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Forecaster |
Class |
4casts |
Sum Square |
STP |
TOTAL Absolute |
AVG Absolute |
|
|
|
|
|
Rank |
Forecaster |
Class |
Entry Date / LT |
CAR |
0.20 |
BGR |
2.60 |
PWM |
8.70 |
CON |
9.60 |
BTV |
2.10 |
BOS |
22.90 |
HYA |
3.00 |
ORH |
13.70 |
PVD |
7.20 |
BDR |
2.10 |
BDL |
6.60 |
ALB |
9.10 |
BGM |
3.20 |
Forecaster |
ISP |
0.05 |
JFK |
0.10 |
ABE |
0.40 |
MDT |
0.20 |
PHL |
0.05 |
ACY |
0.00 |
EWR |
0.20 |
BWI |
0.05 |
IAD |
0.05 |
DCA |
0.05 |
SBY |
0.00 |
RIC |
0.05 |
ORF |
0.00 |
RDU |
0.00 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
92.2 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Forecaster |
1 |
WeatherT |
Senior |
02/07 22:27 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
1.20 |
1.40 |
6.50 |
2.20 |
7.20 |
2.40 |
3.60 |
1.50 |
14.20 |
8.70 |
6.00 |
3.00 |
8.60 |
5.10 |
4.20 |
3.00 |
1.50 |
0.60 |
4.00 |
2.60 |
12.60 |
3.50 |
3.50 |
0.30 |
WeatherT |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
1.10 |
0.70 |
0.80 |
0.60 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.70 |
0.50 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
WeatherT |
Senior |
23 |
155 |
-1.241 |
54% |
1 |
76.6 |
15.6 |
-1.596 |
58% |
1 |
37.1 |
-1.703 |
36% |
1 |
1.6 |
-1.680 |
33% |
1 |
0.850 |
1.466 |
17% |
1 |
WeatherT |
2 |
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
02/07
22:28 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
5.50 |
2.90 |
10.50 |
1.80 |
11.50 |
1.90 |
8.40 |
6.30 |
15.70 |
7.20 |
3.50 |
0.50 |
12.00 |
1.70 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
4.20 |
2.10 |
9.00 |
2.40 |
11.80 |
2.70 |
10.20 |
7.00 |
donsutherland1 |
2.00 |
1.95 |
0.80 |
0.70 |
0.60 |
0.20 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
-
|
-
|
1.20 |
1.00 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
23 |
186 |
-1.032 |
45% |
2 |
117.9 |
25.7 |
-0.839 |
30% |
3 |
43.7 |
-1.162 |
24% |
2 |
1.9 |
-1.088 |
22% |
2 |
0.794 |
0.804 |
9% |
2 |
donsutherland1 |
3 |
Donald
Rosenfeld |
Senior |
02/07 22:29 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
3.50 |
0.90 |
9.00 |
0.30 |
8.00 |
1.60 |
4.00 |
1.90 |
14.00 |
8.90 |
7.00 |
4.00 |
11.00 |
2.70 |
10.00 |
2.80 |
4.50 |
2.40 |
7.00 |
0.40 |
7.00 |
2.10 |
7.00 |
3.80 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
4.50 |
4.45 |
3.50 |
3.40 |
3.50 |
3.10 |
1.50 |
1.30 |
1.75 |
1.70 |
1.75 |
1.75 |
4.50 |
4.30 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Donald Rosenfeld |
Senior |
24 |
211 |
-0.859 |
37% |
3 |
115.5 |
23.3 |
-1.020 |
37% |
2 |
54.1 |
-0.303 |
6% |
5 |
2.3 |
-0.352 |
7% |
5 |
0.788 |
0.732 |
9% |
4 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
4 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
02/07 22:30 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
5.40 |
2.80 |
10.20 |
1.50 |
13.00 |
3.40 |
10.60 |
8.50 |
14.50 |
8.40 |
2.40 |
0.60 |
15.60 |
1.90 |
9.70 |
2.50 |
3.60 |
1.50 |
10.40 |
3.80 |
13.10 |
4.00 |
6.20 |
3.00 |
Brad Yehl |
1.80 |
1.75 |
1.60 |
1.50 |
1.20 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.60 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
