| Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / EST | CAR | 18.50 | BGR | 11.20 | PWM | 14.50 | CON | 10.00 | BTV | 9.10 | BOS | 3.80 | HYA | 0.05 | ORH | 8.00 | PVD | 4.50 | BDR | 1.00 | BDL | 5.00 | ALB | 6.60 | BGM | 3.10 | Forecaster | ISP | 0.20 | JFK | 0.50 | ABE | 0.60 | MDT | 0.05 | PHL | 0.05 | ACY | 0.00 | EWR | 0.90 | BWI | 0.05 | IAD | 0.00 | DCA | 0.00 | SBY | - | RIC | - | ORF | - | RDU | - | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 97.70 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | |||
| 1 | emoran | Senior | 12/20 18:04 | 14.00 | 4.50 | 10.00 | 1.20 | 8.00 | 6.50 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 8.80 | 0.30 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 10.00 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | 7.00 | 0.40 | 4.00 | 0.90 | emoran | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | emoran | Senior | 21 | 79.2 | -1.013 | 52.8% | 1 | 96.15 | 1.55 | -1.097 | 86.5% | 1 | 25.45 | -1.213 | 37.2% | 1 | 1.21 | -1.402 | 39.7% | 1 | 90.2% | 0.908 | 13.9% | 1 | emoran |
| 2 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 12/20 22:28 | 11.00 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 2.80 | 11.00 | 3.50 | 10.50 | 0.50 | 10.00 | 0.90 | 3.50 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 6.70 | 0.10 | 3.80 | 0.70 | donsutherland1 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 0.45 | - | - | 1.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | donsutherland1 | Chief | 19 | 90.8 | -0.880 | 45.8% | 2 | 90.90 | 6.80 | -0.518 | 40.8% | 5 | 25.90 | -1.177 | 36.1% | 2 | 1.36 | -1.137 | 32.2% | 2 | 87.9% | 0.719 | 11.0% | 2 | donsutherland1 |
| 3 | Raven | Senior | 12/20 19:10 | 12.50 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 0.80 | 15.50 | 1.00 | 14.50 | 4.50 | 11.00 | 1.90 | 6.50 | 2.70 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 7.20 | 0.80 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 1.40 | Raven | 0.50 | 0.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Raven | Senior | 23 | 101.5 | -0.758 | 39.5% | 3 | 117.85 | 20.15 | 0.957 | -75.4% | 10 | 36.75 | -0.304 | 9.3% | 5 | 1.60 | -0.724 | 20.5% | 3 | 87.4% | 0.679 | 10.4% | 3 | Raven |
| 4 | NYNJPAWeather | Rookie | 12/20 22:05 | 10.00 | 8.50 | 11.00 | 0.20 | 13.00 | 1.50 | 14.00 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 0.90 | 4.00 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 0.90 | NYNJPAWeather | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | NYNJPAWeather | Rookie | 19 | 119.5 | -0.551 | 28.7% | 4 | 95.00 | 2.70 | -0.970 | 76.5% | 2 | 32.00 | -0.686 | 21.0% | 3 | 1.68 | -0.572 | 16.2% | 4 | 83.0% | 0.312 | 4.8% | 5 | NYNJPAWeather |
| 5 | Newa | Journeyman | 12/20 20:12 | 13.00 | 5.50 | 15.00 | 3.80 | 10.00 | 4.50 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 15.00 | 5.90 | 4.50 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 7.50 | 0.90 | 5.00 | 1.90 | Newa | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 0.50 | 0.45 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Newa | Journeyman | 19 | 122.8 | -0.513 | 26.7% | 5 | 107.50 | 9.80 | -0.186 | 14.7% | 7 | 35.90 | -0.372 | 11.4% | 4 | 1.89 | -0.212 | 6.0% | 5 | 83.0% | 0.309 | 4.7% | 6 | Newa |
| 7 | TQ | Senior | 12/20 22:16 | 12.00 | 6.50 | 12.00 | 0.80 | 6.50 | 8.00 | 7.50 | 2.50 | 11.00 | 1.90 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.50 | 1.10 | 5.00 | 1.90 | TQ | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 1.50 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | TQ | Senior | 16 | 156.2 | -0.131 | 6.8% | 7 | 83.10 | 14.60 | 0.344 | -27.1% | 8 | 38.10 | -0.195 | 6.0% | 6 | 2.38 | 0.652 | -18.5% | 10 | 79.8% | 0.050 | 0.8% | 8 | TQ |
