Forecaster Class 4casts Sum Square STP TOTAL Absolute AVG Absolute  
Rank Forecaster Class Entry Date / EST  CAR     5.40  BGR     6.20  PWM     8.60  CON   11.30  BTV      5.00  BOS     8.50  HYA     2.00  ORH   10.30  PVD   11.60  BDR    9.70  BDL     8.00  ALB     2.10  BGM     0.40  ISP   13.50  JFK     6.90  ABE   4.10  MDT     2.30  PHL     9.00  ACY     6.80  EWR     6.90  BWI     5.80  IAD     6.00  DCA     5.50  SBY    4.00  RIC     6.30  ORF 0.50  RDU     3.20 Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank 169.90 Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank RSQ RSQ Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Forecaster Rank Forecaster 'Lowest Error' Stations TOT bat avg CAR BGR PWM CON BTV BOS HYA ORH PVD BDR BDL ALB BGM ISP JFK ABE MDT PHL ACY EWR BWI IAD DCA SBY RIC ORF RDU   CAR BGR PWM CON BTV BOS HYA ORH PVD BDR BDL ALB BGM ISP JFK ABE MDT PHL ACY EWR BWI IAD DCA SBY RIC ORF RDU Rank Forecaster 'Highest Error' Stations TOT bat avg CAR BGR PWM CON BTV BOS HYA ORH PVD BDR BDL ALB BGM ISP JFK ABE MDT PHL ACY EWR BWI IAD DCA SBY RIC ORF RDU CAR BGR PWM CON BTV BOS HYA ORH PVD BDR BDL ALB BGM ISP JFK ABE MDT PHL ACY EWR BWI IAD DCA SBY RIC ORF RDU Rank Forecaster 'Perfect Forecast' Stations bat avg
1 donsutherland1 Chief 02/28 22:29 7.50 2.10 9.50 3.30 9.20 0.60 8.00 3.30 2.50 2.50 11.00 2.50 2.50 0.50 11.00 0.70 7.50 4.10 10.50 0.80 9.00 1.00 2.50 0.40 2.00 1.60 9.50 4.00 10.00 3.10 4.00 0.10 2.50 0.20 8.50 0.50 9.50 2.70 8.50 1.60 6.00 0.20 4.00 2.00 6.00 0.50 3.00 1.00 5.50 0.80 2.20 1.70 2.50 0.70 donsutherland1 Chief 27 106.0 -0.945 63.8% 1   174.40 4.50 -0.881 85.6% 3 42.50 -1.048 36.7% 2 1.57 -1.048 36.7% 2 66.4% 0.963 55.4% 2 donsutherland1 1 donsutherland1 HYA ORH ABE MDT PHL DCA 6 0.222 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 HYA ORH ABE MDT PHL DCA 1 weatherT CON BTV ORH PVD BDR BDL ISP JFK ABE PHL EWR BWI IAD DCA 14 0.519 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 emoran ORF 0.037
2 herb@maws Senior 02/28 20:30 3.00 2.40 7.00 0.80 9.00 0.40 9.00 2.30 0.50 4.50 8.00 0.50 3.00 1.00 13.00 2.70 9.00 2.60 9.00 0.70 7.00 1.00 2.00 0.10 1.00 0.60 10.00 3.50 9.00 2.10 6.00 1.90 1.70 0.60 7.00 2.00 7.00 0.20 7.00 0.10 6.00 0.20 5.50 0.50 4.00 1.50 0.60 3.40 1.00 5.30 0.05 0.45 2.50 0.70 herb@maws Senior 27 116.8 -0.890 60.1% 2   147.85 22.05 -0.303 29.4% 7 42.05 -1.067 37.4% 1 1.56 -1.067 37.4% 1 70.9% 1.150 66.1% 1 herb@maws 1 shanabe CAR BGR MDT ACY SBY RDU 6 0.222 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PWM BOS ALB ACY EWR 2 answered7 CAR PWM BOS HYA MDT RDU 6 0.222 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0                                                 SBY RIC     1 shanabe SBY 0.037
