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|
Forecaster |
Class |
4casts |
Sum Square |
STP |
TOTAL Absolute |
AVG Absolute |
|
|
|
|
|
Rank |
Forecaster |
Class |
Entry Date / LT |
CAR |
3.00 |
BGR |
13.10 |
PWM |
9.10 |
CON |
9.90 |
BTV |
6.40 |
BOS |
16.20 |
HYA |
2.80 |
ORH |
17.40 |
PVD |
7.90 |
BDR |
11.00 |
BDL |
10.80 |
ALB |
11.90 |
BGM |
10.80 |
Forecaster |
ISP |
5.10 |
JFK |
4.50 |
ABE |
3.90 |
MDT |
1.60 |
PHL |
0.80 |
ACY |
0.00 |
EWR |
4.60 |
BWI |
0.40 |
IAD |
0.05 |
DCA |
0.05 |
SBY |
0.00 |
RIC |
0.00 |
ORF |
0.00 |
RDU |
0.00 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
151.3 |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPROV over
AVG |
Rank |
Forecaster |
1 |
TQ |
Senior |
01/31 21:39 |
4.50 |
1.50 |
11.00 |
2.10 |
10.00 |
0.90 |
9.00 |
0.90 |
8.00 |
1.60 |
12.00 |
4.20 |
3.00 |
0.20 |
11.00 |
6.40 |
6.00 |
1.90 |
6.00 |
5.00 |
13.00 |
2.20 |
13.00 |
1.10 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
TQ |
3.00 |
2.10 |
3.00 |
1.50 |
7.00 |
3.10 |
3.00 |
1.40 |
0.05 |
0.75 |
-
|
-
|
5.00 |
0.40 |
0.05 |
0.35 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
TQ |
Senior |
22 |
126 |
-1.195 |
64% |
1 |
136.7 |
14.6 |
-0.970 |
59% |
2 |
39.4 |
-1.281 |
40% |
2 |
1.8 |
-1.298 |
37% |
2 |
0.851 |
1.087 |
27% |
3 |
TQ |
2 |
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
01/31
22:29 |
3.20 |
0.20 |
9.30 |
3.80 |
9.80 |
0.70 |
8.60 |
1.30 |
5.00 |
1.40 |
11.00 |
5.20 |
3.80 |
1.00 |
12.00 |
5.40 |
7.10 |
0.80 |
6.00 |
5.00 |
11.80 |
1.00 |
9.50 |
2.40 |
7.60 |
3.20 |
donsutherland1 |
3.00 |
2.10 |
3.60 |
0.90 |
5.50 |
1.60 |
3.50 |
1.90 |
0.30 |
0.50 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
4.60 |
-
|
0.10 |
0.30 |
0.05 |
-
|
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
donsutherland1 |
Chief |
23 |
130 |
-1.176 |
63% |
2 |
125.5 |
25.9 |
-0.449 |
27% |
5 |
38.8 |
-1.312 |
41% |
1 |
1.7 |
-1.431 |
40% |
1 |
0.898 |
1.367 |
34% |
1 |
donsutherland1 |
3 |
Herb@MAWS |
Senior |
01/31
18:55 |
0.00 |
3.00 |
2.00 |
11.10 |
11.00 |
1.90 |
8.00 |
1.90 |
6.00 |
0.40 |
14.00 |
2.20 |
6.00 |
3.20 |
13.00 |
4.40 |
8.00 |
0.10 |
7.00 |
4.00 |
14.00 |
3.20 |
12.00 |
0.10 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
Herb@MAWS |
4.00 |
1.10 |
4.00 |
0.50 |
6.00 |
2.10 |
4.00 |
2.40 |
1.00 |
0.20 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
5.00 |
0.40 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Herb@MAWS |
Senior |
23 |
215 |
-0.730 |
39% |
3 |
134.5 |
16.8 |
-0.868 |
53% |
3 |
44.5 |
-1.036 |
33% |
3 |
1.9 |
-1.117 |
32% |
3 |
0.735 |
0.387 |
10% |
5 |
Herb@MAWS |
4 |
Shillelagh |
Senior |
