| Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LST | CAR | 0.05 | BGR | 0.10 | PWM | 0.70 | CON | 1.20 | BTV | 0.90 | BOS | 2.90 | HYA | 8.00 | ORH | 4.30 | PVD | 7.60 | BDR | 6.20 | BDL | 2.80 | ALB | 1.50 | BGM | 3.10 | Forecaster | ISP | 3.60 | JFK | 1.60 | ABE | 3.40 | MDT | 4.50 | PHL | 2.30 | ACY | 1.60 | EWR | 3.30 | BWI | 0.40 | IAD | 0.40 | DCA | 0.70 | SBY | 0.05 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.00 | RDU | 0.00 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 61.20 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | |||
| 1 | herb@maws | Senior | 01/20 18:45 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 1.30 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 4.00 | 1.10 | 6.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 0.70 | 6.00 | 1.60 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 7.00 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.10 | herb@maws | 4.00 | 0.40 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 4.00 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 4.50 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | herb@maws | Senior | 24 | 35.2 | -1.012 | 52.6% | 1 | 67.00 | 5.80 | -0.917 | 56.2% | 2 | 19.60 | -1.171 | 30.6% | 1 | 0.82 | -1.258 | 28.7% | 1 | 76.3% | 1.011 | 37.9% | 2 | herb@maws |
| 2 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 01/20 22:29 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 4.30 | 3.70 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 3.10 | 0.00 | donsutherland1 | 2.90 | 0.70 | 2.80 | 1.20 | 4.50 | 1.10 | 4.20 | 0.30 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 4.20 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 24 | 39.5 | -0.900 | 46.7% | 2 | 49.65 | 11.55 | -0.209 | 12.8% | 4 | 19.75 | -1.151 | 30.1% | 2 | 0.82 | -1.234 | 28.2% | 2 | 76.9% | 1.044 | 39.1% | 1 | donsutherland1 |
| 3 | Brad Yehl | Intern | 01/20 22:29 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 1.90 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 2.40 | 0.50 | 3.90 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 0.50 | 4.60 | 3.00 | 5.20 | 1.00 | 4.80 | 2.00 | 2.20 | 0.70 | 3.70 | 0.60 | Brad Yehl | 4.10 | 0.50 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 4.80 | 1.40 | 3.60 | 0.90 | 2.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 4.20 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Brad Yehl | Intern | 24 | 45.2 | -0.752 | 39.1% | 3 | 59.35 | 1.85 | -1.404 | 86.0% | 1 | 23.65 | -0.623 | 16.3% | 3 | 0.99 | -0.613 | 14.0% | 3 | 67.3% | 0.578 | 21.7% | 3 | Brad Yehl |
| 4 | weatherT | Senior | 01/20 18:44 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 4.00 | 1.10 | 4.80 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 4.60 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 2.20 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 2.70 | 0.40 | weatherT | 2.00 | 1.60 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 3.00 | 0.40 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | weatherT | Senior | 24 | 61.2 | -0.336 | 17.4% | 4 | 47.91 | 13.29 | 0.007 | -0.4% | 5 | 27.49 | -0.102 | 2.7% | 5 | 1.15 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 60.4% | 0.246 | 9.2% | 5 | weatherT |
| 5 | TQ | Senior | 01/20 22:31 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 3.00 | 0.10 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 4.00 | 0.30 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 3.00 | 0.20 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 0.90 | TQ | 1.50 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 0.40 | 5.00 | 1.60 | 5.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 2.30 | 0.05 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | TQ | Senior | 24 | 70.1 | -0.104 | 5.4% | 5 | 46.70 | 14.50 | 0.155 | -9.5% | 6 | 25.50 | -0.372 | 9.7% | 4 | 1.06 | -0.318 | 7.3% | 4 | 54.9% | -0.021 | -0.8% | 6 | TQ |
| 6 | Mitchel Volk | Senior | 01/20 19:18 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 6.00 | 3.10 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 2.70 | 5.00 | 2.60 | 6.00 | 0.20 | 7.00 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 0.40 | Mitchel Volk | 3.50 | 0.10 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 6.00 | 2.60 | 5.00 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 5.00 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mitchel Volk | Senior | 24 | 73.4 | -0.019 | 1.0% | 6 | 78.50 | 17.30 | 0.501 | -30.7% | 7 | 31.10 | 0.386 | -10.1% | 6 | 1.30 | 0.574 | -13.1% | 6 | 61.4% | 0.295 | 11.1% | 4 | Mitchel Volk |
| 7 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 01/20 22:30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.75 | 0.45 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 2.25 | 0.65 | 4.75 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 2.30 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 2.50 | 0.30 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.60 | Donald Rosenfeld | 5.00 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 3.40 | 5.00 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 0.50 | 5.00 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 1.70 | 5.00 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 4.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 25 | 113.1 | 1.012 | -52.6% | 7 | 71.87 | 10.67 | -0.317 | 19.4% | 3 | 38.75 | 1.422 | -37.2% | 7 | 1.55 | 1.545 | -35.3% | 8 | 32.3% | -1.110 | -41.6% | 7 | Donald Rosenfeld |
