| Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LST | CAR | 4.20 | BGR | 4.00 | PWM | 2.00 | CON | 0.60 | BTV | 0.05 | BOS | 5.10 | HYA | 5.00 | ORH | 2.20 | PVD | 3.70 | BDR | 0.05 | BDL | 0.05 | ALB | 0.00 | BGM | 0.30 | Forecaster | ISP | 1.50 | JFK | 0.00 | ABE | 0.05 | MDT | 0.05 | PHL | 0.00 | ACY | 0.00 | EWR | 0.00 | BWI | 0.05 | IAD | 0.05 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | 0.05 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.05 | RDU | 0.05 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 29.10 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | |||
| 1 | Brad Yehl | Journeyman | 02/16 19:56 | 4.80 | 0.60 | 4.20 | 0.20 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 5.80 | 0.70 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 2.40 | 0.20 | 4.60 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Brad Yehl | 0.90 | 0.60 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Brad Yehl | Journeyman | 22 | 7.0 | -1.127 | 88.1% | 1 | 33.91 | 4.81 | -0.844 | 64.6% | 3 | 7.39 | -1.486 | 67.0% | 1 | 0.34 | -1.661 | 65.6% | 1 | 97.6% | 1.162 | 33.9% | 1 | Brad Yehl |
| 2 | herb@maws | Senior | 02/16 20:07 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 5.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 6.00 | 0.90 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | herb@maws | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.55 | 0.50 | 0.45 | herb@maws | Senior | 22 | 14.8 | -0.959 | 75.0% | 2 | 39.96 | 10.86 | -0.262 | 20.0% | 5 | 13.94 | -0.838 | 37.8% | 2 | 0.63 | -0.887 | 35.0% | 3 | 93.3% | 0.960 | 28.0% | 2 | herb@maws |
| 3 | weatherT | Senior | 02/16 13:55 | 6.50 | 2.30 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.95 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.60 | 2.50 | 5.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | weatherT | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 0.70 | 0.65 | weatherT | Senior | 24 | 31.4 | -0.600 | 46.9% | 3 | 29.71 | 0.61 | -1.249 | 95.5% | 1 | 19.39 | -0.300 | 13.5% | 6 | 0.81 | -0.434 | 17.1% | 4 | 63.7% | -0.430 | -12.5% | 8 | weatherT |
| 4 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 02/16 22:29 | 9.25 | 5.05 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 5.50 | 0.40 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.20 | 4.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.45 | Donald Rosenfeld | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 23 | 34.0 | -0.543 | 42.5% | 4 | 38.61 | 9.50 | -0.392 | 30.0% | 4 | 14.10 | -0.823 | 37.2% | 3 | 0.61 | -0.941 | 37.2% | 2 | 82.3% | 0.441 | 12.9% | 5 | Donald Rosenfeld |
| 5 | dryslot | Intern | 02/16 21:35 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 5.30 | 1.30 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4.50 | 0.60 | 9.50 | 4.50 | 3.00 | 0.80 | 6.00 | 2.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | dryslot | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | dryslot | Intern | 19 | 39.0 | -0.435 | 34.0% | 5 | 40.81 | 11.71 | -0.179 | 13.7% | 6 | 17.39 | -0.498 | 22.5% | 4 | 0.92 | -0.156 | 6.1% | 6 | 87.6% | 0.694 | 20.3% | 4 | dryslot |
| 6 | snocat918 | Rookie | 02/16 17:43 | 8.50 | 4.30 | 6.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 7.50 | 2.40 | 9.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 0.70 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.25 | snocat918 | 0.05 | 1.45 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | snocat918 | Rookie | 22 | 50.2 | -0.193 | 15.1% | 6 | 42.76 | 13.66 | 0.008 | -0.6% | 7 | 19.14 | -0.325 | 14.7% | 5 | 0.87 | -0.273 | 10.8% | 5 | 92.9% | 0.942 | 27.5% | 3 | snocat918 |
| 7 | quagmireweathercentral | Rookie | 02/16 16:27 | 0.00 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 4.10 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 4.00 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | quagmireweathercentral | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.00 | 1.95 | quagmireweathercentral | Rookie | 19 | 64.9 | 0.126 | -9.8% | 7 | 30.51 | 1.41 | -1.172 | 89.6% | 2 | 25.60 | 0.313 | -14.1% | 7 | 1.35 | 0.966 | -38.1% | 8 | 29.1% | -2.060 | -60.1% | 10 | quagmireweathercentral |
| 8 | Roger Smith | Senior | 02/16 22:21 | 8.80 | 4.60 | 7.50 | 3.50 | 6.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 4.50 | 0.60 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 3.30 | 1.10 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 1.05 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.20 | 0.90 | Roger Smith | 3.30 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Roger Smith | Senior | 25 | 83.9 | 0.536 | -41.9% | 8 | 54.85 | 25.75 | 1.174 | -89.8% | 9 | 30.35 | 0.782 | -35.3% | 8 | 1.21 | 0.620 | -24.5% | 7 | 68.4% | -0.212 | -6.2% | 6 | Roger Smith |