01/31 22:31 |
0.50 |
2.50 |
8.30 |
4.80 |
8.00 |
1.10 |
9.00 |
0.90 |
6.00 |
0.40 |
9.50 |
6.70 |
4.00 |
1.20 |
10.00 |
7.40 |
5.00 |
2.90 |
4.50 |
6.50 |
6.00 |
4.80 |
8.50 |
3.40 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
Shillelagh |
2.00 |
3.10 |
2.40 |
2.10 |
3.00 |
0.90 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
0.05 |
0.75 |
-
|
-
|
3.00 |
1.60 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Shillelagh |
Senior |
22 |
240 |
-0.603 |
33% |
4 |
99.8 |
51.5 |
0.743 |
-45% |
9 |
53.9 |
-0.581 |
18% |
4 |
2.5 |
-0.469 |
13% |
4 |
0.889 |
1.315 |
33% |
2 |
Shillelagh |
5 |
iralibov |
Senior |
01/31
18:08 |
4.20 |
1.20 |
9.80 |
3.30 |
11.20 |
2.10 |
9.30 |
0.60 |
3.20 |
3.20 |
10.30 |
5.90 |
7.20 |
4.40 |
11.20 |
6.20 |
10.10 |
2.20 |
7.20 |
3.80 |
10.10 |
0.70 |
5.60 |
6.30 |
9.50 |
1.30 |
iralibov |
4.80 |
0.30 |
5.30 |
0.80 |
11.20 |
7.30 |
4.20 |
2.60 |
2.50 |
1.70 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
5.60 |
1.00 |
1.20 |
0.80 |
0.50 |
0.45 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
iralibov |
Senior |
23 |
251 |
-0.546 |
29% |
5 |
146.3 |
5.1 |
-1.413 |
86% |
1 |
58.2 |
-0.378 |
12% |
6 |
2.5 |
-0.373 |
11% |
5 |
0.681 |
0.064 |
2% |
6 |
iralibov |
6 |
WeatherT |
Senior |
01/31
20:06 |
8.00 |
5.00 |
10.50 |
2.60 |
9.50 |
0.40 |
10.00 |
0.10 |
3.80 |
2.60 |
9.30 |
6.90 |
2.60 |
0.20 |
11.00 |
6.40 |
3.00 |
4.90 |
3.70 |
7.30 |
6.20 |
4.60 |
10.00 |
1.90 |
8.30 |
2.50 |
WeatherT |
1.50 |
3.60 |
1.00 |
3.50 |
3.00 |
0.90 |
0.70 |
0.90 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
-
|
-
|
2.00 |
2.60 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
WeatherT |
Senior |
22 |
270 |
-0.447 |
24% |
6 |
104.5 |
46.8 |
0.523 |
-32% |
8 |
57.8 |
-0.395 |
12% |
5 |
2.6 |
-0.249 |
7% |
6 |
0.772 |
0.610 |
15% |
4 |
WeatherT |
7 |
snowman |
Senior |
01/31 22:29 |
11.20 |
8.20 |
10.20 |
2.90 |
12.00 |
2.90 |
13.00 |
3.10 |
13.50 |
7.10 |
11.50 |
4.70 |
8.50 |
5.70 |
10.00 |
7.40 |
9.00 |
1.10 |
8.50 |
2.50 |
9.50 |
1.30 |
13.00 |
1.10 |
13.50 |
2.70 |
snowman |
8.50 |
3.40 |
7.80 |
3.30 |
6.50 |
2.60 |
8.50 |
6.90 |
4.50 |
3.70 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
7.50 |
2.90 |
2.60 |
2.20 |
0.80 |
0.75 |
0.40 |
0.35 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
snowman |
Senior |
24 |
378 |
0.120 |
-6% |
7 |
192.1 |
40.8 |
0.245 |
-15% |
7 |
78.4 |
0.596 |
-19% |
8 |
3.3 |
0.552 |
-16% |
7 |
0.600 |
-0.421 |
-10% |
7 |
snowman |
8 |
Donald
Rosenfeld |
Senior |
01/31
22:29 |
6.50 |
3.50 |
9.00 |
4.10 |
11.50 |
2.40 |
9.50 |
0.40 |
4.25 |
2.15 |
11.50 |
4.70 |
7.50 |
4.70 |
10.50 |
6.90 |
11.50 |
