Forecaster Class 4casts Sum Square STP TOTAL Absolute AVG Absolute
Rank Forecaster Class Entry Date / LST  CAR 0.00  BGR 2.80  PWM 11.90  CON 8.90  BTV 3.20  BOS 15.10 HYA 13.00  ORH 10.30  PVD 7.20  BDR 4.70 BDL 7.00  ALB 9.30  BGM 10.20 Forecaster ISP 11.20  JFK 7.90  ABE 7.20  MDT 5.50 PHL 9.00 ACY 6.50 EWR 8.80 BWI 4.20 IAD 3.00 DCA 1.90 SBY 2.75  RIC 0.05  ORF 0.00  RDU 0.00 Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank 171.6 Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank RSQ RSQ Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Forecaster
1 donsutherland1 Senior 01/01 22:29 0.00 0.00 4.80 2.00 10.50 1.40 10.00 1.10 3.50 0.30 12.70 2.40 13.80 0.80 9.20 1.10 10.50 3.30 7.50 2.80 8.90 1.90 10.60 1.30 7.30 2.90 donsutherland1 8.80 2.40 7.20 0.70 5.00 2.20 3.00 2.50 4.80 4.20 4.50 2.00 7.50 1.30 1.80 2.40 1.00 2.00 0.80 1.10 1.80 0.95 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 donsutherland1 Senior 24 99.9 -1.269 60.8% 1 155.5 16.10 -0.349 32.0% 7 43.1 -1.292 31.1% 1 1.80 -1.191 27.6% 1 81.8% 0.980 29.1% 2 donsutherland1
2 Herb@MAWS Senior 01/01 17:30 0.00 0.00 6.00 3.20 10.00 1.90 12.00 3.10 3.00 0.20 12.00 3.10 14.00 1.00 9.00 1.30 8.00 0.80 8.00 3.30 8.00 1.00 9.00 0.30 8.00 2.20 Herb@MAWS 9.00 2.20 7.00 0.90 8.00 0.80 3.00 2.50 4.00 5.00 2.00 4.50 7.00 1.80 2.00 2.20 1.00 2.00 0.50 1.40 0.50 2.25 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Herb@MAWS Senior 24 130.2 -1.021 48.9% 2 151.0 20.60 -0.142 13.0% 9 47.0 -1.033 24.8% 2 1.96 -0.909 21.0% 2 77.4% 0.750 22.3% 3 Herb@MAWS
3 weatherT Senior 01/01 15:24 0.05 0.05 4.20 1.40 8.00 3.90 12.50 3.60 2.20 1.00 16.00 0.90 17.50 4.50 10.50 0.20 12.00 4.80 7.00 2.30 8.00 1.00 11.00 1.70 8.50 1.70 weatherT 7.50 3.70 6.00 1.90 4.50 2.70 4.20 1.30 4.00 5.00 1.80 4.70 6.40 2.40 2.50 1.70 3.20 0.20 2.30 0.40 0.80 1.95 0.20 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 weatherT Senior 25 173.4 -0.667 32.0% 3 160.9 10.75 -0.596 54.6% 6 53.2 -0.623 15.0% 4 2.13 -0.617 14.3% 4 72.8% 0.502 14.9% 5 weatherT
4 Brad Yehl Journeyman 01/01 22:30 0.05 0.05 4.60 1.80 10.20 1.70 10.60 1.70 2.90 0.30 13.20 1.90 14.60 1.60 12.40 2.10 11.20 4.00 9.20 4.50 10.70 3.70 16.00 6.70 14.20 4.00 Brad Yehl 9.00 2.20 7.40 0.50 5.80 1.40 3.40 2.10 4.80 4.20 4.20 2.30 6.80 2.00 1.80 2.40 0.70 2.30 0.80 1.10 0.50 2.25 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brad Yehl Journeyman 25 186.2 -0.562 26.9% 4 175.1 3.45 -0.932 85.4% 2 56.8 -0.377 9.1% 5 2.27 -0.359 8.3% 5 73.9% 0.561 16.7% 4 Brad Yehl