0.05 |
2.10 |
1.90 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
24 |
226 |
-0.754 |
33% |
4 |
122.5 |
30.3 |
-0.494 |
18% |
5 |
48.7 |
-0.748 |
16% |
3 |
2.0 |
-0.819 |
16% |
3 |
0.765 |
0.466 |
5% |
5 |
Brad Yehl |
5 |
snocat918 |
Journeyman |
02/07
18:58 |
4.50 |
4.30 |
6.50 |
3.90 |
7.80 |
0.90 |
12.00 |
2.40 |
8.00 |
5.90 |
12.50 |
10.40 |
3.10 |
0.10 |
13.80 |
0.10 |
9.50 |
2.30 |
2.50 |
0.40 |
9.40 |
2.80 |
14.80 |
5.70 |
8.80 |
5.60 |
snocat918 |
1.50 |
1.45 |
1.80 |
1.70 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
1.80 |
1.60 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
snocat918 |
Journeyman |
24 |
268 |
-0.464 |
20% |
5 |
120.1 |
27.9 |
-0.674 |
24% |
4 |
50.9 |
-0.567 |
12% |
4 |
2.1 |
-0.629 |
12% |
4 |
0.698 |
-0.333 |
-4% |
7 |
snocat918 |
6 |
Mitchel Volk |
Senior |
02/07
20:50 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
4.00 |
1.40 |
15.00 |
6.30 |
17.00 |
7.40 |
12.00 |
9.90 |
16.00 |
6.90 |
7.00 |
4.00 |
17.00 |
3.30 |
6.00 |
1.20 |
4.00 |
1.90 |
10.00 |
3.40 |
16.00 |
6.90 |
6.00 |
2.80 |
Mitchel Volk |
3.00 |
2.95 |
2.00 |
1.90 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
2.30 |
2.10 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Mitchel Volk |
Senior |
23 |
358 |
0.151 |
-7% |
6 |
138.8 |
46.6 |
0.732 |
-26% |
8 |
63.7 |
0.490 |
-10% |
6 |
2.8 |
0.719 |
-14% |
7 |
0.728 |
0.021 |
0% |
6 |
Mitchel Volk |
7 |
snowman |
Senior |
02/07
19:03 |
1.30 |
1.10 |
8.75 |
6.15 |
11.20 |
2.50 |
14.60 |
5.00 |
12.50 |
10.40 |
19.80 |
3.10 |
5.10 |
2.10 |
17.70 |
4.00 |
11.80 |
4.60 |
4.10 |
2.00 |
13.10 |
6.50 |
14.50 |
5.40 |
10.60 |
7.40 |
snowman |
0.20 |
0.15 |
1.20 |
1.10 |
2.10 |
1.70 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
1.70 |
1.50 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
snowman |
Senior |
23 |
367 |
0.211 |
-9% |
7 |
151.3 |
59.1 |
1.668 |
-60% |
10 |
65.7 |
0.659 |
-14% |
8 |
2.9 |
0.905 |
-18% |
9 |
0.790 |
0.762 |
9% |
3 |
snowman |
8 |
iralibov |
Senior |
02/07 22:31 |
2.50 |
2.30 |
11.60 |
9.00 |
15.80 |
7.10 |
16.50 |
6.90 |
8.70 |
6.60 |
12.50 |
10.40 |
2.00 |
1.00 |
14.20 |
0.50 |
5.30 |
1.90 |
3.50 |
1.40 |
8.20 |
1.60 |
15.60 |
6.50 |
8.00 |
4.80 |
iralibov |
3.50 |
3.45 |
3.80 |
3.70 |
4.80 |
4.40 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
4.00 |
3.80 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
iralibov |
Senior |
24 |
470 |
0.921 |
-40% |
8 |
141.1 |
48.9 |
0.905 |
-33% |
9 |
76.2 |
1.522 |
-32% |
10 |
3.2 |
1.562 |
-31% |
10 |
0.586 |
-1.660 |
-19% |
10 |
iralibov |
9 |
TQ |
Senior |
02/07
20:49 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
3.00 |
0.40 |
13.00 |
4.30 |
20.00 |
10.40 |
10.00 |
7.90 |
15.00 |
7.90 |
1.00 |
2.00 |
20.00 |
6.30 |
8.00 |
0.80 |
4.00 |
1.90 |
20.00 |
13.40 |
14.00 |
4.90 |
4.00 |
0.80 |
TQ |
1.00 |
0.95 |
1.00 |
0.90 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
1.00 |
0.80 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
TQ |
Senior |
23 |
507 |
1.174 |
-51% |
9 |
137.1 |
44.9 |
0.601 |
-22% |
6 |
65.4 |
0.635 |
-13% |
7 |
2.8 |
