| Total Absolute | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecaster | CAR | 93.2 | BGR | 33.4 | PWM | 37.7 | CON | 23.2 | BTV | 32.5 | BOS | 8.4 | ORH | 23.7 | PVD | 15.6 | BDR | 9.7 | BDL | 14.5 | ALB | 17.9 | BGM | 40.0 | Forecaster | NYC | 4.5 | ABE | 5.3 | MDT | 7.0 | PHL | 3.8 | ACY | 4.4 | EWR | 3.6 | BWI | 1.9 | IAD | 3.2 | DCA | 2.1 | SBY | 2 | RIC | 4.5 | ORF | 0.50 | RDU | 0.90 | Forecaster | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV over PORN | AVG Error |
| Roger Smith | 55.0 | 38.2 | 34.0 | 0.6 | 32.0 | 5.7 | 45.0 | 21.8 | 67.0 | 34.5 | 39.0 | 30.7 | 45.0 | 21.3 | 40.0 | 24.5 | 33.0 | 23.4 | 47.0 | 32.6 | 60.0 | 42.1 | 80.0 | 40.0 | Roger Smith | 19.0 | 14.5 | 34.0 | 28.7 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 13.0 | 9.4 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 4 | 2 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | Roger Smith | 1 | 406.2 | -1.455 | 25.9% | 16.2 |
| donsutherland1 | 105.2 | 12.0 | 68.5 | 35.1 | 62.5 | 24.8 | 58.5 | 35.3 | 80.0 | 47.5 | 37.4 | 29.1 | 50.2 | 26.5 | 28.5 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 8.4 | 30.1 | 15.7 | 49.5 | 31.6 | 72.2 | 32.2 | donsutherland1 | 12.1 | 7.6 | 27.0 | 21.7 | 24.3 | 17.3 | 13.5 | 9.8 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 16.1 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 10.6 | 13.5 | 10.3 | 10.0 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | donsutherland1 | 2 | 414.9 | -1.375 | 24.4% | 16.6 |
| herb@maws | 80.0 | 13.2 | 65.0 | 31.6 | 70.0 | 32.3 | 51.0 | 27.8 | 71.0 | 38.5 | 37.0 | 28.7 | 58.0 | 34.3 | 28.0 | 12.5 | 24.0 | 14.4 | 45.0 | 30.6 | 49.0 | 31.1 | 62.0 | 22.0 | herb@maws | 23.0 | 18.5 | 28.0 | 22.7 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 16.3 | 13.0 | 8.7 | 23.0 | 19.4 | 19.0 | 17.1 | 20.0 | 16.8 | 12.0 | 9.9 | 7 | 5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 4.1 | herb@maws | 3 | 481.2 | -0.759 | 12.3% | 19.2 |
| Donald Rosenfeld | 75.0 | 18.2 | 70.0 | 36.6 | 60.0 | 22.3 | 75.0 | 51.8 | 100.0 | 67.5 | 35.0 | 26.7 | 48.0 | 24.3 | 30.0 | 14.5 | 22.0 | 12.4 | 40.0 | 25.6 | 48.0 | 30.1 | 90.0 | 50.0 | Donald Rosenfeld | 20.0 | 15.5 | 20.0 | 14.7 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 25.0 | 21.4 | 15.0 | 13.1 | 12.0 | 8.8 | 10.0 | 7.9 | 6 | 4 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 4.1 | Donald Rosenfeld | 4 | 509.2 | -0.499 | 7.2% | 20.4 |
| PORN | 89.5 | 3.7 | 59.5 | 26.1 | 63.7 | 26.0 | 58.6 | 35.4 | 69.5 | 37.0 | 41.2 | 32.9 | 61.7 | 38.0 | 34.1 | 18.6 | 25.6 | 16.0 | 46.4 | 32.0 | 56.5 | 38.6 | 72.0 | 32.0 | PORN | 27.4 | 22.9 | 31.1 | 25.8 | 32.1 | 25.1 | 21.0 | 17.3 | 16.7 | 12.4 | 27.7 | 24.1 | 20.9 | 19.0 | 22.4 | 19.2 | 16.5 | 14.4 | 11 | 9 | 13.6 | 9.1 | 8.3 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 6.7 | PORN | 5 | 548.5 | -0.134 | 0.0% | 21.9 |
