Total Absolute
Forecaster  CAR 101.0  BGR 69.2  PWM 94.9  CON 82.2  BTV 78.1  BOS 63.0  ORH 101.1  PVD 45.0  BDR 55.9  BDL 54.0  ALB 50.1  BGM 63.6 Forecaster  NYC 21.4  ABE 20.0  MDT 15.9  PHL 8.1  ACY 12.1  EWR 22.9  BWI 5.3  IAD 6.6  DCA 1.9  SBY     2.9  RIC 8.7  ORF 1.85  RDU 1.70 Forecaster  Rank Error (")  Error Z  %MPRV over PORN AVG Error (")
Donald Rosenfeld 100.0 1.0 60.0 9.2 70.0 24.9 60.0 22.2 75.0 3.1 35.0 28.0 60.0 41.1 30.0 15.0 20.0 35.9 47.0 7.0 45.0 5.1 65.0 1.4 Donald Rosenfeld 15.0 6.4 24.0 4.0 28.5 12.6 23.0 14.9 15.0 3.0 20.0 2.9 15.0 9.7 20.0 13.4 17.0 15.1        8        5 10.0 1.4 5.0 3.2 5.0 3.3 Donald Rosenfeld         1      288.8 -1.423 13.8%       11.6
PORN 89.5 11.5 59.5 9.7 63.6 31.3 58.8 23.4 70.0 8.1 41.5 21.5 61.9 39.2 34.4 10.6 26.1 29.8 47.1 6.9 56.9 6.8 72.3 8.7 PORN 27.6 6.2 31.3 11.3 32.0 16.1 21.3 13.2 16.8 4.8 28.0 5.1 20.9 15.6 22.3 15.7 16.4 14.5      11        8 13.5 4.9 8.3 6.5 7.6 5.9 PORN         2      335.0 -0.835 0.0%       13.4
donsutherland1 90.0 11.0 63.5 5.7 66.0 28.9 69.7 12.5 70.0 8.1 48.1 14.9 71.4 29.7 40.4 4.6 33.5 22.4 54.6 0.6 66.8 16.7 80.0 16.4 donsutherland1 34.6 13.2 35.0 15.0 36.9 21.0 26.5 18.4 19.9 7.9 35.9 13.0 26.1 20.8 26.6 20.0 20.6 18.7      17      14 15.8 7.2 7.8 6.0 7.0 5.3 donsutherland1         3      351.8 -0.621 -5.0%       14.1
NE Blizzards 103.9 2.9 85.9 16.7 76.5 18.4 49.6 32.6 95.3 17.2 61.3 1.7 81.1 20.0 48.6 3.6 56.3 0.4 62.3 8.3 82.3 32.2 43.9 19.7 NE Blizzards 38.9 17.5 29.6 9.6 38.9 23.0 30.2 22.1 28.9 16.9 21.6 1.3 17.6 12.3 24.5 17.9 27.6 25.7      20      17 13.2 4.6 8.3 6.5 9.6 7.9 NE Blizzards         4      356.3 -0.564 -6.4%       14.3
Mitchel Volk 100.0 1.0 78.0 8.8 75.0 19.9 70.0 12.2 95.0 16.9 60.0 3.0 55.0 46.1 38.0 7.0 35.0 20.9 41.0 13.0 62.0 11.9 65.0 1.4 Mitchel Volk 33.0 11.6 39.0 19.0 38.0 22.1 28.0 19.9 22.0 10.0 36.0 13.1 25.0 19.7 22.0 15.4 20.0 18.1      15      12 16.0 7.4 15.0 13.2 15.0 13.3 Mitchel Volk         5      356.9 -0.556 -6.5%       14.3
weatherT 98.0 3.0 77.5 8.3 72.0 22.9 50.0 32.2 70.0 8.1 33.6 29.4 58.0 43.1 27.6 17.4 25.1 30.8 40.0 14.0 71.5 21.4 88.2 24.6 weatherT 23.2 1.8 33.0 13.0 34.7 18.8 23.2 15.1 12.3 0.3 26.0 3.1 18.9 13.6 14.6 8.0 22.1 20.2        6        3 9.6 0.9 7.2 5.4 6.6 4.9 weatherT         6      363.5 -0.472 -8.5%       14.5
Brad Yehl 124.0 23.0 69.0 0.2 58.4 36.5 48.0 34.2 69.0 9.1 46.2 16.8 72.0 29.1 31.2 13.8 32.7 23.2 38.4 15.6 52.4 2.3 62.8 0.8 Brad Yehl 28.0 6.6 47.2 27.2 42.8 26.9 24.8 16.7 14.2 2.2 29.7 6.8 32.6 27.3 28.4 21.8 18.6 16.7        9        6 9.0 0.4 5.2 3.4 4.8 3.1 Brad Yehl         7      369.9 -0.391 -10.4%       14.8
Herb @MAWS 122.0 21.0 79.0 9.8 77.0 17.9 73.0 9.2 79.0 0.9 52.0 11.0 85.0 16.1 42.0 3.0 36.0 19.9 65.0 11.0 77.0 26.9 94.0 30.4 Herb @MAWS 42.0 20.6 42.0 22.0 38.0 22.1 31.0 22.9 25.0 13.0 39.0 16.1 28.0 22.7 29.0 22.4 21.0 19.1      18      15 18.0 9.4 10.0 8.2 8.0 6.3 Herb @MAWS         8      396.9 -0.047 -18.5%       15.9
Roger Smith 137.2 36.2 75.5 6.3 60.0 34.9 55.0 27.2 142.3 64.2 48.0 15.0 56.7 44.4 44.4 0.6 28.0 27.9 38.0 16.0 55.5 5.4 89.9 26.3 Roger Smith 31.3 9.9 30.5 10.5 22.2 6.3 24.5 16.4 18.8 6.8 33.3 10.4 20.0 14.7 18.0 11.4 17.0 15.1      15      12 12.5 3.9 3.5 1.7 2.2 0.5 Roger Smith         9      424.0 0.298 -26.6%       17.0