5 snocat918 Intern 01/01 22:11 0.00 0.00 8.00 5.20 11.50 0.40 12.75 3.85 3.20 0.00 13.25 1.85 10.00 3.00 14.00 3.70 11.00 3.80 9.50 4.80 10.00 3.00 12.75 3.45 6.00 4.20 snocat918 9.75 1.45 8.00 0.10 7.50 0.30 4.75 0.75 7.25 1.75 3.50 3.00 5.50 3.30 1.50 2.70 0.25 2.75 0.05 1.85 0.05 2.70 0.50 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 snocat918 Intern 24 195.6 -0.485 23.2% 5 170.6 1.05 -1.043 95.6% 1 58.4 -0.277 6.7% 6 2.43 -0.085 2.0% 8 68.2% 0.258 7.6% 7 snocat918
6 Wxoutlooks@aol Intern 01/01 20:26 4.00 4.00 11.00 8.20 12.00 0.10 9.00 0.10 2.00 1.20 12.00 3.10 9.00 4.00 13.00 2.70 10.00 2.80 12.00 7.30 9.00 2.00 10.00 0.70 10.00 0.20 Wxoutlooks@aol 12.00 0.80 12.00 4.10 6.00 1.20 6.00 0.50 8.00 1.00 8.00 1.50 10.00 1.20 2.00 2.20 1.00 2.00 1.00 0.90 2.00 0.75 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wxoutlooks@aol Intern 25 217.3 -0.307 14.7% 6 191.0 19.40 -0.197 18.1% 8 52.6 -0.660 15.9% 3 2.10 -0.655 15.2% 3 63.8% 0.027 0.8% 9 Wxoutlooks@aol
7 Shillelagh Senior 01/01 20:02 0.00 0.00 5.00 2.20 9.00 2.90 9.50 0.60 3.00 0.20 14.00 1.10 16.00 3.00 12.50 2.20 15.00 7.80 9.00 4.30 10.50 3.50 11.00 1.70 9.00 1.20 Shillelagh 11.00 0.20 9.00 1.10 4.50 2.70 2.50 3.00 2.00 7.00 3.00 3.50 7.00 1.80 1.00 3.20 0.05 2.95 0.05 1.85 0.00 2.75 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shillelagh Senior 24 236.6 -0.149 7.2% 7 163.6 8.00 -0.723 66.2% 3 60.8 -0.114 2.7% 7 2.53 0.092 -2.1% 9 68.0% 0.251 7.4% 8 Shillelagh
8 TQ Senior 01/01 21:47 0.00 0.00 7.00 4.20 13.00 1.10 13.00 4.10 6.00 2.80 12.00 3.10 6.75 6.25 11.00 0.70 9.00 1.80 4.50 0.20 9.00 2.00 8.00 1.30 5.50 4.70 TQ 5.75 5.45 4.50 3.40 3.50 3.70 2.00 3.50 5.00 4.00 4.00 2.50 4.50 4.30 2.50 1.70 1.00 2.00 1.50 0.40 1.00 1.75 0.25 0.20 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 TQ Senior 25 241.8 -0.106 5.1% 8 140.3 31.30 0.351 -32.2% 10 65.2 0.179 -4.3% 10 2.61 0.222 -5.1% 10 59.6% -0.200 -6.0% 11 TQ
9 Roger Smith Senior 01/01 21:13 0.20 0.20 7.50 4.70 11.00 0.90 12.50 3.60 5.00 1.80 13.30 1.80 7.00 6.00 15.80 5.50 12.00 4.80 8.50 3.80 11.20 4.20 11.20 1.90 9.50 0.70 Roger Smith 13.30 2.10 9.90 2.00 7.80 0.60 5.50 0.00 3.50 5.50 1.50 5.00 6.90 1.90 1.70 2.50 2.00 1.00 1.30 0.60 0.50 2.25 0.50 0.45 0.70 0.70 0.20 0.20 Roger Smith Senior 27 248.9 -0.049 2.3% 9 180.0 8.40 -0.704 64.5% 4 64.7 0.145 -3.5% 9 2.40 -0.146 3.4% 6 61.5% -0.095 -2.8% 10 Roger Smith
10 Donald Rosenfeld Senior 01/01 22:29 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.80 6.00 5.90 5.00 3.90 1.50 1.70 9.00 6.10 10.00 3.00 5.50 4.80 8.00 0.80 5.00 0.30 4.00 3.00 4.25 5.05 5.00 5.20 Donald Rosenfeld 6.00 5.20 5.50 2.40 4.00 3.20 4.00 1.50 5.50 3.50 3.00 3.50 5.00 3.80 3.50 0.70 2.00 1.00 2.00 0.10 1.50 1.25 1.00 0.95 0.15 0.15 0.25 0.25 Donald Rosenfeld Senior 26 273.4 0.152 -7.3% 10 108.7 62.95 1.809 -165.8% 12 68.1 0.368 -8.9% 11 2.62 0.238 -5.5% 11 82.1% 0.997 29.6% 1 Donald Rosenfeld