| chris tingus | 82.3 | 10.9 | 78.3 | 44.9 | 73.5 | 35.8 | 61.7 | 38.5 | 88.9 | 56.4 | 42.3 | 34.0 | 54.2 | 30.5 | 46.7 | 31.2 | 18.5 | 8.9 | 16.3 | 1.9 | 91.9 | 74.0 | 87.4 | 47.4 | chris tingus | 14.0 | 9.5 | 35.0 | 29.7 | 38.0 | 31.0 | 35.0 | 31.3 | 11.0 | 6.7 | 11.0 | 7.4 | 12.0 | 10.1 | 9.0 | 5.8 | 9.0 | 6.9 | 10 | 8 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 4.1 | chris tingus | 6 | 576.6 | 0.128 | -5.1% | 23.1 |
| WeatherT | 97.0 | 3.8 | 90.0 | 56.6 | 64.0 | 26.3 | 56.0 | 32.8 | 71.0 | 38.5 | 50.0 | 41.7 | 68.0 | 44.3 | 28.0 | 12.5 | 28.0 | 18.4 | 48.0 | 33.6 | 52.0 | 34.1 | 81.0 | 41.0 | WeatherT | 32.0 | 27.5 | 36.0 | 30.7 | 43.0 | 36.0 | 17.0 | 13.3 | 10.0 | 5.7 | 28.0 | 24.4 | 20.0 | 18.1 | 23.0 | 19.8 | 17.0 | 14.9 | 8 | 6 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.1 | WeatherT | 7 | 593.8 | 0.287 | -8.3% | 23.8 |
| Brad Yehl | 104.0 | 10.8 | 74.2 | 40.8 | 69.0 | 31.3 | 62.5 | 39.3 | 84.0 | 51.5 | 38.2 | 29.9 | 72.0 | 48.3 | 29.5 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 11.4 | 48.0 | 33.6 | 62.0 | 44.1 | 80.4 | 40.4 | Brad Yehl | 27.4 | 22.9 | 37.8 | 32.5 | 32.0 | 25.0 | 28.4 | 24.7 | 12.4 | 8.1 | 30.2 | 26.6 | 22.8 | 20.9 | 20.4 | 17.2 | 14.8 | 12.7 | 6 | 4 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 1.5 | Brad Yehl | 8 | 597.2 | 0.319 | -8.9% | 23.9 |
| Mitchel Volk | 120.0 | 26.8 | 75.0 | 41.6 | 70.0 | 32.3 | 77.0 | 53.8 | 88.0 | 55.5 | 30.0 | 21.7 | 95.0 | 71.3 | 25.0 | 9.5 | 26.0 | 16.4 | 35.0 | 20.6 | 50.0 | 32.1 | 50.0 | 10.0 | Mitchel Volk | 22.0 | 17.5 | 35.0 | 29.7 | 40.0 | 33.0 | 20.0 | 16.3 | 15.0 | 10.7 | 26.0 | 22.4 | 20.0 | 18.1 | 20.0 | 16.8 | 19.0 | 16.9 | 18 | 16 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 15.0 | 14.5 | 14.0 | 13.1 | Mitchel Volk | 9 | 626.8 | 0.594 | -14.3% | 25.1 |
| TQ | 119.0 | 25.8 | 89.0 | 55.6 | 85.0 | 47.3 | 88.0 | 64.8 | 104.0 | 71.5 | 62.0 | 53.7 | 82.0 | 58.3 | 51.0 | 35.5 | 38.0 | 28.4 | 46.0 | 31.6 | 57.0 | 39.1 | 61.0 | 21.0 | TQ | 27.0 | 22.5 | 26.0 | 20.7 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 17.3 | 14.0 | 9.7 | 28.0 | 24.4 | 10.0 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 5 | 3 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.1 | TQ | 10 | 669.8 | 0.993 | -22.1% | 26.8 |