0.877 |
-17% |
8 |
0.671 |
-0.653 |
-8% |
8 |
TQ |
10 |
Roger Smith |
Senior |
02/07
12:17 |
1.50 |
1.30 |
2.70 |
0.10 |
4.00 |
4.70 |
3.00 |
6.60 |
2.50 |
0.40 |
4.50 |
18.40 |
2.00 |
1.00 |
5.00 |
8.70 |
2.00 |
5.20 |
1.70 |
0.40 |
1.70 |
4.90 |
1.50 |
7.60 |
1.50 |
1.70 |
Roger Smith |
3.00 |
2.95 |
2.00 |
1.90 |
1.50 |
1.10 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
1.50 |
1.30 |
0.70 |
0.65 |
0.40 |
0.35 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.70 |
0.70 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
Roger Smith |
Senior |
27 |
612 |
1.892 |
-82% |
10 |
45.8 |
46.4 |
0.717 |
-26% |
7 |
72.0 |
1.176 |
-25% |
9 |
2.7 |
0.506 |
-10% |
6 |
0.590 |
-1.605 |
-19% |
9 |
Roger Smith |
|
|
Forecast
Parameters |
CAR |
Error |
BGR |
Error |
PWM |
Error |
CON |
Error |
BTV |
Error |
BOS |
Error |
HYA |
Error |
ORH |
Error |
PVD |
Error |
BDR |
Error |
BDL |
Error |
ALB |
Error |
BGM |
Error |
|
ISP |
Error |
JFK |
Error |
ABE |
Error |
MDT |
Error |
PHL |
Error |
ACY |
Error |
EWR |
Error |
BWI |
Error |
IAD |
Error |
DCA |
Error |
SBY |
Error |
RIC |
Error |
ORF |
Error |
RDU |
Error |
Forecast
Parameters |
238 |
Error |
Error Z |
% MPRV |
Rank |
STP |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Forecast Parameters |
Rookie |
0 |
Consensus |
MIN |
0.00 |
0.15 |
1.20 |
0.10 |
4.00 |
0.30 |
3.00 |
1.60 |
2.50 |
0.40 |
4.50 |
3.10 |
1.00 |
0.10 |
5.00 |
0.10 |
2.00 |
0.80 |
1.50 |
0.40 |
1.70 |
0.40 |
1.50 |
2.10 |
1.50 |
0.30 |
MIN |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
0.60 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
- |
-
|
- |
0.70 |
0.50 |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
- |
-
|
- |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
MIN |
23 |
155.3 |
-1.241 |
-82.0% |
1 |
45.8 |
15.6 |
-1.596 |
-60.2% |
1 |
37.1 |
-1.703 |
-31.9% |
1 |
1.62 |
-1.680 |
-31.0% |
1 |
58.6% |
-1.660 |
-19.3% |
1 |
MIN |
Intern |
0 |
MAX |
4.50 |
4.30 |
11.60 |
9.00 |
15.80 |
7.10 |
20.00 |
10.40 |
12.50 |
10.40 |
19.80 |
18.40 |
7.00 |
4.00 |
20.00 |
8.70 |
11.80 |
5.20 |
4.50 |
2.40 |
20.00 |
13.40 |
16.00 |
7.60 |
10.60 |
7.40 |
MAX |
4.50 |
4.45 |
3.80 |
3.70 |
4.80 |
4.40 |
1.50 |
1.30 |
1.75 |
1.70 |
1.75 |
1.75 |
4.50 |
4.30 |
0.70 |
0.65 |
1.00 |
0.95 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.70 |
0.70 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
MAX |
27 |
611.9 |
1.892 |
53.8% |
10 |
151.3
|
59.1 |
1.668 |
57.6% |
10 |
76.2 |
1.522 |
35.7% |
10 |
3.17
|
1.562 |
33.4% |
10 |
85.0% |
1.466 |
17.0% |
10 |
MAX |
Journey |
1 |
AVG |
1.19 |
1.09 |
5.22 |
2.90 |
10.30 |
3.16 |
12.28 |
4.80 |
8.03 |
5.93 |
13.87 |
9.03 |
3.91 |
1.83 |
13.49 |
3.43 |
7.55 |
2.61 |
3.36 |
1.46 |
9.28 |
4.18 |
12.09 |
4.93 |
6.58 |
3.72 |
AVG |
2.05 |
2.01 |
1.82 |
1.72 |
1.78 |
1.38 |
0.77 |
0.63 |
0.34 |
0.32 |
0.22 |
0.22 |
2.08 |
1.88 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.19 |
0.18 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
AVG |
24 |
336.1 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
116.7
|
36.9 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