3.60 |
11.00 |
-
|
9.50 |
1.30 |
6.75 |
5.15 |
7.00 |
3.80 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
11.25 |
6.15 |
11.00 |
6.50 |
10.00 |
6.10 |
6.00 |
4.40 |
7.25 |
6.45 |
1.25 |
1.25 |
11.00 |
6.40 |
3.25 |
2.85 |
2.25 |
2.20 |
1.75 |
1.70 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Donald Rosenfeld |
Senior |
24 |
424 |
0.360 |
-19% |
8 |
181.3 |
30.0 |
-0.258 |
16% |
6 |
87.0 |
1.008 |
-32% |
9 |
3.6 |
0.999 |
-28% |
9 |
0.499 |
-1.033 |
-26% |
10 |
Donald Rosenfeld |
9 |
Mitchel Volk |
Senior |
01/31 22:31 |
0.00 |
3.00 |
0.00 |
13.10 |
1.00 |
8.10 |
4.00 |
5.90 |
0.50 |
5.90 |
10.00 |
6.20 |
7.00 |
4.20 |
11.00 |
6.40 |
6.00 |
1.90 |
6.00 |
5.00 |
11.00 |
0.20 |
9.00 |
2.90 |
5.00 |
5.80 |
Mitchel Volk |
4.00 |
1.10 |
4.00 |
0.50 |
4.00 |
0.10 |
3.00 |
1.40 |
2.00 |
1.20 |
-
|
-
|
6.00 |
1.40 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Mitchel Volk |
Senior |
22 |
491 |
0.710 |
-38% |
9 |
93.5 |
57.8 |
1.033 |
-63% |
10 |
74.8 |
0.423 |
-13% |
7 |
3.4 |
0.719 |
-20% |
8 |
0.527 |
-0.865 |
-21% |
9 |
Mitchel Volk |
10 |
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
01/31
11:23 |
0.50 |
2.50 |
2.40 |
10.70 |
3.60 |
5.50 |
4.00 |
5.90 |
2.60 |
3.80 |
4.20 |
12.00 |
2.70 |
0.10 |
7.20 |
10.20 |
3.40 |
4.50 |
3.20 |
7.80 |
4.20 |
6.60 |
3.80 |
8.10 |
7.20 |
3.60 |
Brad Yehl |
2.40 |
2.70 |
2.60 |
1.90 |
6.80 |
2.90 |
3.60 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
1.20 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
1.90 |
2.70 |
0.80 |
0.40 |
0.30 |
0.25 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Brad Yehl |
Senior |
23 |
684 |
1.721 |
-93% |
10 |
69.7 |
81.6 |
2.137 |
-130% |
11 |
95.6 |
1.424 |
-45% |
10 |
4.2 |
1.667 |
-47% |
11 |
0.549 |
-0.732 |
-18% |
8 |
Brad Yehl |
11 |
Roger Smith |
Senior |
01/31
17:07 |
14.00 |
11.00 |
15.00 |
1.90 |
17.80 |
8.70 |
19.20 |
9.30 |
13.30 |
6.90 |
6.50 |
9.70 |
1.50 |
1.30 |
12.00 |
5.40 |
3.00 |
4.90 |
1.50 |
9.50 |
5.50 |
5.30 |
6.60 |
5.30 |
5.50 |
5.30 |
Roger Smith |
1.30 |
3.80 |
0.50 |
4.00 |
3.30 |
0.60 |
0.50 |
1.10 |
0.50 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
2.20 |
2.40 |
0.50 |
0.10 |
0.40 |
0.35 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
Roger Smith |
Senior |
27 |
696 |
1.785 |
-96% |
11 |
131.4 |
20.0 |
-0.722 |
44% |
4 |
97.9 |
1.533 |
-48% |
11 |
3.6 |
1.000 |
-28% |
10 |
0.375 |
-1.779 |
-44% |
11 |
Roger Smith |
|
|
Forecast
Parameters |
CAR |
Error |
BGR |
Error |
PWM |
Error |
CON |
Error |
BTV |
Error |
BOS |
Error |
HYA |
Error |
ORH |
Error |
PVD |
Error |
BDR |
Error |
BDL |
Error |
ALB |
Error |
BGM |
Error |
|
ISP |