| iralibov | 98.6 | 5.4 | 69.5 | 36.1 | 72.5 | 34.8 | 67.5 | 44.3 | 80.2 | 47.7 | 52.5 | 44.2 | 71.2 | 47.5 | 45.2 | 29.7 | 35.7 | 26.1 | 58.5 | 44.1 | 65.8 | 47.9 | 85.2 | 45.2 | iralibov | 41.2 | 36.7 | 35.2 | 29.9 | 42.5 | 35.5 | 32.5 | 28.8 | 25.2 | 20.9 | 42.5 | 38.9 | 31.2 | 29.3 | 28.6 | 25.4 | 23.5 | 21.4 | 15 | 13 | 18.5 | 14.0 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 9.6 | iralibov | 11 | 767.4 | 1.900 | -39.9% | 30.7 |
| FCST Statistics | CAR | Err | BGR | Err | PWM | Err | CON | Err | BTV | Err | BOS | Err | ORH | Err | PVD | Err | BDR | Err | BDL | Err | ALB | Err | BGM | Err | FCST Statistics | NYC | Err | ABE | Err | MDT | Err | PHL | Err | ACY | Err | EWR | Err | BWI | Err | IAD | Err | DCA | Err | SBY | Err | RIC | Err | ORF | Err | RDU | Err | FCST Statistics | Rank | Error | Z | %MPRV | |
| MIN | 55.0 | 3.7 | 34.0 | 0.6 | 32.0 | 5.7 | 45.0 | 21.8 | 67.0 | 34.5 | 30.0 | 21.65 | 45.0 | 21.30 | 25.0 | 9.5 | 18.0 | 8.4 | 16.3 | 1.9 | 48.0 | 30.1 | 50.0 | 10.0 | MIN | 12.1 | 7.60 | 20.0 | 14.7 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 7.5 | 3.15 | 11.0 | 7.40 | 10.0 | 8.1 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | MIN | 1 | 406.2 | -1.455 | -39.9% | 16 |
| MAX | 120.0 | 38.2 | 90.0 | 56.6 | 85.0 | 47.3 | 88.0 | 64.8 | 104.0 | 71.5 | 62.0 | 53.7 | 95.0 | 71.3 | 51.0 | 35.5 | 38.0 | 28.4 | 58.5 | 44.1 | 91.9 | 74.0 | 90.0 | 50.0 | MAX | 41.2 | 36.7 | 37.8 | 32.5 | 43.0 | 36.0 | 35.0 | 31.3 | 25.2 | 20.9 | 42.5 | 38.9 | 31.2 | 29.3 | 28.6 | 25.4 | 23.5 | 21.4 | 18.0 | 16.0 | 18.5 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 14.5 | 14.0 | 13.1 | MAX | 11 | 767.4 | 1.900 | 25.9% | 31 |
| AVG | 93.2 | 15.3 | 70.3 | 36.9 | 65.7 | 29.0 | 63.7 | 40.5 | 82.1 | 49.6 | 42.2 | 33.9 | 64.1 | 40.4 | 35.1 | 19.5 | 26.3 | 16.7 | 41.8 | 27.4 | 58.3 | 40.4 | 74.7 | 34.7 | AVG | 24.1 | 19.6 | 31.4 | 26.1 | 29.9 | 22.9 | 21.2 | 17.5 | 13.2 | 8.8 | 24.6 | 21.0 | 17.7 | 15.8 | 17.0 | 13.8 | 13.2 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 4.6 | AVG | 6 | 562.9 | 0.000 | -2.6% | 23 |
| Median | 97.0 | 12.0 | 70.0 | 36.6 | 69.0 | 31.3 | 61.7 | 38.5 | 80.2 | 47.7 | 39.0 | 30.7 | 61.7 | 38.0 | 30.0 | 14.5 | 25.6 | 16.0 | 46.0 | 31.6 | 56.5 | 38.6 | 80.0 | 40.0 | Median | 23.0 | 18.5 | 34.0 | 28.7 | 32.0 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 16.3 | 12.4 | 8.1 | 26.0 | 22.4 | 19.0 | 17.1 | 20.0 | 16.8 | 12.0 | 9.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 4.1 | Median | 6 | 576.6 | 0.128 | -5.1% | 23 |
| Mode | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 70.0 | 32.3 | #N/A | #N/A | 71.0 | 38.5 | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 28.0 | 12.5 | #N/A | #N/A | 48.0 | 33.6 | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | Mode | 27.4 | 22.9 | 35.0 | 29.7 | #N/A | #N/A | 20.0 | 16.3 | #N/A | #N/A | 28.0 | 24.4 | 20.0 | 18.1 | 20.0 | 16.8 | 10.0 | 7.9 | #N/A | #N/A | 7.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 4.1 | Mode | |||||
