Forecaster Class 4casts Sum Square STP TOTAL Absolute AVG Absolute
Rank Forecaster Class Entry Date / EST  CAR         4.80  BGR         4.20  PWM         2.90  CON         3.50  BTV        5.70  BOS         1.00  HYA         0.05 Forecaster  ORH          1.10  PVD        0.30  BDR         0.50  BDL         0.50  ALB         1.70  BGM        0.40  ISP 0.00  JFK 0.00  ABE 0.00 Forecaster  MDT 0.00  PHL 0.00  ACY 0.00  EWR        0.05  BWI 0.00 Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank 26.70 Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Error Error Z %MPROV over AVG Rank RSQ RSQ Z %MPROV over AVG Rank Forecaster
1 wxduff Intern 12/16 21:33 3.50 1.30 4.00 0.20 3.00 0.10 3.50 0.00 4.50 1.20 0.50 0.50 0.05 0.00 wxduff 1.50 0.40 0.00 0.30 1.00 0.50 2.00 1.50 2.50 0.80 2.25 1.85          -              -         0.25         0.25         0.10         0.10 wxduff            -              -             -              -             -              -   0.05 0.00       0.05        0.05 wxduff Intern 16 10.3 -1.160 67.7% 1         28.75 2.05 -1.624 83.6% 2 9.05 -1.983 48.3% 1 0.57 -1.185 50.3% 1 86.3% 0.874 15.4% 2 wxduff
2 donsutherland1 Chief 12/16 22:58 4.00 0.80 4.80 0.60 3.60 0.70 3.20 0.30 5.50 0.20 1.30 0.30 0.30 0.25 donsutherland1 2.00 0.90 0.70 0.40 1.20 0.70 1.00 0.50 2.50 0.80 2.20 1.80       1.40         1.40       0.80         0.80         1.40         1.40 donsutherland1        1.40        1.40           -              -         0.05        0.05 0.80 0.75          -              -   donsutherland1 Chief 19 14.4 -0.939 54.8% 2         38.15 11.45 -0.159 8.2% 4 14.05 -0.810 19.7% 2 0.74 -0.825 35.0% 2 86.9% 0.923 16.3% 1 donsutherland1
3 dmcguriman Senior 12/16 22:01 4.20 0.60 5.00 0.80 4.00 1.10 5.00 1.50 4.80 0.90 1.30 0.30 0.50 0.45 dmcguriman 2.20 1.10 1.30 1.00 1.00 0.50 2.50 2.00 2.70 1.00 2.50 2.10       0.80         0.80       0.60         0.60         0.20         0.20 dmcguriman            -              -             -              -             -              -   1.00 0.95          -              -   dmcguriman Senior 17 19.4 -0.675 39.4% 3         39.60 12.90 0.066 -3.4% 6 15.90 -0.376 9.1% 4 0.94 -0.420 17.8% 4 83.7% 0.674 11.9% 4 dmcguriman
4 TQ Senior 12/16 22:09 4.00 0.80 5.00 0.80 4.00 1.10 5.00 1.50 6.00 0.30 2.00 1.00 0.50 0.45 TQ 3.00 1.90 1.50 1.20 1.00 0.50 2.00 1.50 4.00 2.30 2.00 1.60       0.05         0.05       0.05         0.05         0.25         0.25 TQ        0.05        0.05           -              -             -              -   0.05 0.00          -              -   TQ Senior 18 21.5 -0.561 32.8% 4         40.45 13.75 0.199 -10.2% 7 15.35 -0.505 12.3% 3 0.85 -0.591 25.1% 3 85.6% 0.819 14.5% 3 TQ
5 ilibov Senior 12/16 21:52 3.80 1.00 4.70 0.50 4.20 1.30 5.10 1.60 5.30 0.40 1.70 0.70 0.80 0.75 ilibov 2.30 1.20 1.20 0.90 1.20 0.70 1.50 1.00 3.80 2.10 2.90 2.50       0.60         0.60       1.00         1.00         1.00         1.00 ilibov        0.50        0.50       0.20        0.20       0.01        0.01 1.20 1.15          -              -   ilibov Senior 20 25.1 -0.369 21.6% 5         43.01 16.31 0.598 -30.8% 9 19.11 0.378 -9.2% 8 0.96 -0.378 16.1% 6 81.4% 0.502 8.9% 5 ilibov
6 herb@maws Senior 12/16 16:53 3.50 1.30 5.00 0.80 4.50 1.60 4.00 0.50 4.50 1.20 1.50 0.50 0.50 0.45 herb@maws 2.00 0.90 0.60 0.30 0.70 0.20 1.50 1.00 4.80 3.10 3.00 2.60       0.10         0.10       0.10         0.10         1.30         1.30 herb@maws        0.40        0.40           -              -             -              -   0.60 0.55          -              -   herb@maws Senior 18 27.5 -0.239 14.0% 6         38.60 11.90 -0.089 4.6% 5 16.90 -0.141 3.4% 6 0.94 -0.413 17.5% 5 73.7% -0.079 -1.4% 7 herb@maws