3 dmcguriman Senior 02/28 22:26 7.00 1.60 12.00 5.80 10.00 1.40 10.00 1.30 4.50 0.50 8.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 11.00 0.70 7.50 4.10 9.80 0.10 10.00 2.00 6.00 3.90 2.00 1.60 9.00 4.50 9.00 2.10 5.00 0.90 2.90 0.60 7.00 2.00 6.50 0.30 9.50 2.60 6.50 0.70 6.50 0.50 6.50 1.00 3.00 1.00 5.00 1.30 2.00 1.50 5.00 1.80 dmcguriman Senior 27 127.0 -0.839 56.6% 3   182.20 12.30 -0.624 60.6% 5 45.30 -0.929 32.5% 3 1.68 -0.929 32.5% 3 60.2% 0.713 41.0% 5 dmcguriman 3 Donald Rosenfeld MDT BWI IAD DCA RIC 5 0.185 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CON BOS ORH BDR 3 herb@maws SBY RIC 2 0.074 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 BGR 3 answered7   0.000
4 Raven Senior 02/28 22:31 7.20 1.80 10.00 3.80 10.00 1.40 14.50 3.20 2.50 2.50 8.00 0.50 3.50 1.50 13.00 2.70 7.00 4.60 6.00 3.70 10.00 2.00 3.50 1.40 2.00 1.60 6.00 7.50 7.00 0.10 5.00 0.90 2.00 0.30 10.00 1.00 7.00 0.20 7.00 0.10 7.00 1.20 7.00 1.00 5.00 0.50 5.00 1.00 5.00 1.30 3.00 2.50 1.00 2.20 Raven Senior 27 164.0 -0.651 44.0% 4   174.20 4.30 -0.887 86.2% 2 50.50 -0.708 24.8% 4 1.87 -0.708 24.8% 4 51.9% 0.374 21.5% 7 Raven 3 herb@maws PWM BOS ALB ACY EWR 5 0.185 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 BOS JFK ACY EWR DCA 3 jackzig ALB BGM 2 0.074 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0                                                         3 dmcguriman   0.000
5 emoran Senior 02/28 22:31 5.00 0.40 12.00 5.80 10.00 1.40 8.00 3.30 2.00 3.00 12.00 3.50 7.00 5.00 15.00 4.70 11.00 0.60 11.00 1.30 11.00 3.00 2.50 0.40 1.00 0.60 12.00 1.50 11.00 4.10 6.50 2.40 2.50 0.20 10.00 1.00 8.00 1.20 10.00 3.10 9.00 3.20 8.00 2.00 6.00 0.50 5.00 1.00 3.00 3.30 0.50 0.00 2.00 1.20 emoran Senior 27 191.3 -0.513 34.6% 5   201.00 31.10 -0.005 0.5% 8 57.70 -0.401 14.1% 6 2.14 -0.401 14.1% 6 63.6% 0.852 49.0% 4 emoran 3 Raven BOS JFK ACY EWR DCA 5 0.185 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 CAR MDT DCA ORF 5 dmcguriman BGR 1 0.037 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 BGR 3 Donald Rosenfeld   0.000
6 Donald Rosenfeld Senior 02/28 22:29 6.50 1.10 10.00 3.80 11.25 2.65 8.00 3.30 1.50 3.50 12.00 3.50 6.50 4.50 9.50 0.80 9.50 2.10 8.75 0.95 6.75 1.25 3.00 0.90 1.25 0.85 6.00 7.50 7.75 0.85 4.50 0.40 2.50 0.20 7.75 1.25 8.25 1.45 6.75 0.15 5.75 0.05 5.75 0.25 6.00 0.50 7.25 3.25 6.00 0.30 6.00 5.50 6.00 2.80 Donald Rosenfeld Senior 27 197.3 -0.483 32.6% 6   180.75 10.85 -0.672 65.3% 4 53.65 -0.574 20.1% 5 1.99 -0.574 20.1% 5 38.0% -0.191 -11.0% 8 Donald Rosenfeld 6 dmcguriman CON BOS ORH BDR 4 0.148 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 MDT BWI IAD DCA RIC 5 Donald Rosenfeld ORF 1 0.037 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0                                                     ORF   3 donsutherland1   0.000
