0.90 |
1.20 |
1.20 |
1.80 |
1.10 |
3.50 |
0.20 |
6.50 |
2.60 |
2.50 |
0.70 |
4.90 |
1.10 |
6.70 |
2.80 |
7.10 |
2.40 |
10.30 |
3.60 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
4.30 |
0.70 |
0.80 |
0.10 |
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
24 |
45 |
-0.739 |
53% |
4 |
75.1 |
12.9 |
-0.461 |
36% |
4 |
24.3 |
-0.728 |
28% |
3 |
1.0 |
-0.751 |
31% |
4 |
0.875 |
1.028 |
11% |
1 |
donsutherland1 |
5 |
Roger Smith |
Senior |
02/16
13:05 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.10 |
0.10 |
-
|
-
|
1.50 |
0.90 |
3.50 |
0.50 |
0.70 |
0.60 |
0.90 |
1.80 |
0.20 |
1.10 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.90 |
2.50 |
0.40 |
3.10 |
0.20 |
2.20 |
2.00 |
0.90 |
2.50 |
1.20 |
2.50 |
1.40 |
0.30 |
2.90 |
5.50 |
1.70 |
7.00 |
3.10 |
7.00 |
2.30 |
6.50 |
0.20 |
9.20 |
2.00 |
3.00 |
0.60 |
1.50 |
0.80 |
Roger Smith |
Senior |
24 |
62 |
-0.496 |
36% |
5 |
55.6 |
6.6 |
-0.851 |
67% |
2 |
30.5 |
-0.251 |
10% |
6 |
1.3 |
-0.309 |
13% |
6 |
0.675 |
-1.445 |
-15% |
9 |
Roger Smith |
6 |
Herb@MAWS |
Senior |
02/16
16:45 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
2.00 |
1.40 |
4.00 |
1.00 |
2.00 |
1.90 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
0.60 |
0.55 |
-
|
-
|
0.20 |
-
|
3.00 |
0.40 |
2.50 |
1.00 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
2.70 |
0.20 |
3.90 |
0.20 |
5.80 |
1.90 |
3.00 |
0.20 |
6.00 |
2.20 |
7.70 |
3.80 |
7.00 |
2.30 |
10.80 |
4.10 |
10.00 |
2.80 |
4.40 |
0.80 |
0.00 |
0.70 |
Herb@MAWS |
Senior |
22 |
63 |
-0.481 |
35% |
6 |
81.6 |
19.4 |
-0.052 |
4% |
7 |
27.7 |
-0.463 |
18% |
5 |
1.3 |
-0.329 |
13% |
5 |
0.867 |
0.930 |
10% |
2 |
Herb@MAWS |
7 |
TQ |
Senior |
02/16
18:24 |
0.05 |
0.45 |
-
|
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.00 |
1.50 |
0.90 |
3.50 |
0.50 |
1.25 |
1.15 |
3.00 |
0.30 |
2.25 |
0.95 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
2.50 |
0.90 |
2.50 |
1.00 |
1.50 |
0.90 |
1.50 |
1.40 |
3.00 |
0.70 |
5.00 |
1.10 |
2.00 |
1.20 |
6.00 |
2.20 |
7.00 |
3.10 |
8.00 |
3.30 |
11.00 |
4.30 |
12.00 |
4.80 |
7.00 |
3.40 |
1.50 |
0.80 |
TQ |
Senior |
25 |
91 |
-0.079 |
6% |
7 |
83.3 |
21.0 |
0.052 |
-4% |
8 |
34.6 |
0.057 |
-2% |
7 |
1.4 |
-0.122 |
5% |
7 |
0.826 |
0.430 |
4% |
5 |
TQ |
8 |
MarkHofmann |
Senior |
02/16
10:16 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.60 |
0.00 |
3.00 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
2.70 |
0.00 |
1.30 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
3.40 |
0.00 |
3.50 |
4.00 |
1.60 |
5.00 |
2.10 |
4.00 |
0.30 |
4.00 |
0.10 |
4.00 |
0.80 |
8.00 |
4.20 |
9.00 |
5.10 |
10.00 |
5.30 |
11.00 |
4.30 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
8.00 |
4.40 |
3.00 |
2.30 |
MarkHofmann |
Senior |
22 |
169 |
1.048 |
-75% |
8 |
79.0 |
16.8 |
-0.215 |
17% |
6 |
47.6 |
1.046 |
-41% |
9 |
2.2 |
1.195 |
-49% |
9 |
0.640 |
-1.872 |
-19% |
10 |
MarkHofmann |
9 |
snocat918 |
Journeyman |
02/16
17:01 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
3.00 |
2.40 |
4.00 |
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
1.00 |
0.30 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
4.00 |
0.60 |
2.00 |
1.50 |
1.00 |
1.40 |
2.00 |
0.90 |
4.00 |
0.30 |
5.50 |
1.60 |
3.00 |