| 6 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 12/20 22:30 | 13.50 | 5.00 | 16.00 | 4.80 | 16.00 | 1.50 | 12.00 | 2.00 | 7.50 | 1.60 | 9.50 | 5.70 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 8.00 | 0.00 | 8.25 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 2.25 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 0.60 | 3.00 | 0.10 | Donald Rosenfeld | 1.50 | 1.30 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.75 | 0.85 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 23 | 155.2 | -0.142 | 7.4% | 6 | 131.00 | 33.30 | 2.409 | -189.9% | 11 | 47.90 | 0.594 | -18.2% | 9 | 2.08 | 0.128 | -3.6% | 6 | 83.5% | 0.357 | 5.5% | 4 | Donald Rosenfeld |
| 8 | apisces1 | Journeyman | 12/20 22:31 | 8.00 | 10.50 | 10.00 | 1.20 | 9.00 | 5.50 | 9.00 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 1.10 | 3.00 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 9.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 7.00 | 0.40 | 6.00 | 2.90 | apisces1 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 0.95 | - | - | 3.00 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | apisces1 | Journeyman | 19 | 181.3 | 0.157 | -8.2% | 8 | 90.00 | 7.70 | -0.418 | 33.0% | 6 | 39.60 | -0.074 | 2.3% | 7 | 2.08 | 0.130 | -3.7% | 7 | 78.0% | -0.099 | -1.5% | 9 | apisces1 |
| 9 | Mitchel Volk | Senior | 12/19 21:39 | 7.00 | 11.50 | 7.00 | 4.20 | 10.00 | 4.50 | 10.00 | 0.00 | 11.00 | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 0.60 | 4.00 | 0.90 | Mitchel Volk | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.00 | 0.95 | - | - | 1.50 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mitchel Volk | Senior | 19 | 214.3 | 0.536 | -27.9% | 9 | 79.00 | 18.70 | 0.797 | -62.8% | 9 | 41.60 | 0.087 | -2.7% | 8 | 2.19 | 0.315 | -8.9% | 8 | 74.7% | -0.374 | -5.7% | 10 | Mitchel Volk |
| 10 | ilibov | Senior | 12/20 19:50 | 9.20 | 9.30 | 7.20 | 4.00 | 6.80 | 7.70 | 7.50 | 2.50 | 7.80 | 1.30 | 5.30 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 2.25 | 6.50 | 1.50 | 3.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 5.20 | 0.20 | 5.20 | 1.40 | 4.80 | 1.70 | ilibov | 2.50 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.20 | 2.10 | 2.05 | 1.30 | 1.25 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ilibov | Senior | 23 | 218.3 | 0.581 | -30.3% | 10 | 90.95 | 6.75 | -0.523 | 41.2% | 4 | 50.65 | 0.815 | -25.0% | 10 | 2.20 | 0.338 | -9.6% | 9 | 80.3% | 0.091 | 1.4% | 7 | ilibov |
| 11 | jackzig | Senior | 12/20 18:32 | 6.00 | 12.50 | 5.00 | 6.20 | 7.00 | 7.50 | 7.00 | 3.00 | 7.50 | 1.60 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 6.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 0.50 | 5.50 | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 7.00 | 0.40 | 6.50 | 3.40 | jackzig | 3.00 | 2.80 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 4.95 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.00 | 0.95 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | jackzig | Senior | 21 | 404.5 | 2.715 | -141.3% | 11 | 102.00 | 4.30 | -0.794 | 62.6% | 3 | 71.90 | 2.525 | -77.4% | 11 | 3.42 | 2.484 | -70.3% | 11 | 43.5% | -2.952 | -45.1% | 11 | jackzig |
| Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | HFD | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | IAD | Error | DCA | Error | SBY | Error | RIC | Error | ORF | Error | RDU | Error | Forecast Parameters | 222 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | |||||
| Consensus | MIN | 6.00 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 0.20 | 6.50 | 1.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | 7.50 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 5.20 | 0.10 | 3.00 | 0.10 | MIN | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | MIN | 16 | 79 | -1.013 | -141.3% | 1 | 79.00 | 1.55 | -1.097 | -189.9% | 1 | 25.5 | -1.213 | -77.4% | 1 | 1.21 | -1.402 | -70.3% | 1 | 43.5% | -2.952 | -45.1% | 1 | MIN | |||
| MAX | 14.00 | 12.50 | 16.00 | 6.20 | 16.00 | 8.00 | 14.50 | 4.50 | 15.00 | 5.90 | 9.50 | 5.70 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 10.00 | 4.00 | 8.25 | 3.75 | 5.50 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 1.40 | 6.50 | 3.40 | MAX | 3.00 | 2.80 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 4.95 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 4.10 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | MAX | 23 | 404 | 2.715 | 52.8% | 11 | 131.00 | 33.30 | 2.409 | 86.5% | 11 | 71.9 | 2.525 | 37.2% | 11 | 3.42 | 2.484 | 39.7% | 11 | 90.2% | 0.908 | 13.9% | 11 | MAX | ||||
| AVG | 10.56 | 7.94 | 10.84 | 2.73 | 10.25 | 4.70 | 10.45 | 2.09 | 9.78 | 1.75 | 4.85 | 1.57 | 1.30 | 1.25 | 7.15 | 1.39 | 3.25 | 2.02 | 2.35 | 1.52 | 4.34 | 1.25 | 6.54 | 0.72 | 4.60 | 1.52 | AVG | 1.18 | 1.02 | 1.73 | 1.32 | 2.85 | 2.25 | 1.89 | 1.84 | 1.17 | 1.13 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | AVG | 20 | 168 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 98.50 | 11.49 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 40.5 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 2.01 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | 79.2% | 0.000 | 0.0% | 6 | AVG | ||||
| Median | 11.00 | 7.50 | 11.00 | 2.80 | 10.00 | 4.50 | 10.50 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 1.60 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 6.70 | 0.60 | 4.50 | 1.40 | Median | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 2.80 | 2.20 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Median | 19 | 155 | -0.142 | 7.4% | 6 | 95.00 | 7.70 | -0.418 | 33.0% | 6 | 38.1 | -0.195 | 6.0% | 6 | 2.08 | 0.128 | -3.6% | 6 | 83.0% | 0.309 | 4.7% | 6 | Median | ||||
| Mode | #N/A | #N/A | 10.00 | 1.20 | 10.00 | 1.50 | 12.00 | 1.00 | 11.00 | 1.90 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 7.00 | 0.40 | 4.00 | 0.90 | Mode | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Mode | 19 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| STD | 2.60 | 2.60 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 3.19 | 2.47 | 2.44 | 1.35 | 2.14 | 1.40 | 1.88 | 1.47 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.48 | 0.98 | 1.82 | 0.89 | 1.27 | 1.06 | 1.40 | 0.92 | 0.82 | 0.41 | 0.96 | 0.93 | STD | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.21 | 1.11 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | STD | 2 | 87 | 1.000 | 52.1% | 3.2 | 14.60 | 9.05 | 1.000 | 78.8% | 3.2 | 12.4 | 1.000 | 30.7% | 3.2 | 0.57 | 1.000 | 28.3% | 3.2 | 12.1% | 1.000 | 15.3% | 3.2 | STD | ||||
| 25% | ile | 8.60 | 5.75 | 8.60 | 1.00 | 7.50 | 2.50 | 8.25 | 1.00 | 7.90 | 1.00 | 3.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 6.75 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 3.75 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 0.40 | 4.00 | 0.90 | 25% | 0.75 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 0.45 | - | - | 1.50 | 0.60 | - | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 19 | 110 | -0.655 | -18.0% | 4 | 90.45 | 5.53 | -0.658 | -45.0% | 4 | 34.0 | -0.529 | -10.4% | 4 | 1.64 | -0.648 | -9.2% | 4 | 78.9% | -0.024 | -0.4% | 4 | ||||
| 75% | ile | 12.75 | 9.90 | 13.00 | 4.10 | 12.00 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 2.75 | 11.00 | 1.90 | 5.15 | 1.65 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 7.60 | 1.75 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 5.60 | 1.25 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 1.90 | 75% | 1.25 | 1.05 | 2.55 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 2.05 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 1.60 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 3.05 | 2.15 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.03 | 0.03 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 75% | 22 | 198 | 0.346 | 34.1% | 9 | 104.75 | 16.65 | 0.570 | 51.9% | 9 | 44.8 | 0.340 | 16.2% | 9 | 2.20 | 0.327 | 18.4% | 9 | 85.5% | 0.518 | 7.9% | 9 | ||||