57.8 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
2.42
|
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
72.6% |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
AVG |
Senior |
9 |
Median |
0.75 |
0.55 |
4.70 |
2.10 |
10.35 |
2.35 |
12.50 |
4.20 |
8.55 |
6.45 |
14.35 |
8.55 |
3.30 |
1.50 |
14.00 |
3.00 |
8.50 |
2.40 |
3.80 |
1.70 |
9.20 |
3.10 |
13.55 |
5.15 |
6.60 |
3.40 |
Median |
1.90 |
1.85 |
1.70 |
1.60 |
1.15 |
0.75 |
0.90 |
0.70 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
1.75 |
1.55 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Median |
24 |
313.3 |
-0.156 |
6.8% |
6 |
121.3
|
37.6 |
0.053 |
-1.9% |
6 |
58.9 |
0.094 |
-2.0% |
6 |
2.46
|
0.077 |
-1.5% |
6 |
74.6% |
0.243 |
2.8% |
6 |
Median |
TOT |
10 |
Mode |
0.50 |
0.30 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
12.50 |
10.40 |
7.00 |
4.00 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
4.00 |
1.90 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
Mode |
3.00 |
2.95 |
2.00 |
1.90 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
#N/A |
#N/A |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Mode |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mode |
|
|
STD |
1.33 |
1.25 |
2.95 |
2.67 |
3.50 |
2.20 |
4.86 |
2.79 |
3.37 |
3.37 |
3.69 |
3.69 |
2.09 |
1.36 |
4.26 |
2.54 |
2.90 |
1.32 |
1.02 |
0.70 |
4.72 |
3.47 |
4.29 |
1.74 |
2.81 |
2.34 |
STD |
1.38 |
1.36 |
1.03 |
1.03 |
1.28 |
1.28 |
0.44 |
0.33 |
0.51 |
0.49 |
0.52 |
0.52 |
1.18 |
1.18 |
0.21 |
0.18 |
0.30 |
0.28 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.21 |
0.21 |
0.03 |
0.00 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
STD |
1 |
145.7 |
1.000 |
43.3% |
2.9
|
30.6
|
13.3 |
1.000 |
36.1% |
2.9 |
12.1 |
1.000 |
21.0% |
2.9 |
0.48
|
1.000 |
19.9% |
2.9
|
8.4% |
1.000 |
11.6% |
2.9 |
STD |
|
|
25% |
ile |
0.16 |
0.22 |
3.13 |
1.03 |
8.10 |
1.58 |
8.88 |
2.40 |
5.00 |
2.90 |
12.88 |
7.38 |
2.10 |
0.70 |
11.25 |
1.75 |
5.48 |
1.83 |
2.75 |
0.80 |
7.30 |
2.45 |
12.00 |
3.63 |
4.50 |
1.98 |
|
1.13 |
1.08 |
1.05 |
0.95 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
0.58 |
0.38 |
0.01 |
0.05 |
- |
-
|
1.28 |
1.08 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
- |
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
25% |
23 |
214.9 |
-0.832 |
-32.2% |
3 |
116.1 |
26.3 |
-0.798 |
-26.3% |
3 |
49.2 |
-0.703 |
-13.7% |
3 |
2.05 |
-0.772 |
-16.6% |
3 |
67.7% |
-0.573 |
-6.7% |
3 |
|
|
|
75% |
ile |
1.45 |
1.25 |
6.25 |
3.65 |
12.55 |
4.60 |
16.03 |
6.83 |
10.45 |
8.35 |
15.53 |
10.03 |
5.78 |
2.78 |
16.65 |
4.83 |
9.65 |
2.95 |
4.08 |
1.98 |
10.30 |
4.63 |
14.73 |
6.30 |
8.60 |
5.40 |
|
3.00 |
2.95 |
2.00 |
1.90 |
1.95 |
1.55 |
1.00 |
0.80 |
0.45 |
0.40 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
2.25 |
2.05 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.25 |
0.20 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
75% |
24 |
444.5 |
0.743 |
36.1% |
8 |
138.4
|
46.6 |
0.728 |
28.8% |
8 |
65.7 |
0.653 |
14.7% |
8 |
2.83
|
0.838 |
15.3% |
8 |
79.0% |
0.755 |
8.8% |
8 |
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