| Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / LST | CAR | 2.30 | BGR | 0.05 | PWM | 1.50 | CON | 8.10 | BTV | 0.20 | BOS | 5.30 | HYA | 0.05 | ORH | 4.70 | PVD | 1.80 | BDR | 5.00 | BDL | 4.20 | ALB | 5.50 | BGM | 4.00 | ISP | 2.10 | JFK | 4.90 | ABE | 1.30 | MDT | 0.05 | PHL | 1.00 | ACY | 0.30 | EWR | 2.60 | BWI | 0.10 | IAD | 0.40 | DCA | 0.10 | SBY | 0.05 | RIC | 0.00 | ORF | 0.00 | RDU | 0.00 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 55.60 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | |||
| 1 | ilibov | Senior | 02/14 21:01 | 2.20 | 0.10 | 3.70 | 3.65 | 4.20 | 2.70 | 7.20 | 0.90 | 6.50 | 6.30 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 4.20 | 0.50 | 2.60 | 0.80 | 2.30 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 1.10 | 8.50 | 3.00 | 7.60 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 2.40 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 1.75 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 2.25 | 0.35 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | ilibov | Senior | 25 | 126.6 | -0.746 | 52.7% | 1 | 77.05 | 21.45 | -0.862 | 43.8% | 3 | 41.95 | -1.083 | 26.9% | 1 | 1.68 | -1.035 | 25.6% | 1 | 36.9% | 2.028 | 49.8% | 1 | ilibov |
| 2 | herb@maws | Senior | 02/14 17:27 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 8.00 | 6.50 | 6.00 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 5.00 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 0.20 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 4.50 | 8.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | 0.90 | 4.00 | 0.90 | 4.00 | 2.70 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 4.00 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 2.40 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.45 | - | - | - | - | - | - | herb@maws | Senior | 24 | 151.9 | -0.612 | 43.2% | 2 | 76.00 | 20.40 | -0.916 | 46.5% | 1 | 46.00 | -0.800 | 19.9% | 3 | 1.92 | -0.607 | 15.0% | 4 | 23.4% | -0.199 | -4.9% | 4 | herb@maws |
| 3 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 02/14 22:29 | 4.10 | 1.80 | 6.40 | 6.35 | 7.20 | 5.70 | 7.00 | 1.10 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 4.30 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.15 | 5.20 | 0.50 | 2.50 | 0.70 | 1.50 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 5.40 | 0.10 | 6.40 | 2.40 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 3.70 | 4.30 | 3.00 | 4.30 | 4.25 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 2.50 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.05 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Chief | 24 | 153.5 | -0.604 | 42.6% | 3 | 78.55 | 22.95 | -0.785 | 39.9% | 4 | 43.75 | -0.957 | 23.8% | 2 | 1.82 | -0.775 | 19.2% | 3 | 27.9% | 0.539 | 13.2% | 3 | donsutherland1 |
| 4 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 02/14 22:29 | 1.25 | 1.05 | 6.00 | 5.95 | 10.00 | 8.50 | 8.50 | 0.40 | 1.25 | 1.05 | 8.50 | 3.20 | 4.75 | 4.70 | 5.50 | 0.80 | 4.25 | 2.45 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 0.70 | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.60 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.15 | 0.85 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1.25 | 1.15 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 27 | 189.5 | -0.413 | 29.2% | 4 | 76.00 | 20.40 | -0.916 | 46.5% | 1 | 48.80 | -0.603 | 15.0% | 4 | 1.81 | -0.803 | 19.9% | 2 | 22.9% | -0.290 | -7.1% | 5 | Donald Rosenfeld |
| 5 | TQ | Senior | 02/14 22:28 | 8.00 | 5.70 | 7.00 | 6.95 | 5.00 | 3.50 | 6.00 | 2.10 | 5.00 | 4.80 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 6.00 | 1.30 | 0.05 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 2.80 | 7.00 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 2.90 | 6.00 | 4.70 | 5.00 | 4.95 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 5.00 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | TQ | Senior | 26 | 221.2 | -0.245 | 17.3% | 5 | 84.30 | 28.70 | -0.488 | 24.8% | 5 | 57.50 | 0.006 | -0.1% | 5 | 2.21 | -0.079 | 1.9% | 5 | 19.9% | -0.780 | -19.1% | 8 | TQ |