11 iralibov Senior 01/01 22:31 1.00 1.00 5.20 2.40 10.30 1.60 11.20 2.30 3.20 0.00 17.50 2.40 11.60 1.40 17.20 6.90 16.30 9.10 13.20 8.50 14.70 7.70 13.80 4.50 12.50 2.30 iralibov 12.60 1.40 10.30 2.40 7.60 0.40 5.60 0.10 6.20 2.80 5.80 0.70 9.70 0.90 4.80 0.60 3.00 0.00 3.50 1.60 1.40 1.35 0.05 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 iralibov Senior 26 331.9 0.631 -30.2% 11 218.8 47.15 1.081 -99.1% 11 62.9 0.022 -0.5% 8 2.42 -0.110 2.5% 7 69.4% 0.321 9.5% 6 iralibov
12 snowman Senior 01/01 20:03 10.50 10.50 12.50 9.70 10.75 1.15 11.00 2.10 9.50 6.30 11.50 3.60 7.50 5.50 9.50 0.80 10.00 2.80 8.00 3.30 7.50 0.50 9.75 0.45 8.00 2.20 snowman 7.50 3.70 6.50 1.40 5.00 2.20 4.75 0.75 4.50 4.50 3.00 3.50 6.50 2.30 4.50 0.30 5.00 2.00 2.50 0.60 2.00 0.75 1.00 0.95 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 snowman Senior 27 384.4 1.061 -50.8% 12 180.8 9.15 -0.670 61.4% 5 73.9 0.754 -18.1% 12 2.74 0.444 -10.3% 12 27.9% -1.885 -56.0% 12 snowman
13 MarkHofmann Senior 12/31 23:04 8.00 8.00 10.00 7.20 8.00 3.90 6.00 2.90 6.00 2.80 7.00 8.10 5.00 8.00 5.00 5.30 2.00 5.20 5.00 0.30 5.00 2.00 4.00 5.30 4.00 6.20 MarkHofmann 4.00 7.20 4.00 3.90 3.00 4.20 3.00 2.50 3.00 6.00 3.00 3.50 3.00 5.80 2.00 2.20 0.00 3.00 1.00 0.90 1.00 1.75 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MarkHofmann Senior 25 593.2 2.771 -132.8% 13 102.0 69.60 2.115 -193.9% 13 106.2 2.907 -69.9% 13 4.25 3.076 -71.3% 13 17.0% -2.466 -73.2% 13 MarkHofmann
Forecast Parameters CAR Error BGR Error PWM Error CON Error BTV Error BOS Error HYA Error ORH Error PVD Error BDR Error BDL Error ALB Error BGM Error   ISP Error JFK Error ABE Error MDT Error PHL Error ACY Error EWR Error BWI Error IAD Error DCA Error SBY Error RIC Error ORF Error RDU Error Forecast Parameters 327 Error Error Z % MPRV Rank STP Error Error Z %MPRV Rank Error Error Z %MPRV Rank Error Error Z %MPRV Rank RSQ RSQ Z %MPRV Rank Forecast Parameters
Rookie 0 Consensus MIN 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.80 6.00 0.10 5.00 0.10 1.50 0.00 7.00 0.90 5.00 0.80 5.00 0.20 2.00 0.80 4.50 0.20 4.00 0.50 4.00 0.30 4.00 0.20 MIN 4.00 0.20 4.00 0.10 3.00 0.30 2.00 0.00 2.00 1.00 1.50 0.70 3.00 0.90 1.00 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MIN 24 99.9 -1.269 -132.8% 1 102.0 1.1 -1.043 -193.9% 1 43.1 -1.292 -69.9% 1 1.80 -1.191 -71.3% 1 17.0% -2.466 -73.2%       1 MIN
Intern 2 MAX 10.50 10.50 12.50 9.70 13.00 5.90 13.00 4.10 9.50 6.30 17.50 8.10 17.50 8.00 17.20 6.90 16.30 9.10 13.20 8.50 14.70 7.70 16.00 6.70 14.20 6.20 MAX 13.30 7.20 12.00 4.10 8.00 4.20 6.00 3.50 8.00 7.00 8.00 5.00 10.00 5.80 4.80 3.20 5.00 3.00 3.50 1.85 2.00 2.75 1.00 0.95 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 MAX 27 593.2 2.771 60.8% 13 218.8 69.6 2.115 95.6% 13 106.2 2.907 31.1% 13 4.25 3.076 27.6% 13 82.1% 0.997 29.6%     13 MAX
