| Forecaster | Class | 4casts | Sum Square | STP | TOTAL Absolute | AVG Absolute | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Forecaster | Class | Entry Date / EST | CAR | 4.80 | BGR | 4.20 | PWM | 2.90 | CON | 3.50 | BTV | 5.70 | BOS | 1.00 | HYA | 0.05 | Forecaster | ORH | 1.10 | PVD | 0.30 | BDR | 0.50 | BDL | 0.50 | ALB | 1.70 | BGM | 0.40 | ISP | 0.00 | JFK | 0.00 | ABE | 0.00 | Forecaster | MDT | 0.00 | PHL | 0.00 | ACY | 0.00 | EWR | 0.05 | BWI | 0.00 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | 26.70 | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPROV over AVG | Rank | Forecaster | |||
| 1 | wxduff | Intern | 12/16 21:33 | 3.50 | 1.30 | 4.00 | 0.20 | 3.00 | 0.10 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.00 | wxduff | 1.50 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 2.25 | 1.85 | - | - | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.10 | wxduff | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | wxduff | Intern | 16 | 10.3 | -1.160 | 67.7% | 1 | 28.75 | 2.05 | -1.624 | 83.6% | 2 | 9.05 | -1.983 | 48.3% | 1 | 0.57 | -1.185 | 50.3% | 1 | 86.3% | 0.874 | 15.4% | 2 | wxduff |
| 2 | donsutherland1 | Chief | 12/16 22:58 | 4.00 | 0.80 | 4.80 | 0.60 | 3.60 | 0.70 | 3.20 | 0.30 | 5.50 | 0.20 | 1.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.25 | donsutherland1 | 2.00 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.40 | 1.40 | donsutherland1 | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.80 | 0.75 | - | - | donsutherland1 | Chief | 19 | 14.4 | -0.939 | 54.8% | 2 | 38.15 | 11.45 | -0.159 | 8.2% | 4 | 14.05 | -0.810 | 19.7% | 2 | 0.74 | -0.825 | 35.0% | 2 | 86.9% | 0.923 | 16.3% | 1 | donsutherland1 |
| 3 | dmcguriman | Senior | 12/16 22:01 | 4.20 | 0.60 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 1.10 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 4.80 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.45 | dmcguriman | 2.20 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.70 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.20 | dmcguriman | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00 | 0.95 | - | - | dmcguriman | Senior | 17 | 19.4 | -0.675 | 39.4% | 3 | 39.60 | 12.90 | 0.066 | -3.4% | 6 | 15.90 | -0.376 | 9.1% | 4 | 0.94 | -0.420 | 17.8% | 4 | 83.7% | 0.674 | 11.9% | 4 | dmcguriman |
| 4 | TQ | Senior | 12/16 22:09 | 4.00 | 0.80 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 1.10 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 6.00 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.45 | TQ | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 0.25 | TQ | 0.05 | 0.05 | - | - | - | - | 0.05 | 0.00 | - | - | TQ | Senior | 18 | 21.5 | -0.561 | 32.8% | 4 | 40.45 | 13.75 | 0.199 | -10.2% | 7 | 15.35 | -0.505 | 12.3% | 3 | 0.85 | -0.591 | 25.1% | 3 | 85.6% | 0.819 | 14.5% | 3 | TQ |
| 5 | ilibov | Senior | 12/16 21:52 | 3.80 | 1.00 | 4.70 | 0.50 | 4.20 | 1.30 | 5.10 | 1.60 | 5.30 | 0.40 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.75 | ilibov | 2.30 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.70 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ilibov | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.20 | 1.15 | - | - | ilibov | Senior | 20 | 25.1 | -0.369 | 21.6% | 5 | 43.01 | 16.31 | 0.598 | -30.8% | 9 | 19.11 | 0.378 | -9.2% | 8 | 0.96 | -0.378 | 16.1% | 6 | 81.4% | 0.502 | 8.9% | 5 | ilibov |
| 6 | herb@maws | Senior | 12/16 16:53 | 3.50 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 4.50 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 0.50 | 4.50 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.45 | herb@maws | 2.00 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 4.80 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1.30 | 1.30 | herb@maws | 0.40 | 0.40 | - | - | - | - | 0.60 | 0.55 | - | - | herb@maws | Senior | 18 | 27.5 | -0.239 | 14.0% | 6 | 38.60 | 11.90 | -0.089 | 4.6% | 5 | 16.90 | -0.141 | 3.4% | 6 | 0.94 | -0.413 | 17.5% | 5 | 73.7% | -0.079 | -1.4% | 7 | herb@maws |