7 Donald Rosenfeld Senior 12/16 23:00 4.00 0.80 4.00 0.20 5.25 2.35 4.25 0.75 2.75 2.95 2.50 1.50 0.50 0.45 Donald Rosenfeld 3.00 1.90 0.50 0.20 1.00 0.50 2.25 1.75 2.00 0.30 1.00 0.60       1.00         1.00       1.00         1.00         0.25         0.25 Donald Rosenfeld            -              -             -              -             -              -   1.25 1.20          -              -   Donald Rosenfeld Senior 17 28.8 -0.169 9.8% 7         36.50 9.80 -0.417 21.4% 3 17.70 0.047 -1.1% 7 1.04 -0.201 8.5% 7 67.2% -0.569 -10.1% 10 Donald Rosenfeld
8 shanabe Senior 12/16 22:59 3.50 1.30 4.50 0.30 4.50 1.60 5.00 1.50 5.50 0.20 1.50 0.50 0.05 0.00 shanabe 2.00 0.90 1.20 0.90 1.50 1.00 2.00 1.50 4.30 2.60 3.00 2.60       1.30         1.30       1.00         1.00         2.00         2.00 shanabe            -              -             -              -             -              -   0.00 0.05          -              -   shanabe Senior 16 32.0 -0.001 0.1% 8         42.85 16.15 0.573 -29.5% 8 19.25 0.410 -10.0% 9 1.20 0.134 -5.7% 9 74.9% 0.012 0.2% 6 shanabe
9 weatherT Rookie 12/16 09:45 10.00 5.20 3.00 1.20 2.00 0.90 1.00 2.50 7.00 1.30 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.05 weatherT 0.00 1.10 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 2.00 0.30 2.00 1.60          -              -            -              -              -              -   weatherT            -              -             -              -             -              -   0.00 0.05          -              -   weatherT Rookie 7 42.7 0.573 -33.5% 9         27.00 0.30 -1.897 97.6% 1 16.50 -0.235 5.7% 5 2.36 2.521 -107.1% 11 72.2% -0.191 -3.4% 8 weatherT
10 Don Rooney Senior 12/16 21:21 5.70 0.90 5.30 1.10 4.20 1.30 3.70 0.20 6.20 0.50 2.10 1.10 0.20 0.15 Don Rooney 3.80 2.70 0.80 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.80 1.30 3.90 2.20 4.20 3.80       0.10         0.10       0.20         0.20         2.40         2.40 Don Rooney        3.30        3.30       0.50        0.50           -              -   0.10 0.05          -              -   Don Rooney Senior 19 50.7 1.002 -58.5% 10         49.00 22.30 1.531 -78.8% 11 22.30 1.126 -27.4% 10 1.17 0.073 -3.1% 8 72.0% -0.210 -3.7% 9 Don Rooney
11 NYNJPAWeather Rookie 12/16 20:24 5.00 0.20 3.00 1.20 3.00 0.10 4.00 0.50 4.00 1.70 1.00 0.00 3.00 2.95 NYNJPAWeather 1.00 0.10 1.00 0.70 2.00 1.50 3.00 2.50 5.00 3.30 5.00 4.60          -              -            -              -           4.00         4.00 NYNJPAWeather        3.00        3.00           -              -             -              -   0.00 0.05          -              -   NYNJPAWeather Rookie 15 79.4 2.539 -148.2% 11         47.00 20.30 1.219 -62.7% 10 26.40 2.088 -50.8% 11 1.76 1.286 -54.6% 10 38.3% -2.756 -48.7% 12 NYNJPAWeather
12 answered7 Rookie 12/16 00:35 8.10 3.30 9.20 5.00 4.80 1.90 4.60 1.10 6.20 0.50 2.30 1.30 1.80 1.75 answered7 5.30 4.20 2.60 2.30 2.10 1.60 4.10 3.60 7.30 5.60 6.70 6.30       0.50         0.50       1.10         1.10         5.10         5.10 answered7        3.20        3.20           -              -             -              -   0.00 0.05          -              -   answered7 Rookie 17 192.9 3.077 -325.0% 12         75.00 48.30 2.818 -212.4% 12 48.40 2.993 -141.1% 12 2.85 2.369 -122.3% 12 55.8% -1.271 -23.8% 11 answered7
