Total Absolute
Forecaster  CAR 93.2  BGR 33.4  PWM 37.7  CON 23.2  BTV 32.5  BOS 8.4  ORH 23.7  PVD 15.6  BDR 9.7  BDL 14.5  ALB 17.9  BGM 40.0 Forecaster  NYC 4.5  ABE 5.3  MDT 7.0  PHL 3.8  ACY 4.4  EWR 3.6  BWI 1.9  IAD 3.2  DCA 2.1  SBY        2  RIC 4.5  ORF 0.50  RDU 0.90 Forecaster  Rank Error  Error Z  %MPRV over PORN AVG Error
Roger Smith 55.0 38.2 34.0 0.6 32.0 5.7 45.0 21.8 67.0 34.5 39.0 30.7 45.0 21.3 40.0 24.5 33.0 23.4 47.0 32.6 60.0 42.1 80.0 40.0 Roger Smith 19.0 14.5 34.0 28.7 14.0 7.0 10.0 6.3 8.0 3.7 13.0 9.4 11.0 9.1 7.5 4.3 5.5 3.4        4        2 3.8 0.7 1.4 0.9 2.2 1.3 Roger Smith         1      406.2 -1.455 25.9%       16.2
donsutherland1 105.2 12.0 68.5 35.1 62.5 24.8 58.5 35.3 80.0 47.5 37.4 29.1 50.2 26.5 28.5 13.0 18.0 8.4 30.1 15.7 49.5 31.6 72.2 32.2 donsutherland1 12.1 7.6 27.0 21.7 24.3 17.3 13.5 9.8 7.5 3.2 16.1 12.5 12.5 10.6 13.5 10.3 10.0 7.9        1        1 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.1 donsutherland1         2      414.9 -1.375 24.4%       16.6
herb@maws 80.0 13.2 65.0 31.6 70.0 32.3 51.0 27.8 71.0 38.5 37.0 28.7 58.0 34.3 28.0 12.5 24.0 14.4 45.0 30.6 49.0 31.1 62.0 22.0 herb@maws 23.0 18.5 28.0 22.7 27.0 20.0 20.0 16.3 13.0 8.7 23.0 19.4 19.0 17.1 20.0 16.8 12.0 9.9        7        5 7.0 2.5 4.0 3.5 5.0 4.1 herb@maws         3      481.2 -0.759 12.3%       19.2
Donald Rosenfeld 75.0 18.2 70.0 36.6 60.0 22.3 75.0 51.8 100.0 67.5 35.0 26.7 48.0 24.3 30.0 14.5 22.0 12.4 40.0 25.6 48.0 30.1 90.0 50.0 Donald Rosenfeld 20.0 15.5 20.0 14.7 20.0 13.0 15.0 11.3 12.0 7.7 25.0 21.4 15.0 13.1 12.0 8.8 10.0 7.9        6        4 7.0 2.5 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.1 Donald Rosenfeld         4      509.2 -0.499 7.2%       20.4
PORN 89.5 3.7 59.5 26.1 63.7 26.0 58.6 35.4 69.5 37.0 41.2 32.9 61.7 38.0 34.1 18.6 25.6 16.0 46.4 32.0 56.5 38.6 72.0 32.0 PORN 27.4 22.9 31.1 25.8 32.1 25.1 21.0 17.3 16.7 12.4 27.7 24.1 20.9 19.0 22.4 19.2 16.5 14.4      11        9 13.6 9.1 8.3 7.8 7.6 6.7 PORN         5      548.5 -0.134 0.0%       21.9
chris tingus 82.3 10.9 78.3 44.9 73.5 35.8 61.7 38.5 88.9 56.4 42.3 34.0 54.2 30.5 46.7 31.2 18.5 8.9 16.3 1.9 91.9 74.0 87.4 47.4 chris tingus 14.0 9.5 35.0 29.7 38.0 31.0 35.0 31.3 11.0 6.7 11.0 7.4 12.0 10.1 9.0 5.8 9.0 6.9      10        8 9.0 4.5 8.0 7.5 5.0 4.1 chris tingus         6      576.6 0.128 -5.1%       23.1
WeatherT 97.0 3.8 90.0 56.6 64.0 26.3 56.0 32.8 71.0 38.5 50.0 41.7 68.0 44.3 28.0 12.5 28.0 18.4 48.0 33.6 52.0 34.1 81.0 41.0 WeatherT 32.0 27.5 36.0 30.7 43.0 36.0 17.0 13.3 10.0 5.7 28.0 24.4 20.0 18.1 23.0 19.8 17.0 14.9        8        6 11.0 6.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.1 WeatherT         7      593.8 0.287 -8.3%       23.8
Brad Yehl 104.0 10.8 74.2 40.8 69.0 31.3 62.5 39.3 84.0 51.5 38.2 29.9 72.0 48.3 29.5 14.0 21.0 11.4 48.0 33.6 62.0 44.1 80.4 40.4 Brad Yehl 27.4 22.9 37.8 32.5 32.0 25.0 28.4 24.7 12.4 8.1 30.2 26.6 22.8 20.9 20.4 17.2 14.8 12.7        6        4 6.9 2.4 3.7 3.2 2.4 1.5 Brad Yehl         8      597.2 0.319 -8.9%       23.9