| 6 | millersville_bauers | Rookie | 02/14 22:29 | 7.50 | 5.20 | 6.00 | 5.95 | 4.50 | 3.00 | 4.80 | 3.30 | 5.50 | 5.30 | 4.00 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 3.15 | 4.20 | 0.50 | 4.50 | 2.70 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 3.40 | 0.80 | 5.60 | 0.10 | 6.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 7.20 | 2.30 | 7.50 | 6.20 | 2.50 | 2.45 | 4.50 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.90 | 5.50 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.30 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | millersville_bauers | Rookie | 26 | 222.7 | -0.237 | 16.8% | 6 | 101.90 | 46.30 | 0.420 | -21.3% | 6 | 60.10 | 0.188 | -4.7% | 6 | 2.31 | 0.101 | -2.5% | 6 | 22.1% | -0.414 | -10.2% | 6 | millersville_bauers |
| 7 | weatherT | Intern | 02/14 19:42 | 6.50 | 4.20 | 9.00 | 8.95 | 6.00 | 4.50 | 7.50 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 0.30 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 8.20 | 3.50 | 4.30 | 2.50 | 3.60 | 1.40 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 9.00 | 3.50 | 5.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 4.50 | 0.40 | 8.00 | 6.70 | 5.80 | 5.75 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 5.00 | 2.40 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | weatherT | Intern | 25 | 279.5 | 0.063 | -4.5% | 7 | 112.15 | 56.55 | 0.949 | -48.2% | 8 | 61.95 | 0.317 | -7.9% | 7 | 2.48 | 0.399 | -9.9% | 8 | 31.7% | 1.167 | 28.7% | 2 | weatherT |
| 8 | Roger Smith | Rookie | 02/14 19:15 | 10.00 | 7.70 | 8.20 | 8.15 | 6.50 | 5.00 | 5.50 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 4.20 | 1.10 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 7.80 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 6.50 | 1.50 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 7.50 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 3.40 | 6.00 | 4.70 | 5.20 | 5.15 | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 4.50 | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.10 | Roger Smith | Rookie | 27 | 281.3 | 0.073 | -5.1% | 8 | 103.50 | 47.90 | 0.502 | -25.5% | 7 | 66.10 | 0.608 | -15.1% | 8 | 2.45 | 0.346 | -8.5% | 7 | 20.5% | -0.690 | -16.9% | 7 | Roger Smith |
| 9 | Raven | Senior | 02/14 22:29 | 6.30 | 4.00 | 13.20 | 13.15 | 19.50 | 18.00 | 14.50 | 6.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 13.30 | 8.00 | 8.50 | 8.45 | 8.50 | 3.80 | 7.70 | 5.90 | 3.20 | 1.80 | 4.20 | 0.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 5.50 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 0.90 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 3.80 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 2.15 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 3.50 | 0.90 | 2.30 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.30 | 0.30 | - | - | - | - | Raven | Senior | 25 | 781.9 | 2.722 | -192.2% | 9 | 134.40 | 78.80 | 2.096 | -106.5% | 9 | 90.60 | 2.324 | -57.8% | 9 | 3.62 | 2.453 | -60.7% | 9 | 16.4% | -1.362 | -33.5% | 9 | Raven |
| Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | HFD | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 229 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | ||||
| Rookie | 2 | Consensus | MIN | 1.25 | 0.10 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 4.20 | 2.70 | 4.80 | 0.40 | 1.25 | 1.05 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 4.20 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 3.10 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 2.25 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 2.20 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 24 | 127 | -0.746 | -192.2% | 1 | 76.00 | 20.40 | -0.916 | -106.5% | 1 | 42.0 | -1.083 | -57.8% | 1 | 1.68 | -1.035 | -60.7% | 1 | 16.4% | -1.362 | -33.5% | 1 | MIN | |