| 7 | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 12/16 23:00 | 4.00 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 0.20 | 5.25 | 2.35 | 4.25 | 0.75 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.45 | Donald Rosenfeld | 3.00 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 | Donald Rosenfeld | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.25 | 1.20 | - | - | Donald Rosenfeld | Senior | 17 | 28.8 | -0.169 | 9.8% | 7 | 36.50 | 9.80 | -0.417 | 21.4% | 3 | 17.70 | 0.047 | -1.1% | 7 | 1.04 | -0.201 | 8.5% | 7 | 67.2% | -0.569 | -10.1% | 10 | Donald Rosenfeld |
| 8 | shanabe | Senior | 12/16 22:59 | 3.50 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 0.30 | 4.50 | 1.60 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 5.50 | 0.20 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.00 | shanabe | 2.00 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 4.30 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | shanabe | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | shanabe | Senior | 16 | 32.0 | -0.001 | 0.1% | 8 | 42.85 | 16.15 | 0.573 | -29.5% | 8 | 19.25 | 0.410 | -10.0% | 9 | 1.20 | 0.134 | -5.7% | 9 | 74.9% | 0.012 | 0.2% | 6 | shanabe |
| 9 | weatherT | Rookie | 12/16 09:45 | 10.00 | 5.20 | 3.00 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 7.00 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | weatherT | 0.00 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | - | - | weatherT | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | weatherT | Rookie | 7 | 42.7 | 0.573 | -33.5% | 9 | 27.00 | 0.30 | -1.897 | 97.6% | 1 | 16.50 | -0.235 | 5.7% | 5 | 2.36 | 2.521 | -107.1% | 11 | 72.2% | -0.191 | -3.4% | 8 | weatherT |
| 10 | Don Rooney | Senior | 12/16 21:21 | 5.70 | 0.90 | 5.30 | 1.10 | 4.20 | 1.30 | 3.70 | 0.20 | 6.20 | 0.50 | 2.10 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 0.15 | Don Rooney | 3.80 | 2.70 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.80 | 1.30 | 3.90 | 2.20 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 2.40 | 2.40 | Don Rooney | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.50 | 0.50 | - | - | 0.10 | 0.05 | - | - | Don Rooney | Senior | 19 | 50.7 | 1.002 | -58.5% | 10 | 49.00 | 22.30 | 1.531 | -78.8% | 11 | 22.30 | 1.126 | -27.4% | 10 | 1.17 | 0.073 | -3.1% | 8 | 72.0% | -0.210 | -3.7% | 9 | Don Rooney |
| 11 | NYNJPAWeather | Rookie | 12/16 20:24 | 5.00 | 0.20 | 3.00 | 1.20 | 3.00 | 0.10 | 4.00 | 0.50 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 2.95 | NYNJPAWeather | 1.00 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 5.00 | 3.30 | 5.00 | 4.60 | - | - | - | - | 4.00 | 4.00 | NYNJPAWeather | 3.00 | 3.00 | - | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | NYNJPAWeather | Rookie | 15 | 79.4 | 2.539 | -148.2% | 11 | 47.00 | 20.30 | 1.219 | -62.7% | 10 | 26.40 | 2.088 | -50.8% | 11 | 1.76 | 1.286 | -54.6% | 10 | 38.3% | -2.756 | -48.7% | 12 | NYNJPAWeather |
| 12 | answered7 | Rookie | 12/16 00:35 | 8.10 | 3.30 | 9.20 | 5.00 | 4.80 | 1.90 | 4.60 | 1.10 | 6.20 | 0.50 | 2.30 | 1.30 | 1.80 | 1.75 | answered7 | 5.30 | 4.20 | 2.60 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 4.10 | 3.60 | 7.30 | 5.60 | 6.70 | 6.30 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 5.10 | 5.10 | answered7 | 3.20 | 3.20 | - | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | answered7 | Rookie | 17 | 192.9 | 3.077 | -325.0% | 12 | 75.00 | 48.30 | 2.818 | -212.4% | 12 | 48.40 | 2.993 | -141.1% | 12 | 2.85 | 2.369 | -122.3% | 12 | 55.8% | -1.271 | -23.8% | 11 | answered7 |
| Forecast Parameters | CAR | Error | BGR | Error | PWM | Error | CON | Error | BTV | Error | BOS | Error | HYA | Error | Forecast Parameters | ORH | Error | PVD | Error | BDR | Error | HFD | Error | ALB | Error | BGM | Error | ISP | Error | JFK | Error | ABE | Error | Forecast Parameters | MDT | Error | PHL | Error | ACY | Error | EWR | Error | BWI | Error | Forecast Parameters | 199 | Error | Error Z | % MPRV | Rank | STP | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | Error | Error Z | %MPRV | Rank | RSQ | RSQ Z | %MPRV | Rank | Forecast Parameters | ||||