Mitchel Volk 120.0 26.8 75.0 41.6 70.0 32.3 77.0 53.8 88.0 55.5 30.0 21.7 95.0 71.3 25.0 9.5 26.0 16.4 35.0 20.6 50.0 32.1 50.0 10.0 Mitchel Volk 22.0 17.5 35.0 29.7 40.0 33.0 20.0 16.3 15.0 10.7 26.0 22.4 20.0 18.1 20.0 16.8 19.0 16.9      18      16 15.0 10.5 15.0 14.5 14.0 13.1 Mitchel Volk         9      626.8 0.594 -14.3%       25.1
TQ 119.0 25.8 89.0 55.6 85.0 47.3 88.0 64.8 104.0 71.5 62.0 53.7 82.0 58.3 51.0 35.5 38.0 28.4 46.0 31.6 57.0 39.1 61.0 21.0 TQ 27.0 22.5 26.0 20.7 16.0 9.0 21.0 17.3 14.0 9.7 28.0 24.4 10.0 8.1 11.0 7.8 8.0 5.9        5        3 7.0 2.5 4.0 3.5 4.0 3.1 TQ       10      669.8 0.993 -22.1%       26.8
iralibov 98.6 5.4 69.5 36.1 72.5 34.8 67.5 44.3 80.2 47.7 52.5 44.2 71.2 47.5 45.2 29.7 35.7 26.1 58.5 44.1 65.8 47.9 85.2 45.2 iralibov 41.2 36.7 35.2 29.9 42.5 35.5 32.5 28.8 25.2 20.9 42.5 38.9 31.2 29.3 28.6 25.4 23.5 21.4      15      13 18.5 14.0 11.5 11.0 10.5 9.6 iralibov       11      767.4 1.900 -39.9%       30.7
FCST Statistics  CAR  Err  BGR  Err  PWM  Err  CON  Err  BTV  Err  BOS  Err  ORH  Err  PVD  Err  BDR  Err  BDL  Err  ALB  Err  BGM  Err FCST Statistics  NYC  Err  ABE  Err  MDT  Err  PHL  Err  ACY  Err  EWR  Err  BWI  Err  IAD  Err  DCA  Err  SBY  Err  RIC  Err  ORF  Err  RDU  Err FCST Statistics  Rank Error  Z  %MPRV  
MIN     55.0 3.7    34.0     0.6     32.0     5.7    45.0 21.8    67.0   34.5    30.0 21.65    45.0 21.30    25.0     9.5    18.0 8.4    16.3     1.9    48.0   30.1     50.0 10.0 MIN    12.1 7.60    20.0   14.7    14.0     7.0    10.0     6.3      7.5 3.15    11.0 7.40   10.0     8.1     7.5     4.3      5.5     3.4     1.0     1.0     2.5     0.7      0.5 0.0      1.0    0.1 MIN 1 406.2 -1.455 -39.9% 16
MAX   120.0    38.2    90.0   56.6     85.0   47.3    88.0   64.8   104.0   71.5    62.0   53.7    95.0   71.3    51.0   35.5    38.0   28.4    58.5   44.1    91.9   74.0     90.0   50.0 MAX    41.2   36.7    37.8   32.5    43.0   36.0    35.0   31.3    25.2   20.9    42.5   38.9   31.2   29.3   28.6   25.4    23.5   21.4    18.0   16.0   18.5   14.0    15.0   14.5    14.0   13.1 MAX 11 767.4 1.900 25.9% 31
AVG     93.2    15.3    70.3   36.9     65.7   29.0    63.7   40.5    82.1   49.6    42.2   33.9    64.1   40.4    35.1   19.5    26.3   16.7    41.8   27.4    58.3   40.4     74.7   34.7 AVG    24.1   19.6    31.4   26.1    29.9   22.9    21.2   17.5    13.2     8.8    24.6   21.0   17.7   15.8   17.0   13.8    13.2   11.1     8.3     6.5     9.2     5.2      6.1     5.6      5.5    4.6 AVG 6 562.9 0.000 -2.6% 23
Median     97.0    12.0    70.0   36.6     69.0   31.3    61.7   38.5    80.2   47.7    39.0   30.7    61.7   38.0    30.0   14.5    25.6   16.0    46.0   31.6    56.5   38.6     80.0   40.0 Median    23.0   18.5    34.0   28.7    32.0   25.0    20.0   16.3    12.4     8.1    26.0   22.4   19.0   17.1   20.0   16.8    12.0     9.9     7.0     5.0     7.0     2.5      5.0     4.5      5.0    4.1 Median 6 576.6 0.128 -5.1% 23