| Intern | 1 | MAX | 10.00 | 7.70 | 13.20 | 13.15 | 19.50 | 18.00 | 14.50 | 6.40 | 6.50 | 6.30 | 13.30 | 8.00 | 8.50 | 8.45 | 8.50 | 3.80 | 7.70 | 5.90 | 6.50 | 3.50 | 7.00 | 2.80 | 9.00 | 4.50 | 8.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | 1.30 | 7.20 | 3.70 | 8.00 | 6.70 | 5.80 | 5.75 | 4.80 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.90 | 5.50 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | MAX | 27 | 782 | 2.722 | 52.7% | 9 | 134.40 | 78.80 | 2.096 | 46.5% | 9 | 90.6 | 2.324 | 26.9% | 9 | 3.62 | 2.453 | 25.6% | 9 | 36.9% | 2.028 | 49.8% | 9 | MAX | ||
| Journey | 0 | AVG | 5.32 | 3.34 | 6.83 | 6.78 | 7.88 | 6.38 | 7.44 | 2.17 | 3.65 | 3.45 | 5.17 | 2.62 | 2.64 | 2.59 | 6.07 | 1.59 | 3.50 | 2.09 | 3.18 | 2.16 | 4.69 | 1.11 | 5.53 | 2.21 | 5.51 | 2.05 | 1.93 | 0.74 | 3.04 | 2.37 | 5.00 | 3.70 | 3.78 | 3.73 | 2.51 | 1.51 | 0.99 | 0.74 | 3.81 | 1.44 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.62 | 1.22 | 1.11 | 1.01 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.13 | AVG | 25 | 268 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 93.76 | 38.16 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 57.4 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 2.26 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | 24.6% | 0.000 | 0.0% | 5 | AVG | ||
| Senior | 6 | Median | 6.30 | 4.00 | 6.40 | 6.35 | 6.50 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 1.15 | 5.50 | 0.80 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 1.80 | 4.20 | 0.80 | 5.60 | 2.20 | 5.50 | 1.75 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 2.40 | 2.50 | 4.30 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 4.00 | 1.40 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | Median | 25 | 221 | -0.245 | 17.3% | 5 | 84.30 | 28.70 | -0.488 | 24.8% | 5 | 57.5 | 0.006 | -0.1% | 5 | 2.21 | -0.079 | 1.9% | 5 | 22.9% | -0.290 | -7.1% | 5 | Median | ||
| TOT | 9 | Mode | #N/A | #N/A | 6.00 | 5.95 | #N/A | #N/A | 6.00 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 3.30 | #N/A | #N/A | 4.20 | 0.50 | #N/A | #N/A | 2.00 | 1.50 | 6.00 | 1.80 | #N/A | 3.00 | 5.50 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 0.90 | #N/A | #N/A | 6.00 | 4.70 | #N/A | #N/A | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 5.00 | 2.40 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | Mode | 25 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| STD | 2.89 | 2.51 | 3.02 | 3.02 | 4.46 | 4.46 | 2.71 | 1.75 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 3.40 | 2.17 | 2.61 | 2.61 | 1.59 | 1.36 | 1.99 | 1.58 | 1.43 | 0.84 | 1.30 | 0.83 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 1.74 | 1.05 | 0.82 | 0.38 | 1.82 | 1.07 | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 0.60 | 0.52 | 1.23 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.31 | 0.31 | STD | 1 | 189 | 1.000 | 70.6% | 2.6 | 19.38 | 19.38 | 1.000 | 50.8% | 2.7 | 14.3 | 1.000 | 24.9% | 2.6 | 0.56 | 1.000 | 24.7% | 2.6 | 6.1% | 1.000 | 24.6% | 2.6 | STD | ||||
| 25% | ile | 2.20 | 1.05 | 6.00 | 5.95 | 5.00 | 3.50 | 6.00 | 0.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 1.10 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 5.00 | 0.50 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 3.50 | 0.70 | 3.30 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 3.80 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 2.50 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 25% | 25 | 153 | -0.604 | -4.5% | 3 | 77.05 | 21.45 | -0.862 | -25.5% | 3 | 46.0 | -0.800 | -7.9% | 3 | 1.82 | -0.775 | -8.5% | 3 | 20.5% | -0.690 | -16.9% | 3 | ||||
| 75% | ile | 7.50 | 5.20 | 8.20 | 8.15 | 8.00 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 2.60 | 5.00 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 7.80 | 3.10 | 4.30 | 2.50 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 7.50 | 3.00 | 6.40 | 2.40 | 2.50 | 0.90 | 4.00 | 3.30 | 6.00 | 4.70 | 5.00 | 4.95 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 5.00 | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 75% | 26 | 280 | 0.063 | 42.6% | 7 | 103.50 | 47.90 | 0.502 | 43.8% | 7 | 62.0 | 0.317 | 19.9% | 7 | 2.45 | 0.346 | 19.2% | 7 | 27.9% | 0.539 | 13.2% | 7 | ||||