iralibov 85.0 16.0 65.0 4.2 58.0 36.9 77.0 5.2 118.0 39.9 51.0 12.0 67.0 34.1 48.0 3.0 46.0 9.9 51.0 3.0 82.0 31.9 80.0 16.4 iralibov 43.0 21.6 41.0 21.0 31.0 15.1 27.0 18.9 22.0 10.0 46.0 23.1 26.0 20.7 23.0 16.4 21.0 19.1      18      15 20.0 11.4 12.0 10.2 15.0 13.3 iralibov       10      428.3 0.353 -27.9%       17.1
TQ 90.0 11.0 60.0 9.2 50.0 44.9 55.0 27.2 90.0 11.9 40.0 23.0 50.0 51.1 40.0 5.0 50.0 5.9 45.0 9.0 65.0 14.9 100.0 36.4 TQ 45.0 23.6 40.0 20.0 35.0 19.1 20.0 11.9 20.0 8.0 50.0 27.1 20.0 14.7 20.0 13.4 15.0 13.1      10        7 10.0 1.4 10.0 8.2 15.0 13.3 TQ       11      430.3 0.378 -28.4%       17.2
christopher tingus 62.0 39.0 88.0 18.8 88.0 6.9 93.0 10.8 62.0 16.1 79.0 16.0 82.0 19.1 78.0 33.0 77.0 21.1 63.0 9.0 61.0 10.9 62.0 1.6 christopher tingus 63.0 41.6 55.0 35.0 53.0 37.1 52.0 43.9 41.0 29.0 42.0 19.1 32.0 26.7 28.0 21.4 22.0 20.1      24      21 24.0 15.4 24.0 22.2 18.0 16.3 christopher tingus       12      551.1 1.916 -64.5%       22.0
MarkHofmann 68.0 33.0 55.0 14.2 45.0 49.9 46.0 36.2 55.0 23.1 35.0 28.0 41.0 60.1 36.0 9.0 34.0 21.9 37.0 17.0 42.0 8.1 35.0 28.6 MarkHofmann 36.0 14.6 37.0 17.0 35.0 19.1 28.0 19.9 24.0 12.0 25.0 2.1 32.0 26.7 28.0 21.4 27.0 25.1      24      21 20.0 11.4 22.0 20.2 17.0 15.3 MarkHofmann       13      554.9 1.964 -65.6%       22.2
FCST Statistics  CAR  Err  BGR  Err  PWM  Err  CON  Err  BTV  Err  BOS  Err  ORH  Err  PVD  Err  BDR  Err  BDL  Err  ALB  Err  BGM  Err FCST Statistics  NYC  Err  ABE  Err  MDT  Err  PHL  Err  ACY  Err  EWR  Err  BWI  Err  IAD  Err  DCA  Err  SBY  Err  RIC  Err  ORF  Err  RDU  Err FCST Statistics  Rank Error  Z  %MPRV  AVG
MIN     62.0 1.0    55.0     0.2     45.0     6.9    46.0 5.2    55.0      0.9    33.6 1.70    41.0 16.10    27.6     0.6    20.0 0.4    37.0     0.6    42.0     2.3     35.0 0.8 MIN    15.0 1.80    24.0     4.0    22.2     6.3    20.0   11.9    12.3 0.25    20.0 1.30   15.0     9.7   14.6     8.0    15.0   13.1     6.1     3.3     9.0     0.4      3.5 1.7      2.2    0.5 MIN 1 288.8 -1.423 -65.6% 12
MAX   137.2    39.0    88.0   18.8     88.0   49.9    93.0   36.2   142.3    64.2    79.0   29.4    85.0   60.1    78.0   33.0    77.0   35.9    65.0   17.0    82.3   32.2   100.0   36.4 MAX    63.0   41.6    55.0   35.0    53.0   37.1    52.0   43.9    41.0   29.0    50.0   27.1   32.6   27.3   29.0   22.4    27.6   25.7    24.0   21.2   24.0   15.4    24.0   22.2    18.0   16.3 MAX 13 554.9 1.964 13.8% 22
AVG     97.7    16.1    70.5     9.3     66.1   28.8    61.9   21.9    83.9    17.4    48.5   16.9    64.7   36.4    41.4     9.7    38.4   20.8    48.4   10.0    63.0   15.0     72.2   16.4 AVG    35.4   15.0    37.3   17.3    35.8   19.9    27.7   19.6    21.5     9.5    33.3   11.0   24.2   18.9   23.4   16.8    20.4   18.5    15.0   12.2   14.7     6.1    10.6     8.8    10.1    8.4 AVG 7 400.6 0.000 -19.6% 16