7 shanabe Senior 02/28 22:31 5.00 0.40 6.00 0.20 7.00 1.60 6.00 5.30 1.00 4.00 6.00 2.50 7.00 5.00 6.00 4.30 8.00 3.60 6.00 3.70 7.00 1.00 1.50 0.60 0.00 0.40 7.00 6.50 4.00 2.90 3.00 1.10 2.50 0.20 4.50 4.50 7.00 0.20 4.00 2.90 5.00 0.80 4.00 2.00 4.00 1.50 4.00 0.00 5.00 1.30 2.50 2.00 3.00 0.20 shanabe Senior 27 218.0 -0.378 25.5% 7   126.00 43.90 0.417 -40.5% 9 58.70 -0.359 12.6% 7 2.17 -0.359 12.6% 7 52.0% 0.379 21.8% 6 shanabe 6 emoran CAR MDT DCA ORF 4 0.148 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 CAR BGR MDT ACY SBY RDU 5 emoran BGR 1 0.037 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 herb@maws   0.000
8 Mitchel Volk Senior 02/28 22:14 6.00 0.60 10.00 3.80 11.00 2.40 7.00 4.30 1.00 4.00 11.00 2.50 5.00 3.00 15.00 4.70 12.00 0.40 12.00 2.30 10.00 2.00 1.00 1.10 0.50 0.10 14.00 0.50 13.00 6.10 5.00 0.90 5.00 2.70 12.00 3.00 14.00 7.20 12.00 5.10 8.00 2.20 7.00 1.00 7.00 1.50 7.00 3.00 6.00 0.30 2.00 1.50 4.00 0.80 Mitchel Volk Senior 27 255.5 -0.188 12.7% 8   217.50 47.60 0.539 -52.4% 10 67.00 -0.006 0.2% 8 2.48 -0.006 0.2% 8 64.4% 0.882 50.7% 3 Mitchel Volk 6 Mitchel Volk PVD BGM ISP RIC 4 0.148 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 PVD BGM ISP RIC 5 Mitchel Volk ACY 1 0.037 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0                                       ACY                 3 jackzig   0.000
9 TQ Senior 02/28 22:27 6.00 0.60 8.00 1.80 6.00 2.60 4.00 7.30 6.00 1.00 6.00 2.50 6.00 4.00 6.00 4.30 6.00 5.60 4.00 5.70 4.00 4.00 2.50 0.40 0.00 0.40 5.00 8.50 3.00 3.90 3.00 1.10 0.05 2.25 2.50 6.50 4.00 2.80 3.00 3.90 2.00 3.80 4.00 2.00 2.00 3.50 3.00 1.00 2.50 3.80 2.00 1.50 0.05 3.15 TQ Senior 27 402.9 0.559 -37.7% 9   100.60 69.30 1.254 -121.8% 11 87.90 0.883 -30.9% 10 3.26 0.883 -30.9% 10 25.6% -0.697 -40.1% 9 TQ 9 answered7 BTV BDL 2 0.074 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 TQ DCA 1 0.037 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 DCA 3 Mitchel Volk   0.000
10 jackzig Senior 02/28 22:25 9.00 3.60 10.00 3.80 10.50 1.90 8.00 3.30 7.50 2.50 6.50 2.00 2.50 0.50 5.00 5.30 4.50 7.10 5.00 4.70 5.00 3.00 6.50 4.40 7.50 7.10 3.50 10.00 4.50 2.40 6.00 1.90 4.50 2.20 4.00 5.00 2.50 4.30 6.00 0.90 5.00 0.80 5.00 1.00 4.50 1.00 4.50 0.50 5.00 1.30 4.50 4.00 5.00 1.80 jackzig Senior 27 414.1 0.615 -41.5% 10   152.00 17.90 -0.439 42.7% 6 86.30 0.815 -28.5% 9 3.20 0.815 -28.5% 9 0.0% -1.739 -100.0% 12 jackzig 10 jackzig HYA 1 0.037 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HYA 10 donsutherland1   0 0.000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0                         ALB BGM                             3 Raven   0.000