| 9 | iralibov | Senior | 02/16 22:31 | 3.00 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 7.00 | 1.90 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 2.80 | 7.00 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 5.00 | 4.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | iralibov | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.05 | iralibov | Senior | 25 | 92.7 | 0.728 | -56.9% | 9 | 52.76 | 23.66 | 0.971 | -74.3% | 8 | 35.14 | 1.256 | -56.7% | 9 | 1.41 | 1.118 | -44.1% | 9 | 45.6% | -1.281 | -37.4% | 9 | iralibov |
| 10 | TQ | Senior | 02/16 22:00 | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 10.00 | 4.90 | 12.00 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 4.80 | 10.00 | 6.30 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | TQ | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 0.50 | 0.45 | TQ | Senior | 26 | 173.2 | 2.469 | -193.0% | 10 | 62.85 | 33.75 | 1.944 | -148.7% | 10 | 41.85 | 1.919 | -86.6% | 10 | 1.61 | 1.648 | -65.0% | 10 | 68.3% | -0.217 | -6.3% | 7 | TQ |
| Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 227 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
| Rookie | 2 | Consensus | MIN | 0.00 | 0.60 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 3.00 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 1.90 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | MIN | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | MIN | 19 | 7 | -1.127 | -193.0% | 1 | 29.71 | 0.61 | -1.249 | -148.7% | 1 | 7.4 | -1.486 | -86.6% | 1 | 0.34 | -1.661 | -65.0% | 1 | 29.1% | -2.060 | -60.1% | 1 | MIN | |
| Intern | 1 | MAX | 9.25 | 5.05 | 7.50 | 3.50 | 6.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 4.40 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 10.00 | 4.90 | 12.00 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 4.80 | 10.00 | 6.30 | 3.00 | 2.95 | 5.00 | 4.95 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.20 | 0.90 | MAX | 3.30 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.00 | 1.95 | MAX | 26 | 173 | 2.469 | 88.1% | 10 | 62.85 | 33.75 | 1.944 | 95.5% | 10 | 41.8 | 1.919 | 67.0% | 10 | 1.61 | 1.648 | 65.6% | 10 | 97.6% | 1.162 | 33.9% | 10 | MAX | ||
| Journey | 1 | AVG | 5.39 | 2.71 | 4.15 | 1.45 | 3.34 | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.36 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 5.44 | 1.90 | 7.20 | 2.60 | 2.84 | 1.46 | 4.87 | 1.83 | 0.98 | 0.94 | 1.03 | 0.99 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.20 | 0.37 | AVG | 1.38 | 0.88 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.37 | 0.38 | AVG | 23 | 59 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 42.67 | 13.57 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 22.4 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 0.98 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 72.9% | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | AVG | ||
| Senior | 6 | Median | 5.50 | 2.25 | 4.10 | 1.40 | 3.00 | 1.25 | 1.15 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 5.65 | 1.40 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 4.30 | 1.40 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Median | 1.25 | 0.80 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Median | 23 | 45 | -0.314 | 24.6% | 6 | 40.38 | 11.28 | -0.220 | 16.9% | 6 | 19.3 | -0.312 | 14.1% | 6 | 0.89 | -0.214 | 8.5% | 6 | 75.3% | 0.115 | 3.3% | 6 | Median | ||
| TOT | 10 | Mode | #N/A | #N/A | 2.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4.50 | 0.60 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Mode | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Mode | 22 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| STD | 2.91 | 1.59 | 1.73 | 0.96 | 1.61 | 1.18 | 1.58 | 1.42 | 0.95 | 0.92 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.35 | 1.89 | 1.88 | 1.34 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.18 | STD | 1.07 | 0.62 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 1.03 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.57 | STD | 2 | 46 | 1.000 | 78.2% | 2.9 | 10.38 | 10.38 | 1.000 | 76.5% | 2.9 | 10.1 | 1.000 | 45.1% | 2.9 | 0.38 | 1.000 | 39.5% | 2.9 | 21.3% | 1.000 | 29.2% | 2.9 | STD | ||||
| 25% | ile | 3.45 | 1.35 | 2.63 | 1.00 | 2.85 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 4.50 | 0.63 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 1.63 | 0.73 | 4.00 | 0.45 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 25% | 22 | 32 | -0.586 | -33.9% | 3 | 35.08 | 5.98 | -0.731 | -55.9% | 3 | 14.9 | -0.742 | -30.0% | 3 | 0.68 | -0.774 | -34.7% | 3 | 64.9% | -0.377 | -11.0% | 3 | |||||
| 75% | ile | 8.00 | 4.28 | 5.23 | 2.00 | 4.63 | 2.74 | 2.63 | 2.03 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 6.75 | 2.48 | 8.50 | 3.50 | 3.23 | 1.80 | 5.75 | 2.18 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.30 | 1.88 | 1.49 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.69 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.48 | 1.43 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 75% | 25 | 79 | 0.433 | 45.8% | 8 | 50.26 | 21.16 | 0.731 | 55.9% | 8 | 29.2 | 0.665 | 33.5% | 8 | 1.31 | 0.879 | 30.5% | 8 | 91.6% | 0.880 | 25.7% | 8 | |||||