Mode #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A     70.0   32.3 #N/A #N/A    71.0   38.5 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A    28.0   12.5 #N/A #N/A    48.0   33.6 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Mode    27.4   22.9    35.0   29.7 #N/A #N/A    20.0   16.3 #N/A #N/A    28.0   24.4   20.0   18.1   20.0   16.8    10.0     7.9 #N/A #N/A     7.0     2.5      4.0     3.5      5.0    4.1 Mode             
STD     19.5    10.9    15.2   15.2     13.1   10.3    12.4   12.4    12.4   12.4      9.1     9.1    15.4   15.4      9.0     9.0      6.7     6.7    11.3   11.3    12.6   12.6     12.6   12.6 STD      8.2     8.2      5.5     5.5    10.4   10.4     7.8     7.8      4.9     4.9      8.8     8.8     6.3     6.3     6.8     6.8      5.4     5.4     5.0     4.7     4.9     4.3      4.3     4.3      3.8    3.8 STD 3 107.6    1.000 19.6% 4.306
33%     84.7    10.8    68.8   35.4     63.8   26.1    58.5   35.3    74.0   41.5    37.7   29.3    55.5   31.8    28.8   13.3    22.7   13.0    41.7   27.2    50.7   32.8     72.1   32.1 33%    20.7   16.2    29.0   23.7    25.2   18.2    18.0   14.2    11.3     7.0    23.7   20.1   13.3   11.4   12.5     9.3    10.0     7.9     6.1     4.1     7.0     2.5      4.0     3.5      4.0    3.1 33% 4      522.3 -0.377 -8.7%       20.9
67%   102.2    16.5    74.7   41.3     70.0   32.3    65.8   42.6    86.7   54.2    41.9   33.6    70.1   46.4    38.0   22.5    27.3   17.7    46.8   32.4    59.0   41.1     80.8   40.8 67%    27.3   22.8    35.0   29.7    36.0   29.0    21.0   17.3    13.7     9.3    27.9   24.3   20.0   18.1   20.3   17.1    15.9   13.8     9.3     7.3   10.3     5.8      7.3     6.8      5.0    4.1 67% 8      596.1 0.308 4.8%       23.8
NCDC Climatology                                                                                                       NCDC Climatology
Period of Record (") 100.6 93% 62.4 54% 66.5 57% 61.0 38% 74.4 44% 41.7 20% 63.4 37% 35.0 44% 25.5 38% 47.7 30% 61.0 29% 78.9 51%   27.7 16% 31.8 17% 34.2 20% 20.4 18% 15.9 27% 27.5 13% 21.2 9% 22.7 14% 17.1 12% 14.4 14% 13.7 33% 7.9 6% 7.6 12% Period of Record (")
AVG FCST / Climo                                                                                                       AVG FCST / Climo
Avg FCST (PCT Climo) 93% 0% 113% 59% 99% 42% 104% 66% 110% 67% 101% 81% 101% 64% 100% 56% 103% 65% 88% 57% 96% 66% 95% 44%   87% 71% 99% 82% 87% 67% 104% 86% 83% 55% 89% 76% 83% 74% 75% 61% 77% 65% 58% 44% 67% 34% 78% 71% 73% 61% Avg FCST (PCT Climo)
Median FCST (PCT Climo) 96% 4% 112% 59% 104% 47% 101% 63% 108% 64% 94% 74% 97% 60% 86% 41% 100% 63% 96% 66% 93% 63% 101% 51%   83% 67% 107% 90% 94% 73% 98% 80% 78% 51% 95% 81% 90% 81% 88% 74% 70% 58% 49% 35% 51% 18% 63% 57% 66% 54% Median FCST (PCT Climo)