| STD | 19.5 | 10.9 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 13.1 | 10.3 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 11.3 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 | STD | 8.2 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.8 | STD | 3 | 107.6 | 1.000 | 19.6% | 4.306 |
| 33% | 84.7 | 10.8 | 68.8 | 35.4 | 63.8 | 26.1 | 58.5 | 35.3 | 74.0 | 41.5 | 37.7 | 29.3 | 55.5 | 31.8 | 28.8 | 13.3 | 22.7 | 13.0 | 41.7 | 27.2 | 50.7 | 32.8 | 72.1 | 32.1 | 33% | 20.7 | 16.2 | 29.0 | 23.7 | 25.2 | 18.2 | 18.0 | 14.2 | 11.3 | 7.0 | 23.7 | 20.1 | 13.3 | 11.4 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 10.0 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 33% | 4 | 522.3 | -0.377 | -8.7% | 20.9 |
| 67% | 102.2 | 16.5 | 74.7 | 41.3 | 70.0 | 32.3 | 65.8 | 42.6 | 86.7 | 54.2 | 41.9 | 33.6 | 70.1 | 46.4 | 38.0 | 22.5 | 27.3 | 17.7 | 46.8 | 32.4 | 59.0 | 41.1 | 80.8 | 40.8 | 67% | 27.3 | 22.8 | 35.0 | 29.7 | 36.0 | 29.0 | 21.0 | 17.3 | 13.7 | 9.3 | 27.9 | 24.3 | 20.0 | 18.1 | 20.3 | 17.1 | 15.9 | 13.8 | 9.3 | 7.3 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 67% | 8 | 596.1 | 0.308 | 4.8% | 23.8 |
| NCDC Climatology | NCDC Climatology | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period of Record (") | 100.6 | 93% | 62.4 | 54% | 66.5 | 57% | 61.0 | 38% | 74.4 | 44% | 41.7 | 20% | 63.4 | 37% | 35.0 | 44% | 25.5 | 38% | 47.7 | 30% | 61.0 | 29% | 78.9 | 51% | 27.7 | 16% | 31.8 | 17% | 34.2 | 20% | 20.4 | 18% | 15.9 | 27% | 27.5 | 13% | 21.2 | 9% | 22.7 | 14% | 17.1 | 12% | 14.4 | 14% | 13.7 | 33% | 7.9 | 6% | 7.6 | 12% | Period of Record (") | ||||||
| AVG FCST / Climo | AVG FCST / Climo | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Avg FCST (PCT Climo) | 93% | 0% | 113% | 59% | 99% | 42% | 104% | 66% | 110% | 67% | 101% | 81% | 101% | 64% | 100% | 56% | 103% | 65% | 88% | 57% | 96% | 66% | 95% | 44% | 87% | 71% | 99% | 82% | 87% | 67% | 104% | 86% | 83% | 55% | 89% | 76% | 83% | 74% | 75% | 61% | 77% | 65% | 58% | 44% | 67% | 34% | 78% | 71% | 73% | 61% | Avg FCST (PCT Climo) | ||||||
| Median FCST (PCT Climo) | 96% | 4% | 112% | 59% | 104% | 47% | 101% | 63% | 108% | 64% | 94% | 74% | 97% | 60% | 86% | 41% | 100% | 63% | 96% | 66% | 93% | 63% | 101% | 51% | 83% | 67% | 107% | 90% | 94% | 73% | 98% | 80% | 78% | 51% | 95% | 81% | 90% | 81% | 88% | 74% | 70% | 58% | 49% | 35% | 51% | 18% | 63% | 57% | 66% | 54% | Median FCST (PCT Climo) | ||||||