| Consensus | MIN | 3.50 | 0.20 | 3.00 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.75 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | MIN | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 | - | - | - | - | 0.00 | - | MIN | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | MIN | 7 | 10 | -1.160 | -325.0% | 1 | 27.00 | 0.30 | -1.897 | -212.4% | 1 | 9.1 | -1.983 | -141.1% | 1 | 0.57 | -1.185 | -122.3% | 1 | 38.3% | -2.756 | -48.7% | 1 | MIN | |||
| MAX | 10.00 | 5.20 | 9.20 | 5.00 | 5.25 | 2.35 | 5.10 | 2.50 | 7.00 | 2.95 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 2.95 | MAX | 5.30 | 4.20 | 2.60 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 4.10 | 3.60 | 7.30 | 5.60 | 6.70 | 6.30 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 5.10 | 5.10 | MAX | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.25 | 1.20 | 0.05 | 0.05 | MAX | 20 | 193 | 3.077 | 67.7% | 11 | 75.00 | 48.30 | 2.818 | 97.6% | 12 | 48.4 | 2.993 | 48.3% | 12 | 2.85 | 2.521 | 50.3% | 12 | 86.9% | 0.923 | 16.3% | 12 | MAX | ||||
| AVG | 4.94 | 1.46 | 4.79 | 1.06 | 3.92 | 1.17 | 4.03 | 1.00 | 5.19 | 0.95 | 1.48 | 0.73 | 0.68 | 0.64 | AVG | 2.34 | 1.44 | 0.95 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 0.68 | 1.97 | 1.55 | 3.73 | 2.03 | 3.06 | 2.66 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 1.50 | 1.50 | AVG | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | AVG | 17 | 32 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 7 | 42.16 | 12.47 | 0.000 | -17.7% | 7 | 17.5 | 0.249 | -11.8% | 7 | 1.14 | 0.197 | -10.2% | 7 | 74.7% | -0.106 | -2.0% | 7 | AVG | ||||
| Median | 4.00 | 0.95 | 4.75 | 0.80 | 4.10 | 1.20 | 4.13 | 0.93 | 5.40 | 0.70 | 1.50 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.45 | Median | 2.10 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 3.85 | 2.15 | 2.70 | 2.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1.15 | 1.15 | Median | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.05 | - | - | Median | 17 | 28 | -0.204 | 11.9% | 7 | 40.03 | 13.33 | 0.133 | -6.8% | 7 | 17.3 | -0.047 | 1.1% | 7 | 1.00 | -0.290 | 12.3% | 7 | 74.3% | -0.033 | -0.6% | 7 | Median | ||||
| Mode | 3.50 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 0.80 | 3.00 | 0.10 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 4.50 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.45 | Mode | 2.00 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 | Mode | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | Mode | 17 | Mode | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| STD | 1.98 | 1.34 | 1.52 | 1.24 | 0.86 | 0.64 | 1.10 | 0.71 | 1.10 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.43 | 0.84 | 0.83 | STD | 1.29 | 1.07 | 0.68 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.45 | 0.97 | 0.83 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1.57 | 1.57 | STD | 1.32 | 1.32 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.01 | 0.01 | STD | 3 | 19 | 1.000 | 58.4% | 3.5 | 11.65 | 6.42 | 1.000 | 76.6% | 3.5 | 4.3 | 1.265 | 45.4% | 3.5 | 0.48 | 1.160 | 52.9% | 3.5 | 13.2% | 1.020 | 18.1% | 3.5 | STD | ||||
| 25% | ile | 3.73 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 0.45 | 3.45 | 0.85 | 3.65 | 0.45 | 4.50 | 0.38 | 1.23 | 0.45 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 1.88 | 0.90 | 0.58 | 0.30 | 0.93 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | - | - | 25% | 16 | 21 | -0.590 | -39.7% | 4 | 37.74 | 11.04 | -0.224 | -38.8% | 4 | 15.8 | -0.408 | -14.4% | 4 | 0.91 | -0.463 | -17.9% | 4 | 70.8% | -0.299 | -5.3% | 4 | ||||||
| 75% | ile | 5.18 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 1.13 | 4.50 | 1.60 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 6.05 | 1.23 | 2.03 | 1.03 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.23 | 0.93 | 1.28 | 0.78 | 2.31 | 1.81 | 4.43 | 2.73 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.80 | - | - | 75% | 18 | 45 | 0.680 | 34.4% | 9 | 44.01 | 17.31 | 0.753 | 11.5% | 9 | 20.0 | 0.589 | 9.9% | 9 | 1.34 | 0.422 | 19.7% | 9 | 84.1% | 0.711 | 12.6% | 9 | ||||||