11 answered7 Rookie 02/27 23:55 1.50 3.90 4.00 2.20 3.50 5.10 4.60 6.70 4.70 0.30 16.40 7.90 13.80 11.80 18.20 7.90 14.10 2.50 10.50 0.80 8.20 0.20 4.20 2.10 0.00 0.40 10.20 3.30 8.70 1.80 5.30 1.20 8.10 5.80 5.00 4.00 3.00 3.80 5.70 1.20 3.60 2.20 3.00 3.00 2.40 3.10 2.50 1.50 1.30 5.00 2.50 2.00 7.90 4.70 answered7 Rookie 27 524.5 1.174 -79.3% 11   172.90 3.00 -0.930 90.4% 1 94.40 1.159 -40.6% 11 3.50 1.159 -40.6% 11 19.2% -0.958 -55.1% 10 answered7 11 TQ   0 0.000 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 BTV BDL 10 Raven   0 0.000 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 CAR PWM BOS HYA MDT RDU 3 TQ   0.000
12 weatherT Rookie 02/28 10:16 6.00 0.60 4.50 1.70 5.00 3.60 2.50 8.80 0.05 4.95 2.20 6.30 1.40 0.60 0.50 9.80 2.80 8.80 1.80 7.90 2.00 6.00 0.70 1.40 0.05 0.35 1.40 12.10 0.50 6.40 0.50 3.60 0.50 1.80 2.00 7.00 5.50 1.30 1.70 5.20 1.10 4.70 2.30 3.70 2.00 3.50 5.20 1.20 2.50 3.80 4.50 4.00 2.60 0.60 weatherT Rookie 27 793.7 2.538 -171.3% 12    61.80 108.10 2.532 -246.0% 12 119.70 2.235 -78.3% 12 4.43 2.235 -78.3% 12 0.3% -1.729 -99.4% 11 weatherT 11 weatherT   0 0.000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0                                                         10 shanabe   0 0.000 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0         CON BTV     ORH PVD BDR BDL     ISP JFK ABE   PHL   EWR BWI IAD DCA         3 weatherT   0.000
Forecast Parameters CAR Error BGR Error PWM Error CON Error BTV Error BOS Error HYA Error ORH Error PVD Error BDR Error HFD Error ALB Error BGM Error ISP Error JFK Error ABE Error MDT Error PHL Error ACY Error EWR Error BWI Error IAD Error DCA Error SBY Error RIC Error ORF Error RDU Error Forecast Parameters 324 Error Error Z % MPRV Rank STP Error Error Z %MPRV Rank Error Error Z %MPRV Rank Error Error Z %MPRV Rank RSQ RSQ Z %MPRV Rank Forecast Parameters
Consensus MIN 1.50 0.40 4.00 0.20 3.50 0.40 2.50 1.30 0.05 0.30 2.20 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.70 2.80 0.40 1.80 0.10 2.00 0.20 0.70 0.10 0.00 0.10 1.40 0.50 0.50 0.10 0.50 0.10 0.05 0.20 2.00 0.50 2.50 0.20 1.70 0.10 1.10 0.05 2.30 0.25 2.00 0.50 0.60 0.00 1.00 0.30 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.20 MIN 27 106 -0.945 -171.3% 1 61.80 3.00 -0.930 -246.0% 1 42.1 -1.067 -78.3% 1 1.56 -1.067 -78.3% 1 0.0% -1.739 -100.0%       1 MIN