Error |
JFK |
Error |
ABE |
Error |
MDT |
Error |
PHL |
Error |
ACY |
Error |
EWR |
Error |
BWI |
Error |
IAD |
Error |
DCA |
Error |
SBY |
Error |
RIC |
Error |
ORF |
Error |
RDU |
Error |
Forecast
Parameters |
255 |
Error |
Error Z |
% MPRV |
Rank |
STP |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Error |
Error Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
RSQ |
RSQ Z |
%MPRV |
Rank |
Forecast Parameters |
Rookie |
0 |
Consensus |
MIN |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
1.90 |
1.00 |
0.40 |
4.00 |
0.10 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
4.20 |
2.20 |
1.50 |
0.10 |
7.20 |
4.40 |
3.00 |
0.10 |
1.50 |
- |
4.20 |
0.20 |
3.80 |
0.10 |
5.00 |
1.30 |
MIN |
1.30 |
0.30 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
3.00 |
0.10 |
0.50 |
0.60 |
0.05 |
0.20 |
-
|
- |
1.90 |
- |
0.00 |
0.10 |
0.00 |
- |
0.00 |
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
MIN |
22 |
126.5 |
-1.195 |
-96.1% |
1 |
69.7 |
5.1 |
-1.413 |
-129.7% |
1 |
38.8 |
-1.312 |
-48.2% |
1 |
1.68 |
-1.431 |
-47.1% |
1 |
37.5% |
-1.779 |
-44.1% |
1 |
MIN |
Intern |
0 |
MAX |
14.00 |
11.00 |
15.00 |
13.10 |
17.80 |
8.70 |
19.20 |
9.30 |
13.50 |
7.10 |
14.00 |
12.00 |
8.50 |
5.70 |
13.00 |
10.20 |
11.50 |
4.90 |
11.00 |
9.50 |
14.00 |
6.60 |
13.00 |
8.10 |
13.50 |
5.80 |
MAX |
11.25 |
6.15 |
11.00 |
6.50 |
11.20 |
7.30 |
8.50 |
6.90 |
7.25 |
6.45 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
11.00 |
6.40 |
3.25 |
2.85 |
2.25 |
2.20 |
1.75 |
1.70 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
MAX |
27 |
696.0 |
1.785 |
64.4% |
11 |
192.1
|
81.6 |
2.137 |
85.8% |
11 |
97.9 |
1.533 |
41.3% |
11 |
4.16
|
1.667 |
40.4% |
11 |
89.8% |
1.367 |
33.9% |
11 |
MAX |
Journey |
0 |
AVG |
4.78 |
3.78 |
7.95 |
5.49 |
9.58 |
3.15 |
9.42 |
2.75 |
6.01 |
3.22 |
9.98 |
6.22 |
4.89 |
2.38 |
10.81 |
6.59 |
6.55 |
2.62 |
5.87 |
5.13 |
9.16 |
2.84 |
8.89 |
3.43 |
8.24 |
3.05 |
AVG |
4.16 |
2.68 |
4.11 |
2.32 |
6.03 |
2.56 |
3.45 |
2.33 |
1.87 |
1.56 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
4.89 |
1.98 |
0.79 |
0.76 |
0.41 |
0.39 |
0.23 |
0.21 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
AVG |
23 |
354.9 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
128.6
|
35.5 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
66.0 |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
2.83
|
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
67.1% |
0.000 |
0.0% |
6 |
AVG |
Senior |
11 |
Median |
4.20 |
3.00 |
9.30 |
3.80 |
10.00 |
2.10 |
9.00 |
1.30 |
5.00 |
2.60 |
10.30 |
5.90 |
4.00 |
1.30 |
11.00 |
6.40 |
6.00 |
2.20 |
6.00 |
5.00 |