Journey 1 AVG 1.83 1.83 6.75 4.08 10.02 2.07 10.39 2.53 3.92 1.43 12.57 3.03 10.98 3.70 11.12 2.87 10.38 3.98 8.18 3.52 8.96 2.73 10.10 2.64 8.27 2.90 AVG 8.94 2.92 7.48 1.91 5.55 1.97 3.98 1.62 4.81 4.19 3.64 3.09 6.60 2.52 2.43 1.91 1.55 1.78 1.33 0.98 1.00 1.75 0.27 0.26 0.18 0.18 0.11 0.11 AVG 25 254.8 0.000 0.0% 7 161.4 23.7 0.000 0.0% 7 62.5 0.000 0.0% 7 2.48 0.000 0.0% 7 63.3% 0.000 0.0%       7 AVG
Senior 10 Median 0.05 0.05 6.00 3.20 10.30 1.60 11.00 2.90 3.20 1.00 12.70 2.40 10.00 3.00 11.00 2.20 10.50 3.80 8.00 3.30 9.00 2.00 10.60 1.70 8.00 2.30 Median 9.00 2.20 7.20 1.90 5.00 2.20 4.00 1.50 4.80 4.20 3.00 3.50 6.80 2.00 2.00 2.20 1.00 2.00 1.00 0.90 1.00 1.75 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Median 25 236.6 -0.149 7.2% 7 163.6 16.1 -0.349 32.0% 7 60.8 -0.114 2.7% 7 2.42 -0.110 2.5% 7 68.2% 0.258 7.6%       7 Median
TOT 13 Mode 0.00 0.00 #N/A #N/A 8.00 3.90 12.50 3.60 3.00 0.20 12.00 3.10 10.00 3.00 #N/A #N/A 8.00 0.80 8.00 3.30 8.00 2.00 11.00 1.70 8.00 2.20 Mode 9.00 2.20 #N/A 2.40 5.00 2.20 3.00 2.50 4.80 4.20 3.00 3.50 7.00 1.80 2.00 2.20 1.00 2.00 0.80 1.10 0.50 2.25 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mode 25                                           Mode
STD 3.37 3.37 2.87 2.70 1.80 1.59 2.42 1.28 2.10 1.70 2.56 1.94 3.78 2.17 3.45 2.08 3.36 2.35 2.47 2.42 2.61 1.79 3.23 2.03 2.79 1.76 STD 2.69 1.95 2.24 1.24 1.65 1.24 1.23 1.10 1.59 1.59 1.69 1.22 1.83 1.35 1.10 0.84 1.40 0.93 0.97 0.54 0.66 0.66 0.36 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.27 0.27 STD 1 122.1 1.000 47.9% 3.7 30.5 21.7 1.000 91.6% 3.7 15.0 1.000 24.0% 3.7 0.57 1.000 23.2% 3.7 18.8% 1.000 29.7%    3.7 STD
25% ile 0.00 0.00 4.80 2.00 9.00 1.10 9.50 1.70 2.90 0.20 12.00 1.85 7.50 1.60 9.20 1.10 9.00 2.80 7.00 2.30 8.00 1.90 9.00 1.30 6.00 1.70   7.50 1.45 6.00 0.90 4.50 0.80 3.00 0.75 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.30 5.50 1.80 1.80 1.70 0.70 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.50 1.25 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25% 24 186.2 -0.562 -7.3% 4 151.0 8.4 -0.704 -32.2% 4 53.2 -0.623 -4.3% 4 2.13 -0.617 -5.1% 4 61.5% -0.095 -2.8%       4
75% ile 1.00 1.00 8.00 5.20 11.00 2.90 12.50 3.60 5.00 1.80 13.30 3.10 14.00 5.50 13.00 4.80 12.00 4.80 9.20 4.50 10.50 3.50 11.20 4.50 9.50 4.20   11.00 3.70 9.00 2.40 7.50 2.70 4.75 2.50 5.50 5.00 4.20 3.50 7.00 3.30 2.50 2.40 2.00 2.30 2.00 1.40 1.50 2.25 0.50 0.45 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 75% 26 273.4 0.152 26.9% 10 180.0 31.3 0.351 64.5% 10 65.2 0.179 15.0% 10 2.61 0.222 14.3% 10 73.9% 0.561 16.7%     10