MAX 9.00 3.90 12.00 5.80 11.25 5.10 14.50 8.80 7.50 4.95 16.40 7.90 13.80 11.80 18.20 9.80 14.10 8.80 12.00 7.90 11.00 6.00 6.50 4.40 7.50 7.10 14.00 12.10 13.00 6.40 6.50 3.60 8.10 5.80 12.00 7.00 14.00 7.20 12.00 5.20 9.00 4.70 8.00 3.70 7.00 3.50 7.25 3.40 6.00 5.30 6.00 5.50 7.90 4.70 MAX 27 794 2.538 63.8% 12 217.50 108.10 2.532 90.4% 12 119.7 2.235 37.4% 12 4.43 2.235 37.4% 12 70.9% 1.150 66.1%     12 MAX
AVG 5.81 1.59 8.58 3.07 8.54 2.09 7.47 4.37 2.81 2.77 8.93 2.89 4.93 3.20 10.27 4.05 8.24 3.84 7.86 2.72 7.50 2.20 2.99 1.43 1.44 1.30 7.80 5.78 7.29 2.99 4.48 1.37 2.90 1.42 6.69 3.15 6.85 2.14 6.76 2.24 5.41 1.67 5.17 1.58 4.62 1.55 4.17 1.49 3.98 2.32 2.65 2.22 3.46 1.72 AVG 27 293 0.000 0.0% 7 157.60 31.24 0.000 0.0% 7 67.1 0.000 0.0% 7 2.49 0.000 0.0% 7 42.7% 0.000 0.0%       7 AVG
Median 6.00 1.35 9.75 3.55 9.60 1.75 8.00 3.30 2.25 2.75 8.00 2.50 4.25 2.25 11.00 4.30 7.75 3.85 8.88 1.80 7.60 2.00 2.50 1.00 1.00 0.60 8.00 5.50 8.23 2.65 5.00 1.10 2.50 0.60 7.00 2.50 7.00 1.38 6.88 2.10 5.88 1.00 5.25 1.50 4.75 1.25 4.25 1.00 5.00 1.30 2.35 1.85 2.80 1.50 Median 27 208 -0.430 29.0% 7 173.55 19.98 -0.371 36.1% 7 58.2 -0.380 13.3% 7 2.16 -0.380 13.3% 7 51.9% 0.377 21.6%       7 Median
Mode 6.00 0.60 10.00 3.80 10.00 1.40 8.00 3.30 2.50 2.50 8.00 2.50 2.50 0.50 11.00 0.70 7.50 4.10 10.50 0.80 10.00 1.00 2.50 0.40 2.00 1.60 6.00 7.50 9.00 2.10 5.00 0.90 2.50 0.20 7.00 2.00 7.00 0.20 7.00 0.10 6.00 0.20 4.00 2.00 6.00 0.50 3.00 1.00 5.00 1.30 2.00 1.50 2.50 0.70 Mode 27                                           Mode
STD 1.93 1.17 2.57 1.70 2.43 1.25 2.98 2.12 2.25 1.47 3.58 2.16 3.37 3.12 4.86 2.69 3.02 2.38 3.08 2.33 2.64 1.54 1.74 1.34 1.98 1.82 3.48 3.34 3.48 1.82 1.60 0.91 2.06 1.60 3.02 2.13 2.96 2.05 2.85 1.78 2.20 1.48 1.68 1.01 1.70 1.12 1.82 1.06 1.73 1.73 1.61 1.50 2.12 1.26 STD 0 197 1.000 67.5% 3.5 41.79 30.36 1.000 97.2% 3.5 23.5 1.000 35.0% 3.5 0.87 1.000 35.0% 3.5 24.5% 1.000 57.5%    3.5 STD
25% ile 5.00 0.60 6.75 1.78 6.75 1.40 5.65 3.28 1.00 2.13 6.38 1.63 2.50 0.90 6.00 2.23 6.75 2.40 5.75 0.80 6.31 1.00 1.88 0.40 0.04 0.40 5.75 3.45 4.38 2.03 3.75 0.90 1.93 0.20 4.38 1.19 5.13 0.28 5.28 0.71 4.65 0.58 4.00 0.88 3.60 0.50 3.00 1.00 2.50 1.18 2.00 1.50 2.38 0.70 25% 27 155 -0.698 -38.7% 4 142.39 9.26 -0.724 -43.5% 4 49.2 -0.763 -29.1% 4 1.82 -0.763 -29.1% 4 24.0% -0.762 -43.8%       4
75% ile 7.05 2.18 10.00 3.80 10.13 2.61 8.25 5.65 4.55 4.00 11.25 3.50 6.63 4.63 13.50 4.85 9.88 4.85 10.50 3.95 10.00 3.00 3.68 1.58 2.00 1.60 10.05 7.75 9.25 3.95 5.48 1.90 3.30 2.21 8.88 4.63 8.06 3.05 8.75 3.30 6.63 2.45 6.63 2.00 6.00 1.90 5.05 1.88 5.13 3.80 3.38 2.88 5.00 2.35 75% 27 406 0.573 47.1% 9 181.11 44.82 0.447 70.4% 9 86.7 0.832 26.7% 9 3.21 0.832 26.7% 9 63.8% 0.860 49.4%       9