0.20 |
8.00 |
4.20 |
9.80 |
5.90 |
9.00 |
4.30 |
14.00 |
7.30 |
12.80 |
5.60 |
5.00 |
1.40 |
1.30 |
0.60 |
snocat918 |
Journeyman |
23 |
173 |
1.102 |
-79% |
9 |
91.6 |
29.3 |
0.574 |
-45% |
9 |
41.0 |
0.542 |
-21% |
8 |
1.8 |
0.550 |
-22% |
8 |
0.816 |
0.307 |
3% |
6 |
snocat918 |
10 |
iralibov |
Senior |
02/16
08:37 |
0.05 |
0.45 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
3.80 |
3.20 |
4.20 |
1.20 |
3.60 |
3.50 |
5.00 |
2.30 |
6.00 |
4.70 |
4.50 |
4.45 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
6.30 |
2.90 |
6.00 |
2.50 |
5.30 |
2.90 |
6.50 |
3.60 |
7.10 |
3.40 |
7.30 |
3.40 |
6.40 |
3.20 |
9.30 |
5.50 |
9.80 |
5.90 |
10.00 |
5.30 |
8.70 |
2.00 |
9.60 |
2.40 |
3.80 |
0.20 |
2.00 |
1.30 |
iralibov |
Senior |
23 |
245 |
2.137 |
-154% |
10 |
125.8 |
63.6 |
2.729 |
-215% |
10 |
65.0 |
2.358 |
-92% |
10 |
2.8 |
2.305 |
-94% |
10 |
0.738 |
-0.658 |
-7% |
8 |
iralibov |
|
|
Forecast
Parameters |
CAR |
Error |
BGR |
Error |
PWM |
Error |
CON |
Error |
BTV |
Error |
BOS |
Error |
HYA |
Error |
ORH |
Error |
PVD |
Error |
BDR |
Error |
BDL |
Error |
ALB |
Error |
BGM |
Error |
ISP |
Error |
JFK |
Error |
ABE |
Error |
MDT |
Error |
PHL |
Error |
ACY |
Error |
EWR |
Error |
BWI |
Error |
IAD |
Error |
DCA |
Error |
SBY |
Error |
RIC |
Error |
ORF |
Error |
RDU |
Error |
Forecast
Parameters |
234 |
Error |
Error Z |
% MPRV |
Rank |
STP |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Forecast Parameters |
Rookie |
0 |
Consensus |
MIN |
0.00 |
0.40 |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.60 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
- |
-
|
- |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
0.90 |
0.20 |
0.40 |
1.25 |
0.20 |
2.00 |
0.10 |
2.50 |
0.10 |
0.30 |
0.20 |
3.60 |
0.20 |
4.50 |
0.60 |
5.00 |
0.30 |
5.50 |
0.20 |
6.75 |
0.45 |
3.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
MIN |
22 |
31.6 |
-0.935 |
-153.8% |
1 |
55.6 |
5.2 |
-0.939 |
-215.0% |
1 |
20.2 |
-1.032 |
-91.9% |
1 |
0.88 |
-0.971 |
-93.9% |
1 |
64.0% |
-1.872 |
-19.1% |
1 |
MIN |
Intern |
0 |
MAX |
0.10 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
-
|
-
|
3.80 |
3.20 |
5.60 |
3.00 |
3.60 |
3.50 |
5.00 |
2.70 |
6.00 |
4.70 |
4.50 |
4.45 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.80 |
0.60 |
6.30 |
3.40 |
6.00 |
3.50 |
5.30 |
2.90 |
6.50 |
3.60 |
7.10 |
3.40 |
7.30 |
3.40 |
6.40 |
3.20 |
9.30 |
5.50 |
9.80 |
5.90 |
10.00 |
5.30 |
14.00 |
7.30 |
12.80 |
5.60 |
8.00 |
4.40 |
3.00 |
2.30 |
MAX |
25 |
245.2 |
2.137 |
67.3% |
10 |
125.8
|
63.6 |
2.729 |
74.0% |
10 |
65.0 |
2.358 |
40.2% |
10 |
2.82
|
2.305 |
39.5% |
10 |
87.5% |
1.028 |
10.5% |
10 |
MAX |
Journey |
1 |
AVG |
0.02 |
0.48 |
-
|
-
|
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
-
|
-
|
1.79 |
1.30 |
3.71 |
1.31 |
1.03 |
0.96 |
2.18 |
1.08 |
1.81 |
1.10 |
0.77 |
0.74 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
0.20 |
0.17 |
2.81 |
1.33 |
2.21 |
1.79 |
2.06 |
1.24 |
2.71 |
1.34 |
3.74 |
0.82 |
5.30 |
1.68 |
2.71 |
1.30 |
6.09 |
2.33 |
7.63 |
3.73 |
7.53 |
2.83 |
9.55 |
3.13 |
9.70 |
2.59 |
5.06 |
1.58 |
1.35 |
0.89 |
AVG |
23 |
96.6 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
80.0
|
20.2 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