| 8 | Roger Smith | Journeyman | 01/20 16:11 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 2.20 | 0.05 | 7.95 | 1.30 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 6.10 | 1.80 | 4.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.30 | 1.80 | Roger Smith | 1.50 | 2.10 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 2.80 | 0.60 | 2.20 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 3.50 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.70 | Roger Smith | Journeyman | 27 | 155.4 | 2.110 | -109.6% | 8 | 30.25 | 30.95 | 2.184 | -133.8% | 8 | 40.15 | 1.611 | -42.1% | 8 | 1.49 | 1.305 | -29.8% | 7 | 13.0% | -2.043 | -76.6% | 8 | Roger Smith |
| Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | BDL | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 196 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
| Rookie | 0 | Consensus | MIN | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 0.30 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 0.20 | 1.60 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.30 | 0.00 | MIN | 1.50 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 2.80 | 0.40 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | MIN | 24 | 35 | -1.012 | -109.6% | 1 | 30.25 | 1.85 | -1.404 | -133.8% | 1 | 19.6 | -1.171 | -42.1% | 1 | 0.82 | -1.258 | -35.3% | 1 | 13.0% | -2.043 | -76.6% | 1 | MIN | |
| Intern | 1 | MAX | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 6.00 | 3.10 | 6.00 | 7.95 | 7.00 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 6.10 | 6.00 | 4.40 | 7.00 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 2.50 | 4.00 | 1.80 | MAX | 5.00 | 2.10 | 5.00 | 3.40 | 6.00 | 2.60 | 5.00 | 2.50 | 5.00 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 5.00 | 2.30 | 5.00 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 4.30 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.70 | MAX | 27 | 155 | 2.110 | 52.6% | 8 | 78.50 | 30.95 | 2.184 | 86.0% | 8 | 40.2 | 1.611 | 30.6% | 8 | 1.55 | 1.545 | 28.7% | 8 | 76.9% | 1.044 | 39.1% | 8 | MAX | ||
| Journey | 1 | AVG | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 1.27 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.54 | 3.11 | 1.14 | 3.85 | 4.15 | 3.61 | 1.54 | 4.04 | 3.56 | 4.55 | 1.65 | 4.24 | 1.81 | 2.21 | 0.84 | 2.98 | 0.60 | AVG | 3.06 | 1.11 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 4.39 | 1.24 | 3.75 | 1.00 | 2.38 | 0.98 | 0.88 | 1.07 | 3.90 | 1.18 | 1.43 | 1.14 | 0.99 | 0.86 | 0.98 | 0.90 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.09 | AVG | 25 | 74 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 56.40 | 13.24 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 28.2 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 1.15 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 55.3% | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | AVG | ||
| Senior | 6 | Median | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.85 | 0.30 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 2.75 | 0.88 | 4.53 | 3.48 | 3.55 | 1.40 | 4.10 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 3.90 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 3.05 | 0.50 | Median | 3.20 | 1.05 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 4.65 | 1.25 | 4.00 | 0.50 | 2.20 | 0.75 | 0.55 | 1.10 | 4.20 | 1.05 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Median | 24 | 66 | -0.220 | 11.4% | 5 | 54.50 | 12.42 | -0.101 | 6.2% | 5 | 26.5 | -0.237 | 6.2% | 5 | 1.10 | -0.159 | 3.6% | 5 | 60.9% | 0.271 | 10.1% | 5 | Median | ||
| TOT | 8 | Mode | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 4.00 | 1.10 | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 4.00 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 7.00 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 0.50 | #N/A | 0.60 | Mode | 1.50 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 5.00 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 4.20 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.05 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mode | 24 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| STD | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.39 | 0.24 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 1.47 | 0.95 | 1.79 | 1.79 | 1.69 | 0.98 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.91 | 1.56 | 0.86 | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.53 | STD | 1.22 | 0.74 | 1.17 | 0.86 | 1.01 | 0.68 | 1.06 | 0.82 | 1.23 | 0.75 | 0.86 | 0.33 | 1.20 | 0.65 | 1.48 | 1.39 | 1.21 | 1.04 | 1.56 | 1.30 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.23 | STD | 1 | 39 | 1.000 | 51.9% | 2.3 | 14.77 | 8.11 | 1.000 | 61.3% | 2.3 | 7.4 | 1.000 | 26.1% | 2.3 | 0.26 | 1.000 | 22.8% | 2.3 | 20.7% | 1.000 | 37.5% | 2.3 | STD | ||||
| 25% | ile | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.58 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 2.36 | 0.48 | 3.43 | 3.15 | 2.38 | 0.65 | 3.75 | 2.90 | 4.20 | 1.15 | 2.88 | 0.28 | 1.88 | 0.50 | 2.65 | 0.33 | 25% | 1.88 | 0.48 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 3.75 | 0.60 | 3.25 | 0.50 | 1.40 | 0.60 | 0.48 | 0.90 | 3.73 | 0.80 | 0.45 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 0.39 | 0.05 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25% | 24 | 44 | -0.789 | -12.4% | 3 | 47.61 | 9.45 | -0.467 | -14.8% | 3 | 22.7 | -0.755 | -16.9% | 3 | 0.94 | -0.768 | -17.3% | 3 | 49.2% | -0.293 | -11.0% | 3 | ||||
| 75% | ile | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 1.45 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 1.38 | 4.85 | 4.58 | 4.25 | 2.40 | 4.70 | 3.85 | 5.05 | 2.00 | 5.50 | 2.70 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 3.55 | 0.68 | 75% | 4.03 | 1.73 | 3.55 | 1.95 | 5.00 | 1.60 | 4.40 | 1.25 | 3.00 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 4.63 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.85 | 0.66 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75% | 24 | 83 | 0.239 | 41.0% | 6 | 68.22 | 15.20 | 0.242 | 28.6% | 6 | 33.0 | 0.645 | 19.7% | 6 | 1.34 | 0.757 | 17.5% | 6 | 69.5% | 0.687 | 25.7% | 6 | ||||