Median     98.0    11.5    69.0     9.2     66.0   28.9    58.8   23.4    75.0    11.9    48.0   16.0    61.9   39.2    40.0     7.0    34.0   21.9    47.0     9.0    62.0   11.9     72.3   16.4 Median    34.6   13.2    37.0   17.0    35.0   19.1    26.5   18.4    20.0     8.0    33.3   10.4   25.0   19.7   23.0   16.4    20.6   18.7    15.0   12.2   13.5     4.9      8.3     6.5      8.0    6.3 Median 7 369.9 -0.391 -10.4% 15
Mode   100.0      1.0    60.0     9.2 #N/A #N/A    55.0   27.2    70.0      8.1    35.0   28.0 #N/A #N/A #N/A     3.0 #N/A #N/A #N/A     9.0 #N/A #N/A     65.0     1.4 Mode #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A    38.0   22.1    28.0   19.9    22.0   10.0 #N/A #N/A   20.0   14.7   20.0   13.4    17.0   15.1    15.0   12.2   10.0     1.4      8.3     6.5    15.0   13.3 Mode             
STD     21.2    13.4    10.8     5.0     11.9   11.9    13.8   10.7    24.3    17.2    12.8     8.9    13.2   13.2    12.8     8.7    15.5   10.1    10.0     5.0    12.9   10.2     19.2   12.6 STD    11.8   10.4      8.2     8.2      7.3     7.3     8.0     8.0      7.5     7.5      9.3     8.5     5.9     5.9     4.5     4.5      3.8     3.8     5.9     5.9     4.7     4.7      6.3     6.3      5.3    5.3 STD 4 78.6    1.000 23.4% 3.142
33%     90.0    11.0    63.5     8.3     60.0   22.9    55.0   12.5    70.0      8.1    41.5   14.9    58.0   29.7    36.0     4.6    32.7   20.9    41.0     8.3    56.9     8.1     65.0     8.7 33%    31.3     9.9    33.0   13.0    34.7   18.8    24.5   16.4    18.8     6.7    28.0     5.1   20.0   14.7   22.0   15.4    18.6   16.7    10.7     7.8   12.5     3.8      7.8     5.9      7.0    5.3 33% 5      356.9 -0.556 -26.6%       14.3
67%   100.0    21.0    77.5     9.7     72.0   34.9    69.7   27.2    90.0    16.9    51.0   21.5    71.4   43.1    42.0   10.6    36.0   23.2    51.0   13.0    66.8   16.7     80.0   24.6 67%    38.9   17.5    40.0   20.0    38.0   22.1    28.0   19.9    22.0   10.0    36.0   13.1   26.1   20.8   26.6   20.0    21.0   19.1    18.0   15.2   16.0     7.4    10.0     8.2    15.0   13.3 67% 9      424.0 0.298 -6.5%       17.0
NCDC Climatology                                                 NCDC Climatology                                                     NCDC Climatology
Period of Record (") 100.6 100% 62.4 111% 66.5 143% 61.0 135% 74.4 105% 41.7 151% 63.4 159% 35.0 129% 25.5 219% 47.7 113% 61.0 82% 78.9 81% Period of Record (") 27.7 77% 31.8 63% 34.2 46% 20.4 40% 15.9 76% 27.5 83% 21.2 25% 22.7 29% 17.1 11% 14.4 20% 13.7 63% 7.9 23% 7.6 22% Period of Record (")
AVG FCST / Climo                                                 AVG FCST / Climo                                                     AVG FCST / Climo
Avg FCST (PCT Climo) 97% -3% 113% 2% 99% -43% 102% -33% 113% 8% 116% -35% 102% -57% 118% -10% 151% -68% 101% -12% 103% 21% 91% 11% Avg FCST (PCT Climo) 128% 51% 117% 54% 105% 58% 136% 96% 135% 60% 121% 38% 114% 89% 103% 74% 119% 108% 104% 84% 108% 44% 135% 111% 132% 110% Avg FCST (PCT Climo)
Median FCST (PCT Climo) 97% -3% 111% 0% 99% -43% 96% -38% 101% -4% 115% -36% 98% -62% 114% -14% 133% -86% 99% -15% 102% 20% 92% 11% Median FCST (PCT Climo) 125% 48% 116% 53% 102% 56% 130% 90% 126% 50% 121% 38% 118% 93% 101% 72% 120% 109% 104% 84% 99% 35% 105% 82% 105% 83% Median FCST (PCT Climo)