33.9 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
1.46
|
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
79.2% |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
AVG |
Senior |
9 |
Median |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.55 |
0.95 |
4.00 |
1.10 |
0.70 |
0.60 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
1.80 |
0.70 |
0.35 |
0.30 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.08 |
0.15 |
3.00 |
0.75 |
2.35 |
1.40 |
1.75 |
1.10 |
2.00 |
1.00 |
3.70 |
0.30 |
5.65 |
1.75 |
2.45 |
1.00 |
5.80 |
2.00 |
7.35 |
3.45 |
7.05 |
2.35 |
9.75 |
3.05 |
9.40 |
2.20 |
4.35 |
0.75 |
1.40 |
0.75 |
Median |
23 |
62.6 |
-0.489 |
35.2% |
6 |
77.8
|
15.5 |
-0.292 |
23.0% |
6 |
29.1 |
-0.357 |
13.9% |
6 |
1.27
|
-0.319 |
13.0% |
6 |
82.1% |
0.368 |
3.8% |
6 |
Median |
TOT |
10 |
Mode |
0.00 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.50 |
0.90 |
3.50 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
2.00 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
3.50 |
0.10 |
2.60 |
0.90 |
2.00 |
0.40 |
2.00 |
0.90 |
4.00 |
0.30 |
4.00 |
0.10 |
3.00 |
0.20 |
6.00 |
2.20 |
7.00 |
3.10 |
7.00 |
2.30 |
11.00 |
4.30 |
10.00 |
2.80 |
4.30 |
0.70 |
2.00 |
1.30 |
Mode |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mode |
|
|
STD |
0.03 |
0.03 |
-
|
-
|
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
-
|
-
|
0.97 |
0.80 |
1.37 |
0.82 |
1.02 |
0.99 |
1.25 |
0.82 |
1.58 |
1.24 |
1.29 |
1.28 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.23 |
0.15 |
1.68 |
1.18 |
1.55 |
0.92 |
1.43 |
0.78 |
1.60 |
0.91 |
1.29 |
1.00 |
1.37 |
1.01 |
1.54 |
0.98 |
1.74 |
1.68 |
1.54 |
1.54 |
1.61 |
1.61 |
2.32 |
1.92 |
1.62 |
1.47 |
1.50 |
1.37 |
0.84 |
0.58 |
STD |
1 |
69.5 |
1.000 |
72.0% |
2.9
|
18.5
|
15.9 |
1.000 |
78.8% |
2.9 |
13.2 |
1.000 |
39.0% |
2.9 |
0.59
|
1.000 |
40.7% |
2.9
|
8.1% |
1.000 |
10.2% |
2.9 |
STD |
|
|
25% |
ile |
0.00 |
0.46 |
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
1.50 |
0.90 |
3.50 |
0.63 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
2.00 |
0.70 |
1.00 |
0.40 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.05 |
0.11 |
1.68 |
0.40 |
1.44 |
1.00 |
1.25 |
0.53 |
1.85 |
0.90 |
3.13 |
0.20 |
4.25 |
1.18 |
1.81 |
0.73 |
5.05 |
1.25 |
6.85 |
2.95 |
6.40 |
1.70 |
8.55 |
1.85 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
4.30 |
0.70 |
0.90 |
0.53 |
25% |
23 |
45.0 |
-0.742 |
-55.2% |
3 |
75.0 |
12.8 |
-0.466 |
-2.0% |
3 |
24.3 |
-0.721 |
-16.4% |
3 |
1.00 |
-0.770 |
-15.6% |
3 |
74.2% |
-0.613 |
-6.3% |
3 |
|
|
|
75% |
ile |
0.04 |
0.50 |
-
|
-
|
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
1.94 |
1.34 |
4.20 |
1.50 |
1.19 |
1.09 |
2.68 |
1.53 |
2.00 |
1.06 |
0.75 |
0.70 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.24 |
0.19 |
3.50 |
2.38 |
2.58 |
2.44 |
2.00 |
1.55 |
2.60 |
1.59 |
3.98 |
1.08 |
6.30 |
2.40 |
3.00 |
1.49 |
7.50 |
3.70 |
8.75 |
4.85 |
8.75 |
4.05 |
10.95 |
4.25 |
10.00 |
2.80 |
6.13 |
2.53 |
1.88 |
1.18 |
75% |
24 |
149.9 |
0.767 |
53.4% |
8 |
82.8
|
20.6 |
0.026 |
36.7% |
8 |
39.4 |
0.421 |
28.1% |
8 |
1.68
|
0.382 |
31.4% |
8 |
86.4% |
0.892 |
9.1% |
8 |
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