9.50 |
2.20 |
9.00 |
2.90 |
8.30 |
2.70 |
Median |
3.00 |
2.70 |
3.60 |
1.90 |
6.00 |
2.10 |
3.50 |
1.90 |
1.00 |
0.75 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
5.00 |
1.60 |
0.20 |
0.40 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Median |
23 |
269.5 |
-0.447 |
24.0% |
6 |
131.4
|
30.0 |
-0.258 |
15.7% |
6 |
58.2 |
-0.378 |
11.9% |
6 |
2.63
|
-0.249 |
7.0% |
6 |
68.1% |
0.064 |
1.6% |
6 |
Median |
TOT |
11 |
Mode |
0.00 |
3.00 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
#N/A |
9.00 |
0.90 |
6.00 |
0.40 |
11.50 |
4.70 |
#N/A |
#N/A |
11.00 |
6.40 |
6.00 |
1.90 |
6.00 |
5.00 |
9.50 |
1.30 |
13.00 |
1.10 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
Mode |
3.00 |
2.10 |
4.00 |
0.50 |
3.00 |
0.90 |
3.00 |
1.40 |
0.05 |
0.75 |
-
|
-
|
5.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Mode |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mode |
|
|
STD |
4.52 |
3.05 |
4.33 |
3.88 |
4.20 |
2.81 |
3.94 |
2.86 |
3.96 |
2.33 |
2.56 |
2.56 |
2.30 |
1.99 |
1.42 |
1.42 |
2.76 |
1.60 |
2.51 |
2.51 |
3.11 |
2.07 |
2.89 |
2.38 |
2.17 |
1.40 |
STD |
2.94 |
1.54 |
2.89 |
1.77 |
2.60 |
2.17 |
2.25 |
1.75 |
2.14 |
1.81 |
0.69 |
0.69 |
2.60 |
1.70 |
1.08 |
0.86 |
0.63 |
0.61 |
0.49 |
0.48 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
STD |
1 |
191.1 |
1.000 |
53.9% |
3.2
|
34.8
|
21.6 |
1.000 |
60.7% |
3.2 |
20.8 |
1.000 |
31.5% |
3.2 |
0.80
|
1.000 |
28.2% |
3.2
|
16.6% |
1.000 |
24.8% |
3.2 |
STD |
|
|
25% |
ile |
0.50 |
2.00 |
5.35 |
2.75 |
8.75 |
1.00 |
8.30 |
0.75 |
3.50 |
1.50 |
9.40 |
4.70 |
2.85 |
0.60 |
10.25 |
5.80 |
4.20 |
1.50 |
4.10 |
3.90 |
6.10 |
1.15 |
6.68 |
1.50 |
7.10 |
1.80 |
|
2.20 |
1.60 |
2.50 |
0.85 |
3.65 |
0.90 |
2.00 |
1.25 |
0.35 |
0.45 |
- |
-
|
2.60 |
0.70 |
0.03 |
0.33 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
- |
-
|
25% |
22 |
227.5 |
-0.667 |
-28.8% |
4 |
102.1 |
18.4 |
-0.795 |
-38.4% |
4 |
49.2 |
-0.808 |
-25.2% |
4 |
2.19 |
-0.793 |
-24.2% |
4 |
53.8% |
-0.799 |
-19.8% |
4 |
|
|
|
75% |
ile |
7.25 |
4.25 |
10.35 |
7.75 |
11.35 |
4.20 |
9.75 |
4.50 |
7.00 |
4.85 |
11.50 |
6.80 |
7.10 |
4.30 |
11.60 |
7.15 |
8.50 |
4.05 |
7.10 |
6.90 |
11.40 |
4.70 |
11.00 |
5.23 |
9.00 |
3.70 |
|
4.40 |
3.50 |
4.65 |
3.40 |
6.90 |
3.00 |
4.10 |
2.50 |
2.25 |
1.45 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
5.80 |
2.65 |
1.00 |
0.60 |
0.45 |
0.40 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
75% |
24 |
457.1 |
0.535 |
35.9% |
9 |
141.5
|
49.2 |
0.633 |
48.3% |
9 |
82.7 |
0.802 |
25.4% |
9 |
3.51
|
0.859 |
22.4% |
9 |
81.2% |
0.849 |
21.1% |
9 |
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