Forecast Parameters CAR Error BGR Error PWM Error CON Error BTV Error BOS Error HYA Error Forecast Parameters ORH Error PVD Error BDR Error HFD Error ALB Error BGM Error  ISP  Error  JFK  Error ABE Error Forecast Parameters MDT Error PHL Error ACY Error EWR Error BWI Error Forecast Parameters 199 Error Error Z % MPRV Rank STP Error Error Z %MPRV Rank Error Error Z %MPRV Rank Error Error Z %MPRV Rank RSQ RSQ Z %MPRV Rank Forecast Parameters
Consensus MIN 3.50 0.20 3.00 0.20 2.00 0.10 1.00 0.00 2.75 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MIN 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 2.00 0.30 1.00 0.60          -              -            -              -   0.00            -   MIN 0.00            -   0.00            -   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00          -              -   MIN 7 10 -1.160 -325.0% 1 27.00 0.30 -1.897 -212.4% 1 9.1 -1.983 -141.1% 1 0.57 -1.185 -122.3% 1 38.3% -2.756 -48.7%              1 MIN
MAX 10.00 5.20 9.20 5.00 5.25 2.35 5.10 2.50 7.00 2.95 2.50 1.50 3.00 2.95 MAX 5.30 4.20 2.60 2.30 2.10 1.60 4.10 3.60 7.30 5.60 6.70 6.30       1.40         1.40       1.10         1.10 5.10 5.10 MAX 3.30 3.30 0.50 0.50 0.05 0.05 1.25 1.20       0.05        0.05 MAX 20 193 3.077 67.7% 11 75.00 48.30 2.818 97.6% 12 48.4 2.993 48.3% 12 2.85 2.521 50.3% 12 86.9% 0.923 16.3%            12 MAX
AVG 4.94 1.46 4.79 1.06 3.92 1.17 4.03 1.00 5.19 0.95 1.48 0.73 0.68 0.64 AVG 2.34 1.44 0.95 0.75 1.10 0.68 1.97 1.55 3.73 2.03 3.06 2.66       0.49         0.49       0.51         0.51 1.50 1.50 AVG 0.99 0.99 0.06 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.42 0.40       0.00        0.00 AVG 17 32 0.000 0.0% 7 42.16 12.47 0.000 -17.7% 7 17.5 0.249 -11.8% 7 1.14 0.197 -10.2% 7 74.7% -0.106 -2.0%              7 AVG
Median 4.00 0.95 4.75 0.80 4.10 1.20 4.13 0.93 5.40 0.70 1.50 0.60 0.50 0.45 Median 2.10 1.10 0.90 0.60 1.00 0.50 2.00 1.50 3.85 2.15 2.70 2.30       0.30         0.30       0.43         0.43 1.15 1.15 Median 0.23 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.05          -              -   Median 17 28 -0.204 11.9% 7 40.03 13.33 0.133 -6.8% 7 17.3 -0.047 1.1% 7 1.00 -0.290 12.3% 7 74.3% -0.033 -0.6%              7 Median
Mode 3.50 1.30 5.00 0.80 3.00 0.10 5.00 1.50 4.50 1.20 1.30 0.50 0.50 0.45 Mode 2.00 0.90 0.00 0.30 1.00 0.50 2.00 1.50 2.50 0.80 2.00 1.60          -              -         1.00         1.00 0.25 0.25 Mode 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05          -              -   Mode 17                                           Mode
STD 1.98 1.34 1.52 1.24 0.86 0.64 1.10 0.71 1.10 0.77 0.70 0.43 0.84 0.83 STD 1.29 1.07 0.68 0.56 0.56 0.45 0.97 0.83 1.47 1.47 1.49 1.49       0.51         0.51       0.43         0.43 1.57 1.57 STD 1.32 1.32 0.14 0.14 0.01 0.01 0.49 0.46       0.01        0.01 STD 3 19 1.000 58.4% 3.5 11.65 6.42 1.000 76.6% 3.5 4.3 1.265 45.4% 3.5 0.48 1.160 52.9% 3.5 13.2% 1.020 18.1%           3.5 STD
25% ile 3.73 0.80 4.00 0.45 3.45 0.85 3.65 0.45 4.50 0.38 1.23 0.45 0.16 0.13 1.88 0.90 0.58 0.30 0.93 0.50 1.50 1.00 2.50 0.80 2.15 1.75       0.04         0.04       0.09         0.09 0.24 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05          -              -   25% 16 21 -0.590 -39.7% 4 37.74 11.04 -0.224 -38.8% 4 15.8 -0.408 -14.4% 4 0.91 -0.463 -17.9% 4 70.8% -0.299 -5.3%              4
75% ile 5.18 1.30 5.00 1.13 4.50 1.60 5.00 1.50 6.05 1.23 2.03 1.03 0.58 0.53 3.00 1.90 1.23 0.93 1.28 0.78 2.31 1.81 4.43 2.73 3.30 2.90 0.85 0.85 1.00 1.00 2.10 2.10 1.80 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.80          -              -   75% 18 45 0.680 34.4% 9 44.01 17.31 0.753 11.5% 9 20.0 0.589 9.9% 9 1.34 0.422 19.7% 9 84.1% 0.711